Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - May 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VAN DAMME May08 Apr12 Mar02 Jan05   (johnson l)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
ALGORIX Apr25 Mar31 Mar16 Mar02   (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.00    
SILVER G T O Apr12 Mar31 Mar10 Jan04   (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 10.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  PLEASE SIT DOWN Apr15 Apr04 Mar18     (dodge alber)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
TENTWELVEFOURTEEN         (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
GUCCISSIMO Apr25 Apr12 Mar31 Mar24 Mar16 (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
TDN-2   05/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDE ON COMANCHE Feb16 Jan26       (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 10.00 6% 15.60    
EXONERATED PREZ         (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00    
REBOPPER Apr04 Mar09       (tumblin and)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 48% 1.10    
HE'S A BELIEVER Apr25 Jan01       (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 3.50    
ONLY ONE WAY BACK Apr25 Jan04       (londono o)CORREA L 119 8.00 8% 10.90    
MURTAGH         (jackson james )COLON H 119 2.50 14% 6.20    
UNSPOKEN MEMORIES Apr25 Apr05 Mar18 Mar09 Feb21 (genovese richa)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50    
 
TDN-3   05/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER JO Apr13 Jan11       (urieta joh)LONDONO III 119 10.00    
BE AUTHENTIC Apr11 Mar09 Feb16 Jan19 Jan01 (bird dann)CORREA L 119 12.00 12% 7.20    
MAGNA G FORCE Apr01 Mar12 Mar03 Feb18 Jan14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.50 16% 5.30    
QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Apr26 Feb23 Jan01     (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50    
LORAN HOLIDAY (ARG) Mar01 Feb01       (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 4.00 40% 1.50    
DARING (IRE) Apr08 Apr01 Feb21     (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 2.00    
 
TDN-4   05/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YIELD         (severin robert)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
BLACK BUTTE Apr26 Mar22 Mar09 Feb16 Jan01 (bird da)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
JANET'S MAE         (haehn r)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
BLACK KETTLE Apr26 Apr11 Mar19 Mar08 Feb19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
EASY EYES Apr26 Apr09 Mar19 Feb16   (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
PUBLICIST Mar24         (johnson gary)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   05/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REYS PINA COLADA Apr02 Feb26 Feb19 Jan19 Jan04 (bookman donald)DIAZ I 115 5.00    
CITY SIGNS Mar18 Jan22 Jan05     (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.00 14% 6.20    
WWINSPIRED Apr02 Mar18 Feb18 Jan22   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.50    
LUCKY PENNY ROSE Apr13 Mar15 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.50 13% 6.50    
COWCHI Apr11 Mar18 Feb18     (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 115 8.00    
DOUBLE EDGED Apr02         (gorham )PILARES P 115 10.00 11% 8.00    
ASHLEYS CUPCAKE Apr25 Apr13 Mar15     (waite den)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
TDN-6   05/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING RICHIE Mar07 Feb16 Jan14     (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  MAGICAL EXPRESS Apr25 Mar10 Feb15     (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.50    
WARRIOR'S DREAM Apr11 Mar22 Mar09 Feb14 Jan01 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 53% 0.90    
SEMI CHARMED DAY Apr25 Apr11 Mar24 Mar07 Jan25 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
DOUBLE THE LAUGH Feb18 Jan21       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
ADANO Mar18 Jan22       (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
MAN DOWN Apr27 Apr15 Mar18 Mar01 Feb21 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 123 12.00    
MAKE THE RULES Apr15 Mar26 Mar02 Feb18 Jan21 (doering mark)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
 
TDN-7   05/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATIN SPICE Apr15 Mar21 Jan04     (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.50 27% 2.60    
1A  GOOD IDEA Apr11 Apr04 Mar23 Feb18   (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 117 2.50    
SCR  DISCLOSURE Mar31 Feb28       (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
LONGLIVEJUSTICE Apr27 Apr16 Mar26 Mar02 Feb18 (bailey ricardo)COLON H 121 4.50    
JOHN'S ROCK Apr11 Mar04 Feb17 Jan23   (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00    
COMPLY (NZ) Apr15 Jan22       (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
BEACH FRONT Apr25 Apr11 Mar21 Mar02 Feb19 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
FIRST CITIZEN Apr15 Mar31 Mar21 Feb28 Jan04 (welsh r)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
TDN-8   05/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY DYANAFORMER         (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00    
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Apr25 Apr02 Feb18 Jan22 Jan05 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
GOODNESS SAKES         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 4.50    
MY PIE Apr13         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
TILLY MANILLY Apr25 Apr13 Mar15 Feb21 Jan19 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
SCR  CRYPTONIC CATWALK Apr11 Mar23 Mar02     (brown t)VELEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUNLIKEJACKIEO Apr28 Apr02       (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 115 2.50 33% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.