Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - May 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER HOUDINI Apr22 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb08 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 9% 10.00    
2  BOSSY CAT Apr22 Mar29 Mar09 Feb18 Feb02 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 ★    
3  BIFF Mar29 Mar01 Feb11 Jan12   (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
4  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY May02 Apr12 Feb28 Feb02 Jan03 (pino michael )RIVERA D 120 1.40 28% 2.50    
5  ELUSIVE JESTER Apr22 Mar23 Feb08 Jan26   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
PEN-2   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOS BAY Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Feb23 Jan25 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
2  C C'S WARRIOR Apr21 Mar15 Mar04 Feb16   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
3  WOLFINBARGER Apr21 Mar30       (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 ★    
4  CAMGO Apr27 Mar30 Jan11     (o'callahan carl)WHITNEY G 124 10.00 12% 7.70    
5  BOYS OF QUEENS Apr20 Mar04 Feb15 Jan28 Jan07 (o'callahan c)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
6  INTERCEPT Apr22 Apr08 Mar15 Mar01 Jan28 (graci kim)VARGAS L 124 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGAINST THE ODDS Apr08 Mar18 Feb23 Feb01 Jan19 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 124 15.00    
2  SPIKES SHIRL Apr27         (crane clovis)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  DROSSELMOON Jan04         (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
4  IRISH ROAR (IRE)         (crane clovis)WHITNEY G 124 12.00 ★    
5  CAUSE OF ACTION Mar29 Mar11 Feb10 Jan28   (geist w)FLORES E 124 6.00    
6  TORAZO Apr27 Mar18 Mar01 Feb11 Feb01 (graci kim)VARGAS L 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  COAST TO COAST Apr08 Mar18 Feb23 Feb01   (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
8  CUMBERLAND GAP Apr27 Mar30 Mar15 Feb15 Jan12 (shea h)CORA D 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
 
PEN-4   05/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITESSE Apr20 Mar30 Mar15 Jan12   (graci kim)VARGAS L 122 6.00    
2  BUILT THAT WAY Apr20 Apr07 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 ★    
3  AUTOMATE Apr20 Jan19       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 14% 6.10    
4  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Apr22 Mar04 Feb15 Jan12   (lingenfelter )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
5  KATHERN'S JOY Apr20 Apr01 Mar15 Mar04 Feb20 (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
6  LEGIT (IRE) Apr20 Mar15 Feb07 Jan16   (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME TAP Apr21 Mar29 Mar16 Mar04 Feb16 (nunley randy)FLORES E 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  LA LENA Apr22 Apr03 Mar26 Mar16 Feb13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 ★    
3  BOAT MONEY Apr28         (demario charle)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00    
4  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN Feb23 Jan25       (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 20.00    
5  SWEET AND MACHA         (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  VALENTINA'S CUPID Apr22 Feb22 Jan26 Jan12   (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 20.00 ★    
7  SCARLET LILY Apr22 Mar29 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 1.60 31% 2.30    
 
PEN-6   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPMASTER Mar01         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 17% 5.00    
2  ANNAMATED MOON Apr28 Mar01 Feb11 Jan21   (stites fl)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 ★    
3  HIS NAME IS SUE Apr06 Feb23 Jan12     (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  FEDERAL CASE Apr19 Mar09 Feb23 Feb08 Jan31 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  WILD CARAMELO May02         (flores-coba)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 4.50 15% 5.60    
6  MARTINKELLY Mar18 Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 Jan04 (albright am)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
SCR  TOP HAT TREASON Apr27 Mar29 Mar01 Feb11 Jan11 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 50.00    
 
PEN-7   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISEN SAVIOR Feb16 Feb01 Jan04     (kulp l)CORA D 123 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  T C GREELEY Apr22         (beattie m)WHITNEY G 123 5.00 ★    
3  ADY'S MUNNY Apr08 Mar23 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  ON THE RIM         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 10.00    
5  MONEYONTHELINE         (kravets b)VARGAS L 123 10.00    
6  ROBBY'S RANSOM Apr22 Apr08 Mar15 Feb23 Feb01 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
7  COWBOY MALICE         (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 12.00 ★    
SCR  KAZ MUNNINGS         (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00    
 
PEN-8   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKINGISALWAYSKING Apr01 Jan28       (simoff andrew)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00    
2  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Apr08 Mar22 Feb25 Jan28   (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 119 10.00 6% 16.30    
3  GET DOWN BROWN Apr08 Feb18       (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  GREY QUEST Mar29 Mar02 Feb15 Jan28 Jan14 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  THINKIN OUT LOUD Apr22 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 Feb01 (graci kim)VARGAS L 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
6  JACK BE NIMBLE Apr22 Mar26 Mar02     (arnold pamela)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
7  PICKERING CIRCLE Mar22         (crook-demasi ka)WHITNEY G 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.