Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ZETA May01 Apr09 Mar25 Jan25 Jan02 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 110 3.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  SASSY LIKE JULIA Apr23 Apr15 Mar23 Feb25 Jan29 (russo victor)FERRER C 117 8.00    
3  VALUABLE BREIGH         (huston k)ADORNO ABNER 117 20.00    
4  TACTICAL RANGE Apr02 Mar23 Mar02 Jan29   (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.50 14% 6.30    
5  REID'S FANGIRL Apr28 Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  BALLET SCHOOL Apr01 Mar09 Feb16     (o'conno)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  EXPECT TO BE READY Apr22 Apr01 Feb20 Jan26 Jan09 (wilson tony)BATISTA A 121 5.00    
8  LITTLE MISS SASSY Mar02 Feb23 Feb02     (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 16% 5.30    
9  MAGIC MOONSTAR         (ortega l)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
 
MTH-2   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A PENN LEGACY Mar26 Feb27 Feb10     (gorham mi)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
SCR  FREE DANCER Apr08 Mar18       (maymo j)FERRER C 122 3.00 10% 8.90    
3  AWESUMMER Apr01 Feb25 Jan28     (juarez calixto)JUAREZ NIK 122 10.00    
4  HIGH FIVE COTTON Feb25 Jan29 Jan08     (lucas bonnie)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
5  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Mar26 Feb18 Feb10 Jan28 Jan22 (lucas bonnie)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  HARD WEST Apr18 Mar23 Mar01 Jan31 Jan10 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00 ★    
7  ROOKIE SALSA Apr13 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 ★    
 
MTH-3   05/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER SHOES Apr08 Mar23 Feb19 Feb02 Jan07 (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  EL FANTASMA Apr15 Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Feb04 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 4.50    
3  FREEZE TURKEY         (d'amodio charl)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00 ★    
4  TEMPESTUOUS Mar25 Mar18 Feb18 Jan30   (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
5  LUDO Apr27 Apr02 Feb23 Jan21   (schistl r)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  GUS K Apr03 Mar20 Feb12 Jan07   (rodrigu)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 ★    
7  GIVE IT A GO Mar19 Mar02 Feb18 Jan28 Jan14 (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 117 10.00    
 
MTH-4   05/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LASSIE'S NOTION Apr06 Mar22 Feb22     (martin f)TORRES JOMAR 119 20.00    
2  SHE LOVES GOLD Mar22         (huston ro)VARGAS A 119 12.00 ★    
3  AMAZING GRACES JOY Apr01 Mar13 Feb23     (mazza j)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
4  BIKINI BABY         (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 124 5.00    
5  POSTINO'S PROPHECY         (einhorn )HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  BIG LEE'S LEGACY         (frangella ja)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
7  CALIENTE RUM Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb16   (hogan willia)BATISTA A 119 12.00    
SCR  RANDOM LUCK Apr20         (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 3.00 47% 1.10    
9  EPIC QUEEN         (mcgregor rober)RENDON JAIRO 124 5.00 7% 12.90    
 
MTH-5   05/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASH ATTACK Apr16 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01   (mcpeek kenneth)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  BUFF HELLO         (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 115 15.00 ★    
3  BENEVENGO Mar26 Feb16       (cruz jesus)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 6.00    
4  DEAN'S LIST Apr09 Mar05 Jan08     (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 1.40 37% 1.70    
5  SMARTEN UP Apr16 Mar28 Mar08 Feb05 Jan01 (velazquez)VARGAS A 115 6.00 17% 4.90    
6  GLIDER Mar05 Jan30 Jan06     (casse mark)FERRER C 115 3.00 ★    
 
