Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Friday - June 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-3   06/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7.4K) 35 ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE THE BID May20 Apr04 Mar08     (hudson jeff)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00    
JAZZ MAN DO Jun04 Mar22       (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
GOBLIN Jun04 May23 May07 Apr22   (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
D C GUN RUNNER Jun04         (riddle jacki)VILLANUEVA C 123 4.50    
GOOD BYE CHARLIE Jun04 May17 Apr23 Apr03 Mar26 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 120 3.00    
MISS NAVAJO Feb19 Feb04       (danley fre)RODRIGUEZ H 118 6.00    
 
RUI-5   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARMER FRED R F Apr23 Mar27 Mar08 Feb15 Jan23 (barrios b)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 4.50 6% 16.80    
WATFORD Apr29 Feb15 Jan18     (gonzalez andr)JUAREZ J 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
SMOOTH BLUES Jun05 Mar29 Mar13 Mar01 Feb15 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
MARK'S WARRIOR May20 Mar27 Mar08 Feb27 Jan09 (munoz guada)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 3.00    
TRUEZER Mar08 Feb01       (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00    
CAUGHT STEALING Jun05 May21 May07 Feb27 Feb13 (sedillo richard )CHAVEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
ZENFULLY ZESTY May28 Apr29 Mar08 Feb27 Feb01 (buechler simon )REYES FRANK 120 6.00    
 
RUI-7   06/17/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELLIOT Jan29 Jan11       (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 17% 4.80    
PLATINUM GREEK Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Jan02   (keeton toby)SARMIENTO RIGO 118 4.50    
MASTERCLASS Apr30 Feb27 Feb08     (armstrong s)SCRIVER L 123 8.00    
TROOPER Apr23 Mar15       (leyba ruben)TORRES J 123 12.00    
SCR  TESTING THE WATERS Jun12 Apr11 Feb19     (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 12.00 13% 6.90    
BARBIERE May13 Apr30 Mar18 Jan29 Jan21 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 41% 1.50    
KENTUCKY PEERLESS May13 Apr30       (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00    
 
RUI-9   06/17/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS YOU MOM Apr28 Apr18 Mar15 Feb22 Jan23 (valerio ray)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 2.50 39% 1.50    
MAGIC MOSCO May15 Apr22 Apr02 Mar04 Feb15 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
FLYIN FALYNN Mar08 Feb20 Feb05 Jan09   (zamora chris)CHAVEZ R 118 2.00    
CERNAN Apr23 Mar28 Mar15 Feb21 Jan28 (gonzalez andres)REYES FRANK 123 6.00 14% 6.40    
WILMAS IRISH ROVER May15 Apr03 Feb12 Jan23 Jan01 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 4.00    
JAN'S RESERVE May28 May14 Apr29 Feb12   (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
RUI-10   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PHANTOMOFTHEOPERE Jun05 May08 Mar15 Jan09   (cappellucci d)PURCELL KELSI 123 5.00    
DIABOLICAL MIGHT Mar27 Mar08 Feb15 Jan29 Jan09 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
TRUELY RIGHT         (sanders g)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 4.50    
LEAD MONTEREY Feb27 Feb01 Jan09     (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 25% 3.10    
LUCK IN MY EYES Apr29 Mar08 Feb01     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
MAJORWAYHOME May28 Apr22 Mar20 Feb27 Feb08 (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.