Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - April 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   04/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREDDY SOTO Jan22         (suarez javie)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
KING VALERO Apr09         (genovese richard)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00    
GUCCISSIMO Apr12 Mar31 Mar24 Mar16 Mar01 (bailey ricar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
VINNY BOY         (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
WIZARD WILLIE Mar16 Mar07 Feb28 Jan14   (johnson gar)CORREA L 123 2.00 17% 4.90    
OHIO PLAYER Apr04         (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00 15% 5.60    
ALGORIX Mar31 Mar16 Mar02     (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
 
TDN-2   04/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TV TIZ GORGEOUS Mar15 Jan14       (tumblin andre)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 12.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  CHILLVILLE         (vernino raymond)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
LATE DATE Apr13 Mar15       (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 3.00    
KLEONA Mar15 Jan19 Jan04     (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
HOLLY'S PERFECTION         (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00    
ASHLEYS CUPCAKE Apr13 Mar15       (norris step)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
TDN-3   04/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTIGER SPECIAL         (trevino s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
HE'S A BELIEVER Jan01         (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
KATZ THE MUSIC Apr15         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  AWE PATRIOT         (trev)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
UNSPOKEN MEMORIES Apr05 Mar18 Mar09 Feb21 Jan27 (genovese richard)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
ONLY ONE WAY BACK Jan04         (londono odin)LONDONO III 114 4.50 16% 5.10    
UPTOWN GUY Apr04 Mar19 Feb12 Jan01   (urieta j)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 1.80    
 
TDN-4   04/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M JAC'D Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 Jan14   (vazquez i)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 20% 3.90    
GOLOSA Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 Jan14   (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
SASSY POWER Apr13         (radosevich )CORREA L 119 20.00    
ANIMO STAR Apr06 Feb21       (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  NOT JIMMY'S TOY Apr16 Mar01 Feb16 Jan14   (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
CABARET FLEUR Apr13 Mar15 Jan14     (overholt g)DIAZ R 123 3.50    
TILLY MANILLY Apr13 Mar15 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 23% 3.40    
 
TDN-5   04/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOSANNA Feb19 Jan22       (johnson l)LEON SONNY 115 4.50 21% 3.70    
PRICEY APPEAL Mar15 Feb26 Jan25 Jan08   (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
PROPHETESS         (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.50    
MISSION GIRL Mar16 Mar02 Jan24 Jan08   (gorham ro)PILARES P 117 2.00 23% 3.30    
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Mar26         (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50    
CONGRATS JENSEN Apr12 Mar23       (cline c)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 15% 5.80    
 
TDN-6   04/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH CUPPER Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 Jan14   (brown glenro)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00    
BUSYBEING FABULOUS Jan31 Jan22       (johnson l)LEON SONNY 115 8.00 8% 11.30    
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Apr02 Feb18 Jan22 Jan05   (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
MINE ALONE Apr13 Mar15 Feb26 Jan25   (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00    
BAY MAGIC Mar23 Mar02 Jan31     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 11% 8.30    
INDELIBLE IMAGE Feb14 Jan12       (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
CAN I GO TOO Feb26 Jan25       (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   04/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMTOWN         (hernandez ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 9% 10.40    
MONSTER HUNTER Apr13 Mar28 Feb26 Jan24 Jan11 (faulkner c)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
UOTTALIKEIT Apr02 Mar08 Feb12 Jan26   (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
KISSINGER Mar18 Feb18 Jan24     (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
SCR  BOW TIES N BOURBON Mar22         (tooley jennif)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 15.00 8% 11.80    
SKYTOWN CAT Apr05 Mar18 Feb22 Jan19 Jan04 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 119 20.00    
CORNER OFFICE         (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.50 15% 5.60    
DYNAMIC REACH Apr13 Mar28 Mar18 Feb14 Jan26 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 6.00    
 
TDN-8   04/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDUCIVE         (genovese richard)GONZALEZ A 123 15.00    
MAGICAL EXPRESS Mar10 Feb15       (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
TRAMORE BAY Apr15 Mar18 Feb22 Feb14 Jan19 (faulkner c)FELICIANO R 123 12.00    
LADY'S BOY Apr11 Mar18       (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 38% 1.60    
BEACH FRONT Apr11 Mar21 Mar02 Feb19 Jan14 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 9% 10.20    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Mar31 Mar15 Feb21 Jan26   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 10% 8.80    
KOSCIUSZKO Mar15 Feb21 Jan31 Jan19 Jan12 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
SEMI CHARMED DAY Apr11 Mar24 Mar07 Jan25 Jan12 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.