MTH-6   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDING KID Apr24 Mar19 Feb10 Jan22 Jan01 (arria)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  BINKSTER Apr26 Mar26 Mar11 Feb20 Feb06 (lucas bonnie)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.50 ★    
3  RELISHMENT Apr13 Mar29 Mar16 Feb22 Feb07 (hogan j)JUAREZ NIK 124 20.00 ★    
4  WEDONTBELIEVEHER Apr03 Mar17 Feb11     (avila c)BATISTA A 119 8.00    
5  PROBABLY GRACE Apr01 Mar09 Mar02 Jan30 Jan01 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 14% 6.30    
6  SUMMER BOURBON Apr02 Mar19 Feb21 Feb10 Jan22 (brockleba)VARGAS A 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  CLIFFY Mar20 Feb25 Jan19 Jan01   (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 124 6.00    
 
MTH-7   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACHEL CAROLINE         (frangella jam)SOSA LAUREANO 110 15.00 20% 4.00    
2  POMTINI         (huston k)JUAREZ NIK 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  MIA'S CRUSADE         (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 115 6.00    
4  ASHLEY'S HOPE         (mcgregor)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
5  WICKED JANE Feb06 Jan15       (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
6  I CAN RUN Feb03         (gonzale)GONZALEZ LUIS 115 4.00    
7  MISS YUM YUM Apr01 Mar13 Feb18     (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 115 8.00    
8  NO SYMPATHY Apr05 Mar16 Feb23 Feb09 Jan19 (king clarenc)BURKE JERMAINE 120 30.00    
9  TAKEITTOCOMITTEE         (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 6.00 ★    
10  YOUR PAL Apr24         (morris r)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 ★    
 
MTH-8   05/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNABOUT Apr01 Mar25 Feb05 Jan01   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  POINTER Mar20 Jan05       (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LONG GRAY LINE Apr18 Mar29 Mar09 Feb23 Feb01 (ramirez s)VARGAS A 124 3.50 10% 8.70    
4  FRIENDLY FELLA Mar31 Mar05 Feb10 Jan22 Jan04 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
5  CURLIN'S THRILL Apr24 Mar27 Jan26 Jan08 Jan01 (rodri)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
6  COACH ADAMS Apr10 Mar06 Jan23     (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00    
7  STAY HOME Apr15 Mar20 Mar03     (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
8  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Apr27 Apr04 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 (ramirez silv)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 6.00    
SCR  IN EQUALITY Mar29 Mar09 Feb21 Jan17   (abrams ronald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 15.00    
 
MTH-9   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY JEWEL         (sweezey kent)TORRES JOMAR 119 5.00 ★    
2  ROSELBA         (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  DANTASTIC May01         (ramirez silv)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.50 ★    
4  PRINCESS GEORGIA Apr15 Mar25       (juarez calixto)JUAREZ NIK 119 15.00    
5  D' TIGER LILY         (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 117 12.00    
6  BEATUBYACHUBINOSE         (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
7  ODDSONDUSTYMILLER         (wilson tony)FERRER C 117 12.00    
8  ALTA VELOCITA Feb20         (simoff andre)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
9  BRAMBLE BAY Mar20 Feb23 Jan08     (dini mi)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
10  I'M LISTENING Mar12 Jan22       (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 117 10.00    
 
MTH-10   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENEE'S Z VA May05 Mar23 Feb23     (simon linda)USKE S 118 20.00    
2  EL MIC TIESUN Feb21 Jan28 Jan10     (lucas bonnie)CAMACHO SAMY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RISK VS REWARD Mar04 Jan23       (delgado)DE CRUZ 118 5.00 ★    
4  DADASHEV Apr27 Apr13 Mar15 Mar02 Feb04 (hogan w)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
5  WHATA GUY Mar31 Jan28       (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  CREATIVE MAGIC Feb25 Jan06       (lucas bonnie)PANAIJO JORGE 118 20.00    
7  NOT A POSTINO         (plaza alberto)FERRER C 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
8  R BOY CHEEKUM Apr29 Apr10 Feb25 Feb05 Jan27 (thompson marcu)TORRES JOMAR 118 8.00    
9  MARSICO Apr01 Mar12       (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 7% 13.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.