Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - May 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN ON YOU May12 May03 Feb24 Feb11   (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 119 4.50    
DATZA FIVE OH May20 May03       (woodbury j)VILLASANA CARLOS 125 4.00 15% 5.70    
CANDY CURL May12 Apr29 Mar25 Mar12 Feb25 (spicer t)OUZTS W 125 3.50 25% 3.00    
RICKI TORNADO May12 May03 Apr07 Mar25 Mar09 (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 8.00    
PASSIONATE LUCK May20 May11 Apr29 Apr04 Mar23 (platt noah)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
RAL COPPERHEADROAD Mar23 Mar11 Feb25 Feb13 Feb02 (bush s)BUSH V 125 6.00 23% 3.30    
DO YOUR BEST May13 Mar18 Mar09 Feb25 Jan29 (fernandez kell)AYALA ISAIAS 125 2.50 12% 7.60    
 
BTP-2   05/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMEROOM ANGEL May13 Mar19 Mar03 Feb11   (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
SPARKLING PLENTY Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Feb16 (torres r)LEON SONNY 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
C V THUNDER May13 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 Jan15 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 4.50    
MAOILIN May10 Feb17 Jan29     (smith lar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 1.80 15% 5.80    
GRAY NAY Mar03 Feb11 Jan07     (estvanko richa)REYES R 121 3.00    
 
BTP-3   05/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPROBABLE STORY May10 Apr15 Mar15 Feb26   (rider m)MCKEE J 125 4.00    
WILD WEEKEND May11         (fontenot daw)HALDAR J 123 3.50 16% 5.50    
GAMBLER Mar26 Mar17 Mar05 Feb19 Jan08 (murphy scott)ROSARIO L 123 4.50 36% 1.80    
CAPPY HOUR May03 Mar17 Feb26 Feb16   (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50    
ROCK ON KITTEN         (anderson susa)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
J W RUCKUS May12         (green troy)VILLASANA CARLOS 123 3.00 13% 6.80    
 
BTP-4   05/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL TONY May11 Feb19 Jan26     (hamm timothy)REYES R 119 12.00    
WILMORE Jan23         (begley greg)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
SCR  SAFRANO ROSE Apr28 Mar31       (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  TIZ PENNEY May12         (pasley alvi)PETERSON FERRIN 125 4.00 17% 4.80    
SHOULDAKNOWNBETTER May12 Mar11 Feb23 Jan27   (beck rowena)OUZTS W 125 12.00    
THIS MASQUERADE Apr28 Mar24 Feb16 Jan23 Jan15 (minnock wayne)LEBRON VICTOR 125 12.00    
SCR  OUT OF THE SILENCE Apr21 Feb26       (meah m)MOJICA JR 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  FEMINIQUE Apr29         (hester )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 30.00    
SCR  TAKE A PEAK Feb25         (ewin)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
10  HOLD ME GIRL May10 Apr30 Jan09     (mickelson ju)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 30.00    
11  SMART BUCK May12         (green troy)VILLASANA CARLOS 125 15.00    
12  ROSIE May10         (jurado luis)LEON SONNY 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   05/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY SIS May13 Apr29 Mar26     (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.50    
RADIANTRITHYM Apr29 Apr19 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 (danner doug)REYES R 121 3.50    
ATLANTIC PRINCESS Apr30 Mar18 Mar02 Feb09 Jan30 (axmaker cody)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 12.00    
MY DARK SECRET May13 Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 Jan16 (grubbs l)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.00    
KITTY'S PROMISE May13 Apr27 Apr13 Mar25   (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 116 8.00    
ONLY REWARD'S Apr27         (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 121 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  MALICED Apr26 Apr02 Feb21 Jan05   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
BTP-6   05/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANCHORWOMAN         (hamm timothy)REYES R 119 2.00 65% 0.50    
1A  STEALTH MODE         (hamm timothy)REYES R 119 2.00    
LOTTA MOSCATO Apr21         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.00    
TIA FRIDA May13 May11 Apr28 Apr13   (fernandez kell)AYALA ISAIAS 119 4.00    
YOU'RE A DANDY May20 Apr29 Apr08     (jazdzewski jo)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 3.50    
KARMA GHIA         (lucas w)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
BTP-7   05/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  G MONEY LIV May10 Apr09 Mar24 Feb27   (jansen kenny)LEON SONNY 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
MISS SOVELIA May18 Mar19 Mar10 Feb19 Jan23 (edgell sharon)WHITACRE B 125 4.00    
STORMY NILE Apr29 Mar19 Feb18     (ewing michae)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
LEA'S DREAMER May09 Apr02       (martin dawn)LEBRON VICTOR 119 10.00    
MISS MARPLE May20 Mar19 Mar12     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 3.00 6% 15.50    
QUEEN EKATI         (martin dawn)REYES R 125 12.00    
CORDOBEZA May11         (wilson d)MOJICA JR 125 15.00    
 
BTP-8   05/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT ALIBI Feb18 Jan21       (hamm timothy)REYES R 119 3.50 5% 17.30    
SCR  FOOT SACK         (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 10.00 23% 3.30    
FAST ROY Apr29 Apr08 Mar23     (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.00    
ROCKA BARRY May21 May04       (coyle d)OUZTS W 125 6.00 18% 4.70    
VAMOS ANTONIO May11         (fernandez ke)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Apr22 Feb25 Feb11     (lyster s)LEON SONNY 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
KY HOT BROWN Mar17 Feb15       (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 4.50    
MAHAL KITA May21 May11 Apr19 Apr02 Mar17 (livers charlie)AYALA ISAIAS 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.