Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - August 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LITTLE JUNIOR Jul15 Jun30 Jun11 May25 Apr30 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.50    
2  JACKIE MOON Jul09 Jun08 May21 Apr08 Mar03 (derousselle pet)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 ★    
3  WHISKEY GENT Jun15 May26 Apr06 Mar11 Jan20 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  GRAND PRODUCTION Jul27 Jul13 May14 Apr20 Mar04 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00 14% 6.20    
5  BIG SESSY Jul27 Jul06 Jun11 May25 Apr28 (davis veronica)STOKES A 115 8.00 ★    
6  TEN BUDS Jul09 Jun01       (segura kearney)STOKES J 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
EVD-2   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS NITAP Jul29 Jul09 Jun04 May12 Apr23 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  YOUNMEHONEYBUNNY Jul13 Jun24 May25 May04 Apr21 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  FOR REAL ALICE Jul13 Jun17 May26 May04 Mar27 (pitzer d)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  ENVOYS LEGACY Jul15 Jun22 May28 May06 Apr21 (toups brent)STOKES J 120 4.50    
5  BLUE RIDGE HEAT Jul30 Jul16 Jun16 Jun03 May13 (thompson kevin)THORNTON G 123 6.00 ★    
6  AMERICAN REBEL Jul13 Jul01 May28 May06 Apr13 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00 ★    
 
EVD-3   08/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEGAS GUY Jul09 Jun16       (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
2  HAIL SOUTHERN Jul08 Jun08 Apr16 Feb16 Jan27 (cordero ang)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00    
3  B W P SPECIAL Jul27 Jul09 May20 Apr30   (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  POLICY LIMIT Aug03 Jul24 Jul03 Jun23 May01 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  MARVELOUS RED Jul14 Jun24 Feb24 Jan22   (alberto anto)MAGNON H 120 5.00    
6  WAITIN' ON A WOMAN Jun30 Apr30 Mar27 Feb24 Jan03 (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
7  ONE PROUD BOY Jul14 Jul01 May26 May05 Apr20 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 120 12.00 ★    
 
EVD-4   08/11/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L G GIRL Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 May19 Apr07 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 8.00    
2  ROCKETT MAGIC Jul22 Jul01 Jun08 Apr28 Mar05 (romero j)FUSILIER C 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
3  MSCHITCHATTOUR Jul30 Jul01 Jun15 May19 Apr23 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50    
4  FISH N CHICK Jul30 Jul08 Jun09 May13 Mar04 (bourgeois )ALBERT S 110 2.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  NIN TO WIN Jul30 Jun15 May27 May13 Apr06 (landry ray)MELANCON G 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS Jul25 Jul11 May11 Feb14 Jan23 (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 120 3.50 ★    
7  CLOCKED IN TYME Jul09 Apr23 Apr09 Mar05 Jan28 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-5   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TAP BABY         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 11% 7.90    
2  ST PIERRE         (stemmans donald)HERNANDEZ V 118 20.00 ★    
3  LIFEASWEKNOWIT Jul20 Jun18       (flint steve)THORNTON G 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Jul20 Jun18       (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00    
5  LITTLE STAR TARGET         (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 118 12.00 ★    
6  BUCK'S GLORY Jul20         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 8.00    
7  STAR SYZYGY Jun04         (fauche)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
 
EVD-6   08/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRAFT CHOICE Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 May26 Apr14 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 2.00    
SCR  SY MICHAEL Aug03 Jun03 May11 Apr28 Apr14 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
2  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Jul21 Jul04 Jun25 Jun16 May29 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 8% 12.10    
3  MATH MAN Jul12 May27 Feb20 Feb06 Jan21 (larrosa jua)MORALES ROBERTO 118 10.00    
4  LEROY JENKINS Jul21 Jul02 Jun03 Apr28 Apr14 (alonzo howa)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 20% 4.10    
5  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Jun22 May27 May06 Apr21   (klanfer alan)MCMAHON J 115 15.00    
6  MUCHO VELOCE Jul21 Jul02 Jun03 May13 Apr20 (devereux j)STOKES J 118 4.50 7% 13.10    
7  CHAPEL OF DREAMS Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May06 Apr14 (breaux samuel)FUSILIER C 115 12.00 8% 11.30    
8  MONITOR MILLS Jul22 Jul13 Jun16 Apr10   (chatte)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 6.00    
 
EVD-7   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPECIAL PRYCE Jul22 Apr24 Mar26 Feb27 Jan15 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.50 16% 5.20    
2  CUSTOM KAT Jun25 Jun01 Apr27 Apr06 Mar11 (cox l)STOKES J 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
3  QUANA DUDE Jul28 Jul14 Jul01 Jun08 Apr15 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 11% 8.40    
4  HIGH RIDGE Jul08 May18 Apr29 Apr07 Mar17 (alberto antonio)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
5  MONZZA Jul01 Jun16 May28 Apr30 Apr06 (chatte)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 10.00 ★    
6  UNDERDOG Jul24 Jul09 May25 Apr27 Apr08 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50    
7  FLASHBURN Jul29 Jul13 Jun01 May18 May05 (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 9% 9.90    
 
EVD-8   08/11/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUKIA Jul01 Jun10       (harrison cortlan)MELANCON G 118 12.00    
SCR  BISTINEAU BELLE Jul23 Jul14 Jun29     (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 115 15.00    
3  K V SQUARED Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 May25 May05 (huval brian)STOKES J 115 8.00    
4  MS. PRIESTLY Jul28 Jun29 May28     (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 3.00 14% 6.00    
5  CHROME SAVAGE Jul20 Jun03 Jan14     (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00 9% 10.40    
6  HIGH VALUE TARGET Jul23 Jul06 Jun10 May12 Mar25 (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  HOT PATOOTIE Jul16         (ney john)THORNTON G 115 10.00    
8  TRINITY QUEEN Jul22 Jun23 May27     (voorhees gle)MAGNON H 123 5.00 9% 9.70    
9  HAIRTRIGGER HEART Jul27 Jun25 Jun09 May13 Apr27 (zenon char)MARQUEZ L 120 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.