Handicappers' Racing Form
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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   05/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT-10:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARLY GLOW Apr07 Jan14       (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
2  IMOGENE MALVINA Apr08 Feb19       (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
3  IDIOMATIC Apr02         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  SEQUIST Mar26 Feb18       (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 ★    
5  PARK ON THE NILE Apr08         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
6  CUSTOMER DRIVEN Apr08 Feb05 Jan09     (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 18% 4.60    
7  SKRATCH KAT Apr08 Mar10 Feb10     (bauer philip )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00 ★    
8  FANNIE AND FREDDIE Jan22         (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
CD-2   05/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I CROSS MY HEART Mar13 Jan09       (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
2  JETINWITHCLASS Apr15         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
3  SHE'S KEEN Apr08         (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
4  CLASSIC COYNE Apr08         (hartman chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
5  OMA THE GREAT Apr15         (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
6  ONE FULL MOON Apr13         (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 20.00    
7  SOUTH GEORGIA         (medina rob)SANTANA JR 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE Apr08 Feb12 Jan22     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
9  HIGH RESOLUTION Feb13         (arnold r)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
10  MISREAD Mar26         (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
11  INVENTING Apr02         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 35% 1.90    
12  OLGA ISABEL Mar05         (delgado gustav)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 ★    
 
CD-3   05/06/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Q F SEVENTY FIVE Feb25         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
1A  ARABIAN PRINCE Apr13 Mar20 Jan22     (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40    
SCR  SOUTHERN PASSAGE Apr16         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 10.00    
3  RED HORNET Apr08         (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 ★    
4  MYOPIC Apr08 Mar19 Feb26 Jan08   (diodoro rober)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00    
SCR  TO KALON Apr21 Feb16       (cundiff waylon)MILLER CHASE 124 50.00    
6  MR. TIP Apr16         (maker mich)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  GRAEL Apr02 Mar05       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
8  AVIANO Apr13 Feb27       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
 
CD-4   05/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPELLING SMILE         (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
2  FAMILY TIME Apr09 Mar09 Jan29 Jan07   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00 ★    
3  POWDER RIVER         (casse w)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 ★    
4  MICROCAP Apr09 Mar16       (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 ★    
5  SEMBLE JUSTE (IRE) Apr09         (mcpeek kenn)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
6  SHESA MYSTERY Apr09 Mar20       (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
7  JUJU'S MAP         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 116 1.00 56% 0.80    
8  ILLIOGAMI Apr09         (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
9  TABOR HALL Apr09         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
10  MISS TULSA Mar26 Mar01 Feb03 Jan07   (forster grant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
 
CD-5   05/06/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT-12:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLUFFY SOCKS Apr14         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 7% 14.30    
2  STAND TALL         (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
3  MONA STELLA Mar27 Feb25 Feb03     (biancone pat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 30.00    
4  SHE CAN'T SING Mar26 Feb19 Jan29 Jan01   (block chris)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 ★    
5  LAKE LUCERNE Mar26         (walsh brend)BARZALONA MICKAEL 118 15.00    
6  HENDY WOODS Mar26         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
7  CURLY RUTH Apr14         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
8  BLEECKER STREET Mar12 Feb05 Jan08     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 39% 1.50    
9  PASS THE PLATE Apr14 Feb19 Jan22     (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 ★    
 
CD-6   05/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JILTED BRIDE Mar18 Feb12       (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
2  SHEDARESTHEDEVIL Mar12         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.20 41% 1.40    
3  TEMPER TIME Apr09 Mar12 Jan29     (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BATTLE BLING Apr10 Mar06 Jan16     (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 ★    
5  SHE'S ALL WOLFE Mar12 Feb12       (von donnie)SMITH E 123 12.00    
6  PAULINE'S PEARL Mar12 Jan30       (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 18% 4.50    
7  AVA'S GRACE Apr08 Mar12 Feb12     (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 123 15.00    
 
CD-7   05/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAX PLAYER         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 ★    
2  WEYBURN Apr02         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  MILITARIST Apr13         (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
4  SOY TAPATIO Apr02 Mar05 Feb18 Jan08   (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
5  OLYMPIAD Mar26 Feb19 Jan15     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.80 52% 0.90    
6  FULSOME Apr02         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 6% 15.50    
7  HAPPY SAVER         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
8  TITLE READY Apr02 Jan29       (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 ★    
 
CD-8   05/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP DANCING LADY Apr02 Mar05 Feb24 Jan08   (kahles ronald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 20.00 7% 14.30    
2  MY PHILLY TWIRL Apr02 Feb16 Jan19     (walsh brend)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
3  MCKULICK (GB)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
4  KNEESNHIPS Apr09 Mar12       (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
5  DOLCE ZEL (FR) Apr09 Mar12       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  AN AGENT MISTAKE Apr09 Mar06 Feb04     (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
7  BEECHNUT TROPHY Apr02 Mar16       (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 8% 11.60    
8  SPICER Mar12         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
9  NEW YEAR'S EVE Mar12 Jan29       (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DREAM LITH Apr02 Feb19       (diodoro robertino)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
 
