Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - May 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYALBONNIELEGACY Apr01 Mar22 Feb15 Jan19 Jan12 (sel)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.40 47% 1.10    
KAUFY FUTURES Apr26         (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 119 1.80    
BIG CYN Apr26         (grusmark)DAVIS A 119 5.00    
MAGNIFICENT MAGS         (sparling wa)IGNACIO RODOLFO 119 8.00    
TUXEDO LEMON Mar09 Feb15 Jan19 Jan04   (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
FL-2   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRISTMAS DINNER Apr26         (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 2.00    
CHASING LOSSES Apr25         (bond bre)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
ANSELMI         (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 15% 5.50    
IL MIO AMORE Apr26 Mar09 Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 (sel)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 15% 5.60    
KATERI EMPIRE         (cabrera )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 6.00    
DO WHAT IT TAKES         (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
FL-3   05/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL STORY         (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
HENNY HEFNER         (sells rachel)COA J 124 6.00 12% 7.40    
GOLDMINE KAZ         (maver ed)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 15.00    
MARGARITA SUNRISE May02         (wright t)ALVARADO R 124 1.20    
NOT A TRICK Apr21 Apr02       (dun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
A MAIZE ZING RIP Apr08 Feb11       (sells rachel)BERRIOS C 124 4.00    
 
FL-4   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3 F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SUGAR BABY Apr21 Apr03       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
BEAUTIFUL BANKS Apr26 Apr03 Mar11 Jan28 Jan08 (mastin kath)IGNACIO RODOLFO 122 10.00    
SINGLE PURPOSE         (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
RACING QUEEN         (morales )DAVIS A 122 12.00    
MISS PAB Feb04         (englehart jer)DAVILA R 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
TINA BURNER Apr26 Apr01 Mar16 Feb23 Feb02 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
ALL ABOUT BELLA Apr26         (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
WOWSPELLEDBACKWARD Apr26         (sparling way)BERRIOS C 122 15.00    
FINANCIAL MANNERS Apr26         (d'alessandro ra)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
 
FL-5   05/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' ALONE May02         (sabine michae)DAVILA R 121 4.00 17% 5.00    
STONE GUITAR         (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00    
FLORIDA ENDEAVOUR         (cabrera )DAVIS A 121 12.00 10% 9.40    
BLUES CITY         (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 121 6.00    
TWO STEP SLEW Apr25 Apr13 Mar24 Mar15 Feb28 (maver eduardo)CRUZ JOEL 121 5.00    
DEPUTY FLAG Apr26 Apr02 Feb13 Jan09   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 0.80 44% 1.30    
 
FL-6   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE MAP Apr25 Feb27       (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
BOSSHIP Apr16 Mar13 Feb25 Jan20   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 117 2.00    
HURRICANE ALPHA         (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00    
PARS HEY ZEUS Apr25         (bond brent)ALVARADO R 124 12.00    
ACH DU LIEBER         (breed ro)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
TRISAETUM         (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 10.00 13% 6.70    
BEAUTY IS A BEAST Apr25         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 117 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
FL-7   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPP ROAD Apr25 Mar22 Jan14     (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00    
SCR  PENDOLINO Feb13 Feb04       (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
LEFT LEANING LUCY Mar20 Feb24 Feb04 Jan13   (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00    
IMPRSSTHEPROFESSOR         (muller j)FRATES D 122 15.00    
TRIVIA         (breed debr)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
SNIFF Apr25 Mar26 Mar09 Feb08 Jan12 (huertas )DAVIS A 122 1.80 72% 0.40    
STEAL MY HEART Apr23 Feb27       (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 122 4.00    
 
FL-8   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY COWBOY Apr25         (breed de)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 6.00    
NIGHTSPOT May02         (sparling wa)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
BIJEMINI SLEW         (cabrera a)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00    
MO CRAZY BLUES May02 Apr08 Mar16 Feb18 Jan11 (sells rachel)COA J 124 10.00    
TAPIT HAPPY JOHN         (gutterson k)CAMILO D 124 12.00 6% 14.50    
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Apr26 Mar18 Feb20 Feb09 Jan08 (simmonds mich)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
BIG BROWN SHOES Apr24 Mar13 Feb13 Jan14   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
MISTER LARRY Apr23 Mar13 Feb11 Jan22   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 117 8.00 12% 7.30    
NAVY PIER Apr26 Mar22 Mar08 Feb10 Jan28 (chamberl)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.