Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - August 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   08/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TABLE ONE Jun09 May26 May07 Apr23 Apr13 (zeno benja)MARQUEZ L 123 10.00    
OUR LITTLE GIRL Jul15 Jun01 May11 Apr23 Apr09 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00 19% 4.30    
US SECOND CUTE PIE Jul30 Jul06 Jun09 May26 May11 (zeno b)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 2.00    
HUSHED COURT ROOM Jul13 Jun15 Jun02 May19 Apr28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
BURNING DESIRE Jul29 Jun09 May21 May07 Apr09 (harrison cortla)MCMAHON J 118 1.80    
CUSTOM MAIDEN Jul30 Jul06 Jun11 May11 Mar03 (roberts kennet)BACA L 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
 
EVD-2   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNOLIA RIDGE Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 May25 May07 (schwandt e)ALBERT S 110 8.00    
GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 May23 May05 (savoie sherman)MCMAHON J 118 3.50    
BASEBALL LOVER Jul15 May19 Apr29 Apr13 Mar12 (prejean ray)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 1.40 71% 0.40    
OUT MAKING TREBLE Aug04 Jul16       (bernard john)STOKES A 123 6.00    
VALIANT DEFENDER May14 Apr14 Mar20 Feb23   (zenon charles)HEBERT J 123 20.00    
MR. E EDWARDS Jul21 Jul06 Jun03 May14 Apr28 (rubin donald)MELANCON G 120 3.00    
HEAVENLY TRUMP Jul21 Jun24 May22 May01 Apr09 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 123 12.00    
 
EVD-3   08/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH HOLIDAY         (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
1A  JAYS HOLIDAY Jul13 Jun16 May13 Apr30 Mar05 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 123 3.00    
ONDATRACKPIMPERNEL Jul22 Jun25       (zenon charles)MCMAHON J 118 2.50    
BIG ACE Aug04 Mar27 Feb16 Jan21   (klanfer alan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 1.40 34% 1.90    
LUCK OF THE STARS Jul27 Jul16 Jul07 Jun16 May21 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 6.00 12% 7.10    
WILD FIST Jun24 Jun04       (ladner mar)ALBERT S 113 15.00    
BON TON ROULA         (fontenot br)LEDET THEODRICK 123 10.00 14% 6.10    
 
EVD-4   08/18/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOBOT Aug03 Jul02       (flint steve)THORNTON G 115 1.60 75% 0.30    
SCR  IM SINGLED UP Jul23         (flint steve)THORNTON G 115 1.60    
INDEFENSIBLE TOWN         (bourgeois )ALBERT S 110 2.50    
HOLY PRINCE         (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 118 5.00    
SCR  FREE FALLING NATE Jul10         (briley lonnie)STOKES J 118 8.00    
SCR  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Jul23 Jun05       (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 10.00    
SACRED NATION Aug03         (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 3.50    
 
EVD-5   08/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAND AND CHEER Apr06         (williams k)ALBERT S 118 20.00 8% 11.00    
KING MARVIN Jul29 Jul16 Jun30 May25   (degeyter ran)MAGNON H 115 6.00    
FUNNY ACTOR Apr30 Apr01 Mar12 Feb26 Feb11 (govea cesar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON ST TAPPIN Jun30 Jun16 May04 Apr08 Mar11 (faucheux ron)THORNTON G 120 2.00 54% 0.90    
ARCTIC ROSE May26 Apr27 Mar03     (modica oscar)MELANCON G 120 3.00    
SCR  BODE'S LIGHT Jul29 Jun11 May18 Mar18 Feb16 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 1.80 9% 10.20    
F J'S GEM Jun30 Jun11 May14 Apr22 Mar20 (maturin chad)STOKES J 123 10.00    
 
EVD-6   08/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITIZENS REWARD Jul30 Jul21 Jul08 Jun17 Jun02 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  LAKE RUNNER Jul28 Jul14 Jun11 May26 May12 (richards corale)MCMAHON J 118 15.00    
LIGHT AS A WHISPER Jul28 Jun11 May12 Apr08 Jan22 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 123 4.50 11% 7.70    
LACIS JEWEL Jul15 Jul01 May27 May12 Feb25 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 2.50 16% 5.10    
THINKING OF HER Jul28 Jun24       (delahoussaye brent)STOKES J 123 12.00    
MY REBEL GIRL Jul28 Jul09 Jun02 May19 Apr21 (landry jacob)MAGNON H 123 5.00    
MISSGREELEY'SSONG Jul30 Jul09 Jun24 Jun15 Jun02 (west henry)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 20.00    
CRIDER CHASE Jul28 Jul09 Jun11 May27 May12 (zenon shelton)STOKES A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
TWO WITH A TEN Jul30 Jul09 Mar04 Feb14   (leblanc jo)ALBERT S 118 10.00    
10  EASTER GIRL Jul22 Jun24 May25     (romero lynn)DAVID J 123 20.00    
SCR  OVERLY SWEET Jul21 Jul09 Jun22 Jun11 May23 (zeno benjamin)BOURQUE J 123 10.00    
 
EVD-7   08/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 WET FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LOUISIANA HERO Aug10 Jul22 Jul06 Jun23 Jun02 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 4.50 12% 7.70    
SCR  MY MAN LOUIE Jul22 Jul09 Jun03 May06 Apr06 (broberg ka)MARQUEZ L 110 4.50    
IMPACT PLAYER Jul30 Jun09 May04 Apr16 Mar13 (ladner chad)MELANCON G 118 6.00    
BUNKIE'S SONG Jul07 Jun02 May07 Apr22 Feb17 (landry ra)MCMAHON J 115 8.00    
KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Jul14 Jun25 May28 May12 Apr21 (vance terry)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I'M A SPECIAL STAR Jun23 Apr16 Feb10 Jan29 Jan14 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00    
GLENN'S JUMPER Jul03 May30 Feb20 Jan08   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 5.00 12% 7.00    
IN THE ARCH Jun30 Jun15 Apr21     (landry ray)STOKES J 118 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
EVD-8   08/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE OF ZONG Jul29 Jul16 Jun18 May28 May07 (constantine caro)FUSILIER C 115 2.50    
KORAT QUEEN Jul23         (west h)RUIZ GARCIA 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUCCA'S LILYBY Jul29 Jun16 May27 Feb02 Jan13 (cormier don)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 4.50    
TAP YOUR FRONT Aug06 Jul15 Jun11 May20 Jan22 (washington richa)STOKES A 123 5.00    
JOEY'S THUNDER Jul23 May12       (marlin i)HEBERT J 115 20.00    
IGNITE THE PASSION Aug06 Apr13 Feb09     (zenon shelt)LEDET THEODRICK 118 8.00    
T J'S SUNSHINE Aug04 Jul07 Jun18 Jun04 May20 (harrison cor)MAGNON H 120 2.00 73% 0.40    
KASENS TRIBE Aug06 Jun29 Apr30     (shamsie randy)HERNANDEZ V 115 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.