CD-9   05/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 4:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET AS PIE Apr10 Jan22       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
2  PRETTY BIRDIE Mar26 Feb19       (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
3  MARISSA'S LADY Mar26 Mar05 Feb12     (morey e)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 15% 5.60    
4  AIN'T EASY Apr09 Mar06       (d'amato phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
5  WICKED HALO Mar26 Feb19       (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 12% 7.70    
6  GERRYMANDER         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
7  LAC VIEUX DESERT Mar20         (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00    
8  MATAREYA Apr10 Feb26       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
9  AWAKE AT MIDNYTE Apr08 Feb19 Jan08     (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
10  SWEET DANI GIRL Mar05         (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 ★    
 
CD-10   05/06/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREGORIAN CHANT (GB) Mar25         (d'amato philip)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 8% 11.90    
2  THE LIR JET (IRE) Apr09         (walsh brendan)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00    
3  CARAVEL Mar19         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 5.00    
4  CHASING ARTIE Apr01         (joseph a)ORTIZ L 122 20.00    
5  COWAN Feb19 Jan22       (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
6  BRAN (FR) Apr10 Mar25 Feb20 Jan01   (sadler john)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
7  DIAMOND OOPS Apr09 Mar05 Feb19     (biancone patri)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 14% 6.20    
8  GEAR JOCKEY Apr09 Feb12       (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
9  PYRON Feb19         (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
10  ARREST ME RED Mar19         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
11  JUST MIGHT Apr09 Feb19 Jan22     (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  JOHNNY UNLEASHED Apr09 Mar12       (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
13  WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN         (glatt mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00    
 
CD-11   05/06/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1250K) 3 F PT- 5:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET OATH Apr02 Feb26 Jan29     (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
2  NOSTALGIC Apr09 Mar03 Feb05     (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 15.00    
3  HIDDEN CONNECTION Mar26 Feb19       (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  NEST Apr08 Feb12       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  GODDESS OF FIRE Apr02 Feb19 Jan15     (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00    
6  YUUGIRI Apr02 Feb26       (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00    
7  ECHO ZULU Mar26         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 39% 1.60    
8  VENTI VALENTINE Apr09 Mar05       (abreu jorge )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00    
9  DESERT DAWN Apr09 Mar06       (d'amato phili)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 20.00    
10  KATHLEEN O. Apr02 Mar05 Jan01     (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
11  COCKTAIL MOMENTS Apr08 Mar05       (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 121 30.00    
12  CANDY RAID Apr02 Feb19 Jan22     (desormeaux keith)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
13  SHAHAMA         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 15.00    
14  TURNERLOOSE Mar26 Feb19       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00    
SCR  BEGUINE Apr02 Mar05 Jan23 Jan07   (peitz dan )SANTANA JR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-12   05/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONTHEONESANDTWOS         (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  LET'S BE CLEAR Apr02 Mar05       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
2  REAGAN'S DECISION Apr10 Feb26       (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
3  FEELING HAPPY Apr10         (baker james)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00    
4  SOCIETY         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
5  ANGITUDE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 ★    
6  RAIN CHECK Feb20         (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
7  TALEOFREADYCHIANTI Apr22 Mar18 Feb19     (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
SCR  CANCEL THIS Apr02 Mar10 Feb06     (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
9  WISH YOU WELL Apr02         (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
10  PRINCESS ELIN Apr10 Mar12 Feb12 Jan15   (ali alnaz)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
11  NAPA CANDY Apr15 Feb12       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
12  VACCINE OF HOPE Mar31 Jan14       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 8% 11.30    
 
CD-13   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE E         (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
SCR  AN APPLE A DAY Apr15         (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
3  SUPER CHRISTIE Apr15 Mar09       (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
4  SIS BOOM BOB Apr15 Mar10 Feb16     (gonzalez e)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00    
5  STREET JAM         (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
6  LITTLE BLAZE Apr13         (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 6% 15.60    
7  FABULOUS FANNY         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
8  COLORFUL MISCHIEF         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 18% 4.70    
9  RATHER BE LUCKY Feb19 Jan22       (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 17% 4.90    
10  MERCI ROAD Apr13         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
11  JAG WARRIOR Jan14         (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
12  MILAN'S GIRL         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  CATCH MAGIC Mar26         (casse w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
SCR  SWIFT THINKER         (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00    
SCR  COMEDY ACT Mar20 Jan23       (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
SCR  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX         (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.