Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Sunday - April 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   04/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD BROWNIE Mar31 Feb25 Feb10 Jan28   (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
FAST N FEARIOUS Mar18         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  VINCENT Apr02 Mar13 Feb21     (barrera oscar)CARDENAS LUIS 125 12.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  CROCK OF GOLD Mar13 Feb13 Jan02     (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 125 30.00    
CONNECTED Apr01 Feb25 Jan30 Jan02   (hills ti)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 5.00    
SENSIBLECONCLUSION Apr07 Mar05 Feb21 Jan27   (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
CRAWFORD COUNTY Mar19 Feb24       (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
 
AQU-2   04/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEMBA         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.60 30% 2.40    
MISS INVINCIBLE Mar04 Feb12 Jan14     (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
ALICIA'S WAY Apr03 Feb25 Jan27     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
INTELLIGENCEREPORT Apr01 Feb11       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SUMMER AT THE SPA         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
CONSTITUTIONALRAGE         (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
LOVE'S MISERY Mar04 Feb04 Jan08     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 10.00    
ROSEMARY POTATOES Mar19 Feb25 Jan28     (arenas marcelo)MENA E 118 15.00    
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Mar24 Mar04 Feb12 Jan01   (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 9% 9.60    
10  EASY PLAY Mar18 Mar06 Feb20 Jan22 Jan08 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
SCR  GIRL'S ON FIRE Mar27 Feb24 Jan23     (rubley k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
SCR  SABREEN Apr02 Mar06 Feb19 Jan13   (chichakly amira)MENA E 125 15.00    
SCR  BLIND SIGHT Apr03 Mar11 Feb17     (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 125 10.00    
 
AQU-3   04/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO CUZ Mar27 Feb21       (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 0.60 29% 2.40    
KISSES FOR EMILY Mar08 Feb19 Jan22     (linder jr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
SCR  GRIS TORMENTA Mar27         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
CELEBRITY NEWS Mar25         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00 7% 12.60    
BANK ON ANNA Mar18 Jan22       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
STARSHIP LAOBAN Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 Jan25 Jan05 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
GALAXINA Feb26 Jan16       (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
 
AQU-4   04/24/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBSIDIZE Mar18 Feb20 Jan08     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00    
PROPENSITY Mar24 Feb26 Feb04 Jan08   (kimmel j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
TALE OF MINESHAFT Feb13 Feb03       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
STANHOPE Feb13 Feb03 Jan01     (lucas bonnie)CASTELLANO J 121 4.50    
ATHENRY         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
R BOY BODE Apr07 Jan28       (thompson)DAVIS A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHASE THE CAT Jan16         (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00    
MO MISCHIEF Mar19 Feb13 Jan22 Jan02   (o'brien keith)LUZZI J 123 15.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  SCOTTY BROWN Mar25 Feb16       (cibelli jane)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-5   04/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHENOMENAL WOMAN Apr10 Mar19 Feb19 Feb04 Jan02 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 126 12.00 10% 9.40    
INKBLOT         (quick pa)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
KAY TEE GAL Feb26 Jan01       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 15% 5.90    
SUPERSNAKE         (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 12% 7.10    
BERTINGA         (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
QUIET TYPE Mar25 Mar06       (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 126 20.00    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION Feb26 Jan08       (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
WAR IN PARADISE Apr10 Jan08       (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 8.00    
DANCING BELLA         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
10  LITTLE MISS MINION Mar18 Feb19       (klesaris rob)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 30.00    
SCR  TINGLING MINT         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 15% 5.70    
12  ONE TRACK MINE Mar25 Mar11       (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 12.00    
13  CAN'T FOOL ME Apr10 Feb05       (de )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
14  FALSE HOPE Feb26 Jan08       (schettin)DAVIS A 118 20.00    
SCR  LINARITE Apr10 Feb26 Jan23     (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  MISSING FORTUNE Feb04         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
AQU-6   04/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL AMERICA Feb06 Jan14       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
JOYCEE HAZ PIZZAZ Apr09 Apr03 Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 (chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 8% 10.90    
MR. PETE Mar18 Feb20 Jan31     (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 33% 2.10    
SPEEDING KID Mar19 Feb10 Jan22 Jan01   (arriaga anto)HARKIE K 121 8.00 9% 9.60    
EUCHARIST (IRE) Mar25 Feb18 Feb03     (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
ZAEVION         (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50    
HEALY'S HOPE Mar26 Mar11 Feb21 Feb10 Jan01 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00    
 
AQU-7   04/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT ROD RUMBLE Mar05 Jan22       (asmussen st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
BOURBON'S HOPE Mar06         (baker cha)VARGAS A 120 5.00    
WHO HOO THATS ME         (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 25% 3.10    
LOOKIN FOR TROUBLE Apr01 Mar13 Feb13 Jan14   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
BIG BROWN SHOES Mar13 Feb13 Jan14     (englehart jeff)ORTIZ L 124 5.00    
MY LAST MISSION Mar25 Mar06 Jan28     (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
JUMPSTER Apr07 Mar05       (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
TACO BEAN Apr01 Mar13 Feb26 Feb05   (kelly j)LUZZI J 124 8.00    
 
AQU-8   04/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON ALERT Mar12 Feb16 Jan02     (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
SCR  WATERS OF MEROM Apr07 Apr01 Jan23 Jan06   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
MISS YOU ELLA Feb05 Jan06       (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
ALITTLELOVEANDLUCK Mar12 Feb12 Jan01     (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 13% 6.80    
SAIL BY         (gyarmati leah)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
PIZZA BIANCA         (clement christ)ORTIZ L 122 0.60 31% 2.20    
CONSUMER SPENDING         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
AQU-9   04/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. CONNECTICUT         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 3.00 17% 4.70    
CONSTITUTIONAL BID         (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SARATOGA SKY Jan22         (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
EXCURSIONNISTE Feb21         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
MEDIA SENSATION Apr08         (mor)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 50.00    
BIONDI         (bond harold )HARKIE K 118 12.00 11% 8.10    
TOUCH OF A BUZZ Mar19         (breen kel)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
DREAMPOINT Mar20 Jan06       (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
LOZ Mar19         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
10  HIGHGATE ROAD Mar05         (day-phillips c)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 16% 5.10    
11  TYRANNOSAURUS REX         (davis ed)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
12  BARREL OF QUESTS Apr07 Mar19 Feb11     (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  ROYAL TIME Apr07 Feb24       (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 50.00    
SCR  FRONT PORCH Mar27 Feb21       (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
SCR  COLLOQUY Mar27 Feb24       (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 118 1.60 20% 4.10    
SCR  RUSH TO HONOR Apr01 Feb13 Jan06     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 126 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.