Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-5   08/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYDROGEN Jul17 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr10 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
2  JEDI KNIGHT Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 May22 May15 (puentes jose)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.50 ★    
3  MAHI MAHI Jul10 Jun17 Jun03 Jan30 Jan09 (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 5.00 14% 6.30    
4  CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT Jun17 May27 May08 Mar16 Feb09 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  FRANKS FIX IT Jul23 Jul09 Jun19 Jun05 May15 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 4.50 ★    
 
EMD-6   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVEWAY Jul23         (navarro jose)CRUZ M 120 8.00 ★    
2  ASK ALICE Jul17         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 120 3.50 ★    
3  STARRY BEACH Jul23 Jul10       (harwood doris)MAWING A 118 20.00 ★    
4  ALOHA BREEZE Jul10 Jun25       (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  GRAZED N' CONFUSED Jul17         (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 118 15.00    
6  MISS DYNAMIC Jul10 Jul02       (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 120 1.00 40% 1.50    
 
EMD-7   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Jul08 Jun17 May28 Apr22 Mar19 (martinez david)ANAYA V 121 20.00    
2  AWESOME DAZE Jul16 May29       (jenne bonnie)ZUNINO L 118 10.00 ★    
3  TYCHE AWAITS YOU Jul03 Jun05 May21 May08 Apr23 (markle dan)SAMUELS JAKE 118 15.00    
4  MS PARKSIDE Jul10 Jun19 May29 May02 Jan10 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 1.80 ★    
5  SMILING SALSA Jul10 Jun11 May21 Apr18 Mar17 (person kenne)OROZCO E 121 6.00 ★    
6  BIG FASHION Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 May28 May15 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 121 4.00 21% 3.90    
7  MO CONNELLY Jul16 Jun19 May22 May01 Apr01 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 121 8.00    
8  FIRE ESCAPE Jul01 May29 Apr23     (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 121 2.50 51% 0.90    
 
EMD-8   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S TURBO Jul10 Jun24       (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 118 10.00 ★    
2  DESHAMBEAU Jul10 Jun24       (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 120 1.80 57% 0.70    
3  SUPERMAX Jul17         (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 118 6.00    
4  CHUCKANUT BAY Jul09 Jul01 Jun12     (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 120 1.60 ★    
5  MISTER MIDAS Jul10 Jun24       (cryderman can)GUTIERREZ M 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  J C'S A LEGEND Jul17         (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 118 4.50 18% 4.70    
 
EMD-9   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUTTON Jul10 May28       (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 118 8.00 ★    
2  HEREDIA BOXER Jul24 Jun26 Jun03 May22   (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 1.80 ★    
3  MAKAH LANE Jul10 Jul01 Jun05     (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 118 5.00 ★    
4  STAND TO Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 May22   (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 121 10.00    
5  WINDRIBBON Jul24 Jun26 May28     (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  MISSED THE BOAT Jul17 Jun18 Jun03 Mar23 Mar04 (cryderman s)RADKE K 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
EMD-10   08/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF LUCK Jul23 Jul08 Jun26 Jun11   (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  THE METAL MAN Jul15 Jun10 May21 Mar01 Feb15 (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
3  NORSKI Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 May28   (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 124 8.00 ★    
4  DUSALUT Jul15 Jun28 Jun20     (mcdevitt tiffani)WOOTEN W 124 10.00 12% 7.30    
5  ORCADIAN STORM Jul24 Jul10 Jun24 Jun04 May21 (rosales )MURO ISIDRO 124 1.80    
6  MISO FAST Jul23 Jul03 Jun24 Jun05 May21 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.