Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - March 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUVTHEONEURWITH Mar07 Feb15 Feb01 Jan14   (silva juan )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 4.00 17% 5.00    
2  CURLING SECRET         (silva pablo)ZUNINO L 121 1.40 38% 1.60    
3  GATO SICILIANO Mar12 Feb26 Jan13     (nelson amy)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 10.00 9% 9.80    
4  WHOS DALLINS DADDY Mar01 Feb08       (gleason t)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
5  TANGLED THOUGHTS         (mccartney j)SCRIVER L 121 5.00    
6  O G GULFSTREAM GUS Feb22         (hartman phil)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALLEY WILDCAT Feb08 Jan13       (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  RUN FOREVER Feb16 Jan11       (ferguson cha)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
3  TEN CARAT ROCK Feb16 Jan24       (gangidino lisa)VERGARA P 124 3.50 ★    
4  FATS DOMINUS Feb16 Jan12       (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 4.50 13% 6.90    
5  ROYAL SEEKER Mar09 Mar01 Feb14 Jan26 Jan11 (fulmer drew)CIVACI SAHIN 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
6  FORTY FATHOMS Mar09 Feb21       (fearon johnath)DEONAUTH P 124 10.00 ★    
7  PREMIER LEAGUE Mar09 Feb07 Jan24     (madrigal el)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 12.00    
 
TUP-5   03/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Jan31 Jan05       (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 8.00    
2  PLAYOFF BOUND Mar10 Jan25 Jan07     (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOB'S ALL IN Mar04 Feb16 Jan31 Jan11   (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00 ★    
4  THORN HILL CAT Mar10 Jan07       (asprino a)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 ★    
5  FIRE WHEN READY Feb24 Jan31       (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 1.80 64% 0.60    
6  FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM Feb24 Feb15       (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 9% 9.60    
 
TUP-6   03/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIZZLING GRACE Feb25 Feb03 Jan25 Jan12 Jan04