Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - August 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/04/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED IRISH Jul14         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 2.50 ★    
2  GOLDEN GLOW Jul14 Jun24 May13 May06 Apr22 (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 15.00    
3  WICKED FELINA Jun02         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 3.50 ★    
4  TALENTED CORINNA Jul14 Jun18 Jun02 Apr20 Apr01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  LOST ANCHOR May26 Apr22 Mar19 Feb04 Jan14 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 114 4.00 ★    
6  MISS MIDNIGHT Jul14 Jun18 Jun02     (brown ronn)ALMODOVAR GERALD 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
CT-2   08/04/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND FIBER Jul14 Jun25 May12 Apr21 Mar23 (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  MOSBY'S RANGER Jul14 Mar23 Feb18 Jan15   (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 120 5.00 ★    
3  U ROCK IT Jul01         (hillegass )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.60    
4  SILVER CASTLE Jul14 Jul08 Jun17 May25 May06 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 115 10.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  EXECUTIVE DECREE Jul26 Jun22 May25 Feb15 Jan28 (hillegass al)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 18% 4.40    
6  WILLIE THE WHALE Jul09 Jun02 May20 Apr27 Apr13 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 ★    
 
CT-3   08/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEEL THE LOVE May19 Apr20 Mar25 Mar04 Feb24 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 124 10.00    
2  TIZBIT Jul16 Jun23 May20 Apr23 Mar09 (gillespie ryan )PELTROCHE F 124 15.00 7% 12.50    
3  MY JUBA Jul23 May28 Apr20 Mar25 Feb03 (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  WALK A FINE LINE Jun17 May28 Apr30 Apr07 Mar03 (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 4.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Jul13 Jul01 Jun18 May28 May14 (joy ke)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00    
6  ARROWWOOD Jun17 May19 Apr07 Mar04   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 8.00    
7  JAMESTOWN ROAD Jul16 Jun17 May20 Apr27 Mar16 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.50 ★    
8  VICTORY ROYALE Jun29 Jun17 May28 Apr27 Apr16 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.50 27% 2.80    
 
CT-4   08/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOWE ANGEL Jul02 May06 Mar30     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  AZZURRA Jul01 Apr23 Mar25 Feb17 Feb06 (farrior anthon)ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.80 ★    
3  MOONLIT SHADOW Jul02 Jun10 May20 Apr22 Apr02 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 19% 4.40    
4  SEE YA MANANA May06 Apr23       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.00 ★    
5  OCEAN LILLY Jul02 May20 Apr27 Apr07 Feb17 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 11% 7.90    
 
CT-5   08/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($30.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFFICER APPEAL Jul16 Jun25 Jun09 Mar31 Mar18 (kirlew lenwor)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
2  HOBE SOUND (IRE) Jul07 Jun03 May26 May11 Apr29 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50    
3  NORTHERN RIDGE Jul16 Jun25 Jun02     (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
4  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Jun16 May19       (straughn wil)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 20.00    
5  AUTS REVOLUTION Jul09 Jun26 May26 May05 Apr16 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 ★    
6  KING NEKIA Jul16 May26 May12 Apr21 Mar31 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
7  SUGAR DADDY Jul10 Jun11 May06 Mar25   (mcmahon hug)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50 31% 2.30    
8  NOVA BOY Jul16 Jun18       (figgins l)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
CT-6   08/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBERLY Jul02 Jun02 Feb10 Jan13   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 2.00 20% 4.00    
2  WHALE OF A TIME Jul14 Jun16 May21 Apr15 Mar17 (contreras )ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 4.50 16% 5.10    
3  MY SISTER PAM May25 May04 Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 6.00 ★    
4  MIDNIGHT BRASS Apr29         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.40 42% 1.40    
SCR  ELIANAGRACE Jul14         (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
6  MOIRAINE Jul07 May13 Apr29 Apr08 Mar03 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00 ★    
 
CT-7   08/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLISHED GEM Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 Jun09 May05 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
2  MISS CASEY Apr14 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 8.00    
3  HOLLY'S PERSUASION Jun23 May27 May07 Apr16 Mar26 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 8.00    
4  MADY ROSE Jul09 Jun23 May27 May07 Apr22 (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  SHERIFF'S KID Jun30 Jun10 May18 Apr02 Mar16 (price james )BATISTA A 120 15.00    
6  BARISTA VIXEN May24 Apr22 Feb27 Feb10 Jan17 (kulp brand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
7  STYLISH PAINT Jun10 May27 Apr30 Apr13 Mar17 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00 ★    
8  BOUNDTOBEOK Jul16 Jun10 May06     (casey w)LARROSA G 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
9  MARKETABILITY May06 Apr28 Feb27 Feb11 Jan02 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
CT-8   08/04/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMELLSLIKEMONEY Jul07 May26 May07 Apr23 Apr14 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 15.00 ★    
2  HINK'S PALADIN Jul22 Jul09 Jun23 May10 Apr16 (johnston r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.00    
3  DINNER BELL Jul07 Jun17 May26 May07 Apr15 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  NOW I'M BROKE Jul07 Jun17 May26 Apr14 Mar23 (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50    
5  TANELEER Jul21 Jul07 Mar03 Feb11 Jan26 (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 120 15.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  ABOUT TO RAGE Jul07 Jun17 May26 May05 Mar18 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 3.00 14% 6.20    
7  HURRICANE AMIGO Jun30 Jun10 May07 Apr16 Mar26 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.