Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   05/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC BEAUTY         (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 12.00 7% 14.10    
EVER A REBEL         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 45% 1.20    
KERRY         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 116 1.60 15% 5.50    
VALENZAN DAY         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
I LIKE BOSTON         (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
 
BEL-2   05/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRECT ORDER Mar26 Mar05 Feb06     (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
I LOVE JAXSON         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
BLOOD MOON Apr30 Apr21 Apr01 Feb24 Feb05 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 15.00    
JOYCEE HAZ PIZZAZ Apr24 Apr09 Apr03 Mar26 Mar05 (chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 16% 5.40    
WINNING DRIVE Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 Feb21 Feb10 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50    
CROATIAN May07 Feb26 Feb04     (dutrow a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 1.60 20% 4.10    
 
BEL-3   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAREN'S COVE Apr29 Apr03 Mar26 Mar11 Feb20 (goberdhan chandra)LUZZI J 125 20.00    
MANOLITO         (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00    
BRILLIANT BROOKS Mar26 Feb18       (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.00 60% 0.70    
WINTER SON Apr10 Mar13 Feb23     (arenas marcel)FUENTES ERICK 110 15.00    
JAKE ROCKS Apr15 Mar18 Feb06 Jan08   (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 9% 10.50    
MAGNIFICENT CHROME Apr15 Mar26 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 4.50    
 
BEL-4   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS BELL Apr26 Mar25       (lucas bonnie)CARDENAS LUIS 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  EXACT CHANGE Apr22         (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50    
MERGER OF EQUALS Apr14         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00 28% 2.60    
LINDSAY'S LAUGH         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 5.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  GIANT BOTTLE Apr03 Mar25       (persaud)CARRASQUILLO HECTOR 118 30.00    
MILL STONE CREEK Apr22         (davis edmund)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
PHENOMENAL WOMAN Apr24 Apr10 Mar19 Feb19 Feb04 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00 7% 13.30    
 
BEL-5   05/12/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANONYMOUSLY Jan28         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
GRUDGE Apr03 Feb06 Jan08     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 12% 7.60    
VIOLENT POINT Apr15 Apr03 Feb27 Feb10 Jan28 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
SCR  WEEKEND FUN Apr16         (begg bentle)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  TIZ HER WAY         (quiles m)CANCEL ERIC 121 30.00    
SCR  RED PEPPER GRILL Apr28 Mar27 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
SHASTA STAR Apr15 Mar26 Feb21     (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
JEN'S BATTLE Apr03 Jan27 Jan16 Jan01   (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Apr23 Mar26 Feb06 Jan02   (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
10  JASMINESQUE Apr16 Feb18 Jan13     (sciacca gary)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
11  SWEET MISSION Mar18 Feb18 Feb04 Jan06   (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00    
 
BEL-6   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAW OFF Apr28 Mar25       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
CROSSTOWN GIRL Feb10 Jan02       (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
DINI'S DESTINY Apr28 Feb19       (lucas bonnie)CARDENAS LUIS 118 15.00    
EVENTUALLY         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
EUDAIMONIA Apr21 Mar19 Feb19 Feb04 Jan14 (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50    
SCR  DULCE GIGANTE         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
WABAUNSEE Apr28         (englehart chris)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
BEL-7   05/12/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($94K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAUCI         (antonacci phil)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 6% 15.50    
ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS Apr09 Feb05 Jan05     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 69% 0.50    
NUCLEAR OPTION Apr09 Apr02 Feb20 Jan01   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00    
CUCINA Mar02 Jan22       (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
MAXWELL ESQUIRE         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
DURESS         (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
SCR  BIG ENGINE Apr21 Mar19 Feb19 Jan16   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.00    
 
BEL-8   05/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LONGLONGTIMEAGO Apr01 Feb26       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125 15.00    
KEY POINT Apr01         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 34% 1.90    
DR. BLUTE         (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00    
KID D'ORO Apr23 Apr01 Mar09 Feb15 Jan23 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 125 5.00 32% 2.10    
COLORMEPAZZI Apr15 Mar18 Feb20 Jan22 Jan08 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 125 10.00    
WIN FOR GOLD Mar31         (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
MONTEBELLO         (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 10% 9.30    
 
BEL-9   05/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNKOALAFIED         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00    
SALS DREAM GIRL         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAVE MY WAY         (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 9% 10.50    
ROYAL DANCER Apr14         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SWEET MAEVE         (johnson cleve)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00    
BUSY MORNING         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
OUT OF SIGHT Apr28         (donk david)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
CAPE COD CAUSEWAY Apr10 Jan06       (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 26% 2.80    
DUCKPHAT Apr23 Feb11       (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 15.00    
SCR  I'LL GO ALL IN Apr28         (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
11  EMPIRE LILY Feb26         (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  SUCCULENT Apr14 Mar20       (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
13  MISSING FORTUNE Feb04         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
14  FROSTY INVASION Feb26 Jan08       (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  LIMANI Apr10 Feb13       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.