Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIANNA HILLS Jun12 Feb18 Jan29 Jan12   (reeves jeffery)GUZMAN JORGE 124 4.00    
NEW YEAR'S PARTY Jun18 May14 Mar05 Feb17   (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.00    
CUSTOM FOR CARLITA Jun19 May30 May16 May07 Mar23 (hatcher nath)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00    
HALFGLAMOROUS May21 Mar27 Mar13     (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 121 1.60 37% 1.70    
HONEST WOMAN Jun12 May22 Mar03 Jan29 Jan01 (turner patt)FLORES S 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
DIXIE LOVING Jun27 Jun12 May07     (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 10% 8.70    
 
LAD-2   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEBOP SHOES Jun13 Mar17 Jan22 Jan02   (cangemi dani)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50    
FLASH IT Jun18 May30       (meyers errol)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00    
SCR  REDIVIVUS Jun14 Feb25       (snodderl)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
CLUB SODA Jan15 Jan03       (camejo m)TORRES HUGO 119 1.40 66% 0.50    
KASILOF Jun13         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 11% 8.40    
JOHNNYSJOURNEY         (nelson eric)FLORES S 121 8.00    
 
LAD-3   07/12/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDESA'S HANDMAID May29 Apr23 Mar27 Feb28 Feb05 (vincent jar)FLORES S 119 6.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Jun13 May17 Apr29 Feb20 Jan23 (vincent jarvis)CULP BRIANNE 117 6.00    
2B  PUZZLING PRIORITY Jun23 Jun01 Mar03 Feb16 Jan28 (thomas lee)BACA L 119 10.00    
SCR  CATALINA QUEEN Feb06 Jan20       (thomas lee)BACA L 114 10.00    
SCAMPERING GRAYCE Jun18         (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50    
MY SISTER ANNETTE Jun18 May14 Feb23 Jan20   (schultz )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
LILLIE DELL Jun16         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
DROP DEAD SEXY May28 May14 Mar04 Feb18   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 8.00    
MY BABYS GONE Jun24 Jun16 May28 Apr30 Mar11 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
LAD-4   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERIFF C J         (feilner ray )BOLANOS LEONEL 119 20.00    
HEZA SEXY ZONG Jun27 Jun04 May14 Mar17 Feb25 (dison phill)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 6.00    
SON CARLOS Jun04 May09 Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 (dunn ra)LOZADA CARLOS 116 4.00 49% 1.00    
JUSTIN SPEIGHT Jun14 May06 Apr03     (cangemi dani)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  THUNDERTAKESDALEAD Jun19 Jun04 May22     (melancon do)FLORES S 116 10.00    
CLASSIC INTENTION         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
BILLHILL Jun21 Apr30 Apr03 Mar11   (prather john)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50    
 
LAD-5   07/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ORBITAL STARR Jun19 Jun04 May07 Apr10 Mar31 (prather john)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00    
IMMORTAL (IRE) May24 May08 Mar18 Feb04   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
FREIGHTRAINFREEMAN Jun11 May24 May08 Feb25 Feb04 (balderas alfon)BACA L 122 8.00    
SCR  PLEASANT VISION Jun05 May15 Apr28 Apr14 Feb11 (hirdes john)CULP BRIANNE 114 20.00    
JUSTA SWINGING Jun27 Jun05 Feb03     (turner patt)FLORES S 119 15.00    
WHEN'S TEE TIME Jun20 Jun07       (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  MISTS OF TIME Jun26 May31 May16 Mar06 Jan13 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 10% 9.30    
HOLY EMPEROR Jun13 May30 May08 Mar20 Jan29 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
ANICLUDE Jun20 May09 Mar13 Feb20 Jan29 (wilson shane)BOREL H 122 4.50    
 
LAD-6   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
X CLOWN Jun02 Mar26 Feb21 Feb04 Jan09 (delhomme jer)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
DOUBLE STAR Jun06 Mar05 Feb12     (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 9% 10.30    
ADIOS CARLOS Jun28 Jun09 May24 May07 Mar03 (johnson hen)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.50    
DIXIE STREET Jun21 May30 May07 Apr16 Mar31 (soto fermin)FLORES S 122 10.00    
MIKE J May24 Apr29 Apr08 Jan18   (thomas lee)COTTO L 117 3.50 10% 8.90    
HALF AGAIN May21 Apr14 Mar26     (faucheux ron)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
SAMMY DANSEUR JR. May24 May15       (dunn hen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
 
LAD-7   07/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS TONALIST Jun21 May29 May14 Mar09 Feb16 (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00    
ROYAL BONUS Jul02 May21 May06 Feb18   (witt i)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
SCR  SATIN ROSE Apr30 Apr08 Feb23 Jan21   (jacks e)GUZMAN JORGE 124 3.50    
HEART OF INDEE Jun27 Jun14 Jun05 May10 Mar18 (hatcher nathan )TORRES HUGO 119 30.00    
I'D BE RICH Jun28         (duke steven)CULP BRIANNE 111 15.00 8% 11.00    
BORN INTO BAD NEWS Jun21 May29 Apr24 Apr07 Mar24 (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
ZANDY DEE Jun21 May22       (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 10.00    
C C'S COWGIRL Jun21 May29 May09 Mar17 Feb14 (schmidt denise)BACA L 119 6.00    
BEYOND THE HYPE Jun08 May25 Apr29 Apr07 Mar13 (johnson b)BOREL H 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
10  CHARLIE'S GAL Jun21 Jun05 May04 Jan20   (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.