Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY WHAT Jun07 May29 May08 Mar04 Feb16 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 5.00 17% 4.70    
TAY TAY'S BABY Jun25 Jun04 May21 Apr28 Apr08 (broberg k)TORRES A 117 3.00    
SCR  MRS. DELLA Jun07 May16 Mar20 Jan17   (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 114 10.00    
LADY LUTE Jun25         (milligan allen)BOREL H 122 15.00    
MY GAL CHARLOTTE Jun22 May20 Feb18 Jan29 Jan06 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 114 10.00 11% 7.80    
LUTESCOOT N BOOGIE Mar18 Jan21 Jan06     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50    
JOANIE GAL May28 Mar24 Mar06 Jan28   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
LAD-2   07/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPSION Feb25         (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 4.50    
MALIBU KENDALL May28 May01 Apr08 Feb10   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 1.40 27% 2.70    
PINTLALA Jun25 Jun07 May21 May07 Feb24 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 12.00 14% 6.30    
EMMAS RULER Jun18 Jun05 May24 May16 Jan28 (de beauvill)FLORES S 119 8.00 25% 3.00    
TEXAS BLUEBONNET Jun11 May20 Apr29 Apr07 Mar03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.00    
SUSAN STRONG Jun12 May22 Mar23 Mar03 Feb18 (reeves jeffery)GUZMAN JORGE 122 6.00    
 
LAD-3   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS MAMA Jun18 May30 Jan15 Jan01   (broberg k)TORRES A 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
GLITTER TIME Jun06         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 121 3.50    
COUNTRY DREAMIN Jun18 May30 May07     (feilner f)CULP BRIANNE 119 20.00    
ACTIVE GIRL Jun06 May07 Mar27 Mar05 Feb12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50    
BELMAR BEAUTY Jun18 May28 Mar20 Mar01 Jan16 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
MARY ALICE Jun19 May24 May07 Apr24 Mar18 (milligan allen)BOREL H 124 5.00    
LUCKY LINZ Jun06 May28 May07 Apr13 Mar27 (melancon do)FLORES S 121 8.00 18% 4.60    
KELLYS THE BOSS May23 May14 Apr15 Feb25 Feb12 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
 
LAD-4   07/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. TIN MAN Jun18 May22       (romero gera)FLORES S 122 10.00    
GUITARTUITION PLZZ Jun20 Jun07 May15 Mar27 Mar19 (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.50    
NINEJUANJUAN CALL May31 Apr13 Mar24 Mar06 Feb17 (gomez jorge)CULP BRIANNE 112 6.00    
INTO WISHING Jun18 May31 May08 Mar05 Jan30 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00    
GOOD OLD CHARLIE May31         (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 1.80 34% 2.00    
FORTY THREE Jun18 May08 Mar27 Mar13 Feb17 (balderas alf)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
LAD-5   07/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY STREAKER Jun19 Jun06 May22 May09 Mar23 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
FLASHYMEISTER         (williams bl)VARGAS P 124 15.00    
WOMAN WITH A BOOK Jun06 May09 Mar17 Feb24 Jan06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50    
PIONEER MAN         (gibson jonas)BOREL H 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  MOSTA FLYIN Jun06 May23 May09 Mar13 Feb20 (gomez jorge)CULP BRIANNE 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
FORT RIDGE Jun27 Jun06 May23 Apr10 Mar31 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 19% 4.10    
SUPER WISE Jun11 May24 May10 Apr01 Mar12 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.00    
HIP FOUR O FOUR Jun18 May22 May09 Feb26 Feb12 (nelson eric)FLORES S 124 12.00    
 
LAD-6   07/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SMILES May23 Feb11 Jan14     (schultz robe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
SWEET BAY May20 May12 Mar31 Mar23 Mar04 (broberg k)TORRES A 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
MELODY ROSE Jun12 Mar06 Feb21 Jan29   (mouton patric)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
CAVE CREEK Jun20 Jun10 May18 Apr30 Apr06 (dusset)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  FIRINGTOTHEFRONT May28 Mar19 Feb13     (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.20    
MISS PAT'S GIRL Jun20 May23 Mar05 Feb05 Jan07 (gomez rafae)FLORES S 119 12.00 7% 13.30    
 
LAD-7   07/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOPPA STYLE Jun18 May23 May07     (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 4.00 6% 16.90    
OKUDAH Jun07 Mar13 Feb04     (savoie sherman)SINGH R 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE PRIORITY Jun25 Jun06 May15 Mar05 Feb02 (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 117 20.00    
DUDE DROP KID Jun11 May21 May03 Apr20 Apr10 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 117 6.00    
SPIRIT SOUL Jun26 Jun11 May07 Apr22 Feb17 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
OREGON COUNTY Jun14 Feb11 Jan15     (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00    
ACTIFDASH Jun25 Jun11 May21 Feb17 Jan27 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00    
DEALMEINBUD Jun14 May31 Apr29 Feb11 Jan16 (cates al)BOREL H 117 4.50 20% 3.90    
LUCKY CRUSADER Jun20 May22 Feb21 Jan17   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
10  PLENTY OF CENTS Jun14 May18 Apr25 Apr13 Mar30 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 117 5.00 45% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.