Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY GONE SWEET Mar27 Mar04 Feb06 Jan16   (ingram stev)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00    
BODE'S CONNECTION Mar26 Mar09 Feb26 Jan30 Jan14 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 1.40 34% 1.90    
MISS KENNEDY May07         (duke steven)COTTO L 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
I'M A CUSTOM TO IT May16 Mar25 Mar09 Feb14 Jan28 (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 111 10.00    
DARLING JOANNA Apr23         (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
MY FRIEND MR. JIM May01 Jan13       (cates al)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 6.00    
 
LAD-2   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOM FOR CARLITA May16 May07 Mar23 Mar05 Feb12 (hatcher n)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 2.50    
TEXAS MAMA Jan15 Jan01       (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.50 30% 2.30    
HOLY SONG         (dison phillip )CULP BRIANNE 116 10.00 12% 7.10    
ALBERTA MOON May15 Mar05 Feb12 Jan19   (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 1.60    
COUNTRY DREAMIN May07         (feilner ray )BOLANOS LEONEL 124 12.00 9% 10.40    
SAINT KENNEDY Jan14         (antwine mic)FLORES S 124 3.50    
 
LAD-3   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEE SASSY RUN May09 Mar31 Feb25 Feb05   (morris rowdy)LOZADA CARLOS 124 1.80    
SCR  HALFGLAMOROUS May21 Mar27 Mar13     (jeansonne just)COTTO L 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
G'S DEADLINE May09 Mar27 Mar09 Feb14 Jan23 (jeansonne ju)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
THEBOYZGALAXY Mar09 Jan02       (dandridge cour)CULP BRIANNE 117 12.00    
LIL ASHLEY B. May09 Mar27 Mar09 Feb14 Jan23 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
MILA'S GOLD May09 Mar27 Mar09 Jan23   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 7% 13.70    
 
LAD-4   05/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUTOFTHISGALAXY Apr20         (degeyter randy)CULP BRIANNE 117 15.00 14% 6.30    
BISTRAYA May15 Feb18 Feb05 Jan14 Jan01 (gomez david )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50 25% 2.90    
LUCKENBACHER Mar16 Feb05 Jan08     (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50    
FAST VERDICT May10 Mar04 Feb19 Jan26 Jan15 (nelson eric)FLORES S 122 6.00    
DIXIE STREET May07 Apr16 Mar31 Mar24 Mar03 (soto f)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
GUITAR SLIM May07 Apr13 Mar16 Feb26 Jan07 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 122 1.50    
 
LAD-5   05/30/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAB THE MUNNY May14 Apr28 Mar10     (uballe adam)GUZMAN JORGE 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
MCLEAN May08 Feb24 Jan29 Jan13   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
ROCKDALE May10 Apr09 Mar23 Jan30 Jan21 (faucheux ron)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00    
CREATIVE LETTERS May09 Apr01 Mar10 Jan28   (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00    
TALE OF A STORM May12 Apr16 Mar10 Feb10 Jan20 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
D TWO May10         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.80 29% 2.50    
NATE'S WAY Feb26 Feb03 Jan12     (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00 8% 11.00    
 
LAD-6   05/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO DOT May09 Mar13 Feb19 Jan30   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00    
BOSTON REPO         (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 4.00 19% 4.20    
SMART TIME Apr03 Mar17 Jan30     (hornsby tammy)CULP BRIANNE 119 15.00    
GLENN'S JUMPER Feb20 Jan08       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
KATS SECOND SILVER Apr28 Mar24 Feb23 Jan06   (uballe adam)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
G DON'T KNOW May21 Apr16 Mar13 Feb24 Feb09 (shamsie mik)FLORES S 121 12.00    
HOMEVIEW Apr29 Apr01 Mar18 Feb19 Feb09 (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 124 15.00    
POWERSHOT Feb19 Feb03       (gomez c)COTTO L 124 8.00    
FLASH IT         (meyers errol)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00    
 
LAD-7   05/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONT PAGE May09         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 6% 14.80    
VIM AND VIGOR May08 Apr07 Mar16 Feb05 Jan08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 7% 13.80    
SILENT TAP May08 Mar05 Jan13     (wilson shane)BOREL H 116 3.00 28% 2.60    
HOLY EMPEROR May08 Mar20 Jan29 Jan08   (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 122 8.00    
SCR  BIG SUCCESS May07 Apr22 Apr03 Mar20 Mar05 (prather john )VARGAS P 122 8.00    
GENERATOR Apr23 Mar26 Mar12 Feb19 Jan16 (williams bla)CULP BRIANNE 117 15.00    
SNIVELING May19 May06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb11 (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
MOSH PIT Feb14 Jan17       (cuccia j)COTTO L 116 20.00    
ESCROW STYLE Apr01 Feb26 Jan28     (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 20.00    
10  OH MY ACHING ARCH May15         (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  DEALMEINBUD Apr29 Feb11 Jan16 Jan01   (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 116 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.