Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORD FOR WORD         (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 ★    
2  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Jul02 Jun04       (spina cha)VARGAS A 117 4.50 ★    
3  JERSEY GREGG Jul02         (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 1.40 70% 0.40    
4  STARSTRUCK NOTION         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 117 10.00    
5  BURN EM         (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00 ★    
6  LONG LEGS Jul02         (hollendorfer )JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 3.00 ★    
7  ISLAND SPIRIT         (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00    
 
MTH-2   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAILEY Jul02 Jun09 Apr03 Mar05 Jan30 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  JAIME JAMEL Jun23 Jun04 Apr15 Mar09 Feb10 (cruz jaime)PANAIJO JORGE 124 10.00    
3  MARVIN Jun26 May29 May08 Apr24 Mar20 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
4  HE'S INCREDIBLE Jul12         (velazquez alfred)FERRER C 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  RUNNING VIOLENCE Jul02 Jun11 May29 May21 Mar20 (mc john)MARIN SAMUEL 124 20.00 ★    
6  DAYTIME LOVER Jul12 Jun13       (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 6.00    
7  LUCKY LOVER BOY Jan09         (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 5.00 6% 16.90    
 
MTH-3   07/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Jun24         (spina cha)VARGAS A 117 15.00    
2  SEA MAIDEN         (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 ★    
3  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Jun24         (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 0.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  RAINBOW RHYTHM Jun24         (hollendorfer )JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.50 22% 3.60    
5  STARLET ON THE RUN         (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 5.00 ★    
6  FIXED ODDS         (simoff andrew)RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00 ★    
7  BABY CAKES Jul08 Jun24       (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
 
MTH-4   07/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC DREAMS Jul03 Jun25 Jun10 Apr15 Apr09 (mazza joseph )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00 13% 6.60    
2  MY FIRST LOVE Jun29 Apr10 Feb26 Feb01   (servis j )VARGAS A 117 8.00    
3  MY BEAUTY PRINCESS Jun25         (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 29% 2.50    
4  ANNAGANGSTA Mar13 Jan16       (schultz linds)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 8.00 ★    
5  EMPIRES FIRST LADY Jul03 Jun10 May21     (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 121 5.00    
6  ABIDALE Apr16 Apr05 Mar02 Feb08   (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.50    
7  I'M BUZZY Jun10 Apr27 Apr02 Mar09 Feb11 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.00 ★    
8  COCONUT BEACH         (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
MTH-5   07/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEVOTED KITTEN Jul09 Jun11 Apr23 Apr01 Feb19 (d'angel)BRICENO GREGOR 121 10.00 8% 12.00    
2  SO LONG CHUCK         (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 11% 7.80    
3  RELISHMENT Jul08 Jul02 Jun19 Jun10 May29 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 12.00    
4  LIVEYOURBEASTLIFE Jun24 Jun10 May21 Apr14   (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 121 2.50 ★    
5  INTERNET OF THINGS Jul09 Jun17 May21 Apr29 Apr08 (magee kieron)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
6  COX'S LEDGE Jun19 Jun03 May22 Mar30 Mar06 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 4.50    
7  NUTZFORBOLTZ Jun19 Apr21 Apr01 Feb05 Jan01 (king clarence)CARDENAS LUIS 121 6.00    
8  STRONG BREEZE Jul02 Jun24 Jun05 May22 Jan05 (abrams jack)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 8.00 7% 12.40    
 
MTH-6   07/22/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($22K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANALYZETHISANDTHAT         (englehart chri)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
2  KASIM Jun17 Apr29 Mar25 Feb26 Feb02 (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 ★    
3  J P HELLISH Jun17 Jun03 Apr29 Apr10 Mar27 (russo fra)VARGAS A 120 3.50 ★    
4  SOUTH SEA Jun05 May17 Apr21 Mar26 Jan22 (lucas)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  CRACK SHOT Jul04 Jun17 Apr29 Apr17 Mar24 (russo fra)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 ★    
6  R BOY BODE Jul10 Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 May05 (thompson marc)CARDENAS LUIS 120 8.00    
7  LUCKY JAIME May22         (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00    
8  SHOO SHINE         (dini mike)FERRER C 120 15.00    
SCR  BAM BAM BLU Jul04 Jun05 Mar16 Jan30   (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
MTH-7   07/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS GEORGIA Jun18 Jun05 May14 Apr15 Mar25 (juarez calixt)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  JOY'S PRIDE Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 May28 May15 (huston k)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
3  BIKINI BABY Jul02 Jun05 May14     (owens j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 67% 0.50    
4  BEATUBYACHUBINOSE Jul02 Jun05 May14     (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 ★    
5  NO SYMPATHY Jul09 Jun12 May28 May14 Apr05 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
6  POSTINO'S CHAMPION Jul02 Jun12 Jun03 Jan21 Jan02 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  BAMBOO GARDEN Jul02 Jun12       (farro pat)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00    
8  RACHEL CAROLINE Jul02 Jun03 May28 May14   (frangella ja)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 5% 18.00    
9  POSTINO'S SECRET Jul01 Jun04 May12 Mar06 Jan27 (worton e)FERRER C 120 12.00    
 
MTH-8   07/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A PRINCE Jun25 Jun03       (margotta antho)MOYA F 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  TEMPESTUOUS Jul03 Jun17 Jun10 May14 Mar25 (crowell susan)PANAIJO JORGE 117 20.00    
3  FOOD BANK HELPER Jun18 May28 Apr17 Mar19 Feb19 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00 18% 4.70    
4  SHIMMERING LEROID Jun25 May28 Apr24 Mar18 Feb20 (mccarthy brend)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00    
5  ANGELI BLU Jul16 Jun12 May22 Apr07   (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 8.00 23% 3.30    
6  ORIGO Jul01 May21 Apr24 Apr03 Feb18 (mccarthy bren)SANTOS ADEMAR 117 12.00    
7  SURFING Jul02 Jun11 May22     (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 124 3.50    
SCR  SHIMMERING LIGHT Jun11 May29 Apr17 Mar20 Mar06 (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 121 8.00    
9  YAH HUH Jun18 Jun10 May28 May06 Apr16 (lucas bonnie)FERRER C 121 6.00    
10  NOBLE CONQUEST Jul02 Jun16 May20 Apr23   (abreu r)CARDENAS LUIS 121 5.00    
SCR  VISION BOARD Jul03 Mar25 Jan13     (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 115 6.00    
SCR  LUDO Jun18 May14 Apr27 Apr02 Feb23 (salzman e)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00 ★    
SCR  STEEL PIER Jul10 Jun11 May22 Apr26   (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 15.00    
SCR  SUPER WICKED CHARM Jul02 Jun18 May28 May20   (jones)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.