Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - August 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/05/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG LEE'S LEGACY Jul09 Jun19       (frangella james )FERRER C 118 5.00 ★    
2  INDIANTOWN         (motion graham)ROSE J 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  CASSATION Jul10 Jun19 May22     (owens edd)VARGAS A 118 1.00 49% 1.00    
4  MORETHANACONQUEROR Jun04         (harris holly)CARDENAS LUIS 123 8.00    
5  LUCKY FOR SHORE Jul23 Jul06 Jun15 May30   (castro jeremia)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
6  FOREST FROST Jun30 Jun10 May20 Apr15 Feb25 (keller ch)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 ★    
7  TALE GATORING         (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
8  KOBE'S RHYTHM Jul01 May30       (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 118 10.00    
9  EXAGGERATEDDEFENCE Jul01 Jun19       (lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.00 7% 13.40    
 
MTH-2   08/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN FORCES Jul08 Jul02 Jun10 Apr29 Feb15 (sacco gre)RODRIGUEZ A 124 1.50 35% 1.90    
2  I LOVE JAXSON Jun04 May12       (engle)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 1.60 19% 4.20    
3  NUTZFORBOLTZ Jul22 Jun19 Apr21 Apr01 Feb05 (king c)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 12.00 18% 4.70    
4  STRONG BREEZE Jul22 Jul02 Jun24 Jun05 May22 (abrams jack)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 5.00 ★    
5  HEART OF A DREAMER Jul19 Jun10       (simon l)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEDAZZLING Jul30 Jul16 May18 Mar26   (simmonds mich)PANAIJO JORGE 124 10.00    
7  RELISHMENT Jul22 Jul08 Jul02 Jun19 Jun10 (hogan william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 8.00    
 
MTH-3   08/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET HER RUN         (owens j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 5.00 ★    
SCR  LA DE PELUCHE         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 10.00    
3  EXCLUSIVE ROSE Jul16         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 10.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  SMILING SUNSHINE Jun17 May31       (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 30.00    
5  TIME HORIZON         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 2.50 25% 2.90    
6  BEATIFUL KARLA         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 ★    
7  HOAX (IRE)         (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 117 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  BANK BUSTER Jul16         (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 20.00    
 
MTH-4   08/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXALTED CHARM Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 May20 Apr23 (russo victor)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.50 ★    
2  LUCKY AS A SEVEN Jul09 Jun26 May28 Apr01 Mar03 (avila jua)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.00 16% 5.40    
3  HIDE THE RANSOM Jul10         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
4  MYSTERY MO Jul08 Jun18 May29 Jan21 Jan09 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 ★    
5  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Jul16 Jun19 May24 May11 Apr26 (simmonds mich)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 6.00 ★    
6  CONFECTIONER Jun18 May28 Mar26 Feb20 Feb04 (mc al)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 20.00    
7  FIRE'S FINALE Jul12 Feb01       (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.50    
 
MTH-5   08/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEST ABOVE Jul09 Apr22 Apr03 Feb19   (preciado guad)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
2  TAP THE CANDY Jun24 Jun05 Apr23 Mar20 Feb16 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  FACTUM LOVE STYLE Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 Jan26 Jan18 (gonzalez-mil)BURKE JERMAINE 123 20.00    
4  HIGHGATE ROAD Apr24 Mar05       (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.00 18% 4.50    
5  SUNSET PROVISION Jun26 May01 Apr14 Mar09 Feb02 (orseno f)FERRER C 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  LEOPARDI Jun19 May12 Apr24 Mar19 Feb12 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 ★    
7  KINGDOM ON PAWS Jul15 Jun30 May22     (mc john)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  STRATEGIC (AUS) Jul04 Jun04       (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50    
 
MTH-6   08/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALARM CLOCK Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 Mar06 Jan08 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00 14% 6.30    
2  AKEMI Jul15 Jun11 May13 Apr03 Feb23 (cole-d)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 15.00    
3  LEAH'S LEGACY Jul13 Jun04 Apr08     (sweezey ken)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  SEA FRET Jul09 Jun11 May17 Apr27 Mar16 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
5  ASYENA Jul02 Jun12 May28     (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.50 42% 1.40    
6  CABRA CHICA Jul08 Jun25 May05 Apr24 Apr14 (magee kieron)ROSE J 120 3.50    
7  MOVING IN STEREO Jul13 Jun19 May28     (rodriguez )ROWLAND MADELINE 112 4.00 ★    
8  WELL SHES HANDSOME         (mccarthy bren)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
9  LA LUISA         (wilson faith)CARDENAS LUIS 121 15.00 ★    
 
MTH-7   08/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALONG THE WAY Jul24 Jul09 Jun17 May28 May15 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 124 3.00    
2  LOVE'S MISERY Jul02 Jun12 May15 Apr24 Mar04 (atras)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 2.50 ★    
3  CHEERLEADER BARB Jul16         (alcala cesar)CARDENAS LUIS 124 5.00 ★    
4  LADY TEUFLESBERG Jun26 Jun12 Jun04 Apr30 Mar11 (zerpa gilbert)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 8.00    
5  BEAUTIFUL STAR Jul15 Jun24 Jun04 May16 Apr19 (hernandez jose)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00    
6  ROSE E HOLIDAY Jul15 Jan16       (carvaja)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
7  GOLDEN OLDIE Jul16 Jun26 Jun04 Apr29   (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 6.00    
8  GOODBYE CAROLINA Jul16 Jun04 Apr29 Apr13 Mar20 (wilson tony)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 5.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  NEW YORK ROCK STAR Aug03 Jul16 Jul06 Jun21 Jun10 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  WENDY'S FINE WINE Jun21 Jun10 May09 Mar30 Feb22 (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 124 8.00    
SCR  A RING THING Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 Mar18 Feb24 (soto c)VARGAS A 124 8.00 5% 17.50    
 
MTH-8   08/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDICULOUS Jul24 Jul04 Jun10 May29 Apr29 (skelton d)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
2  CAJUN MANDATE Jul24 Jul04 Jun17 Mar09 Feb25 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  WILLY MC Jul30 Jul01 Jun03 Mar24 Feb04 (camejo m)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00    
4  TEMPESTUOUS Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 Jun10 May14 (crowell susan)PANAIJO JORGE 117 15.00 ★    
5  ISLE OF SKYE Jul09 Jun03 Mar26 Mar05 Feb16 (bennett g)VARGAS A 117 4.00 ★    
6  MUGSY MALONE Jul16 Jun24 May13 Apr15 Apr07 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 2.50 35% 1.90    
7  I'M OVER U Jul04 May29       (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.