Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Friday - May 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   05/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF JOY Apr10 Mar11 Feb13 Feb03   (legall r)DAVIS A 126 20.00 6% 14.50    
YAH HUH Apr16         (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
ROYAL REALM Mar11 Jan22 Jan16     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.40 37% 1.70    
SCR  REMEMBERMOM Apr07 Mar11 Feb21 Jan09   (reynolds pa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.20 30% 2.40    
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Apr02 Feb20 Jan27 Jan16   (sacco gr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.00    
MIRACLE NICKY Feb25 Jan16       (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
 
BEL-2   05/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUBURN HILLS Apr08 Feb25 Jan09     (giangiul)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00    
GIOCARE Mar26 Feb23 Jan13     (rodriguez rudy )CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 8% 10.80    
KUMAR Apr09 Mar05 Feb11 Jan02   (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50 18% 4.40    
CHRIS AND DAVE Mar25 Feb10       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
LIAM'S FIRE Apr03 Feb25 Jan13     (chichakl)DAVIS A 121 15.00    
EASY SHOT Mar27 Feb25 Jan14     (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50    
DARK STORM Mar27 Jan28       (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 7% 12.40    
 
BEL-3   05/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAUMSETT         (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 126 10.00    
SWEET FRANNY LU Apr10         (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 12% 7.50    
LADY THORNHILL         (donk davi)VARGAS A 126 10.00 7% 13.20    
INFRINGEMENT Apr10 Mar20 Mar06 Feb11   (persaud rand)HARKIE K 124 30.00    
FREEDOM MACHINE         (schosberg richa)MENA E 124 15.00    
SOLIB Mar25         (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 10% 8.70    
TALES OF MAKENNA         (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
SHE'S A MIA         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
KANNON FIRE Apr10         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  CARAGATE Apr09 Feb21       (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 120 2.50    
 
BEL-4   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP STARTER Apr03 Mar13       (persaud)CARRASQUILLO HECTOR 118 50.00    
LIMIT UP Apr23 Mar31 Mar05 Feb12   (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50    
VINCENT Apr02 Mar13 Feb21     (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00 12% 7.50    
ACT ACCORDINGLY         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00    
SOMETHING MAJESTIC Feb10         (rey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
CROCK OF GOLD Mar13 Feb13 Jan02     (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
EL VEINTICUATRO Mar31 Feb27 Feb05     (rodriguez rud)CARDENAS LUIS 118 12.00 10% 8.70    
IGOTTAHAVEIT Feb21         (dunham g)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00    
BARONE MARCHIS Apr16         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 0.80 54% 0.90    
 
BEL-5   05/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BAY STREET MONEY Apr09 Feb06       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
SCR  CASTLE CHAOS Apr07 Mar05 Feb05     (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00    
SCR  STARTING OVER Feb05 Jan08       (falcone robert)ADORNO ABNER 121 5.00    
SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY Apr08         (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00    
ALADO Mar27 Feb17 Jan13     (joseph s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH TIDE Apr16 Feb04 Jan13     (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 7% 13.90    
SCR  THREE JOKERS Mar04 Feb05       (terranova p)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
SUPPLY CHAIN Apr08 Mar05       (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  CIVIL WAR Apr08         (albertrani thomas)RIDER TBA 121 15.00    
KHAFRE Apr03 Feb06 Jan09     (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
SCR  TRAPPEZOID Mar31 Mar11 Feb12 Feb02   (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  IRWIN (IRE)         (anton)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 8.00    
11  THIN WHITE DUKE Apr16 Mar19       (donk davi)VARGAS A 123 10.00    
SCR  AMERICAN RULE Apr21 Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 Feb11 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
SCR  DR ARDITO Apr01 Feb24       (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.20 55% 0.80    
 
BEL-6   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRRESISTIBLE GIRL Apr02         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
LONDON GOLD Apr22 Apr07 Mar27 Mar04 Feb12 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Mar25 Feb27 Feb06     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
BIG TONY'S GIRL Apr03 Feb25 Feb12 Jan20 Jan02 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
DAILY BRIEFING Mar25 Mar05 Jan28 Jan08   (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
BASTET Feb24 Feb06 Jan13     (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
NEW YORK BANKER Apr03 Feb18 Jan08     (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.50 12% 7.20    
R WORKING GIRL Mar20 Feb24 Jan23     (rodriguez rud)FUENTES ERICK 115 5.00 31% 2.20    
 
BEL-7   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TILTED TOWERS Mar18 Feb24       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.60 35% 1.80    
MR. PETE Apr24 Mar18 Feb20 Jan31   (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
SCR  THE LAST ZIP Feb24 Jan13       (sharp joe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00    
SCR  SHIRAZ         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00    
MEXICAN WONDER BOY Apr21 Mar26 Feb25 Jan14   (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  MONEY IN THE BANK Mar31 Mar19 Jan01     (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
NEXT FLIGHT Mar26 Feb10 Jan22 Jan01   (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
SCR  VICTOR'S DYNASTY Mar15 Feb28       (sciacca g)VARGAS A 121 20.00    
GET SET         (klesaris steve)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 7% 13.80    
10  BAD GUY Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 Jan14   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
 
BEL-8   05/06/2022 7260ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLEWITT Mar26 Mar06 Feb25     (toscano joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
FIRST CONSTITUTION (CHI) Apr02 Jan22       (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 33% 2.00    
LOCALLY OWNED         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.80    
PORTOS Apr13         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
WILL E SUTTON Mar19 Feb12       (thomas jo)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
WARRIOR IN CHIEF Apr21 Mar24 Mar01 Jan27   (clarke d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
 
BEL-9   05/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NIKOSTRATOS         (thomas jonathan)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  JOINT RESOLUTION Apr07         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00    
SCR  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF         (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00    
UNCLE BRUCE         (brown r)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR         (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  FRONT LINE DANCER         (pletc)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50    
SCR  KIMBO DANCER         (nevin mic)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
A LISTER Apr22 Mar19 Feb12     (davis robbie)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
MAJOR SPIN Mar31         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 5.00    
10  SALT CAY Apr08         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
11  URAGANO Apr08 Mar05       (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
12  SARATOGA SKY Apr24 Jan22       (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 20.00    
13  LUCKY BRODY Apr01 Feb27 Jan28     (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 125 4.00 12% 7.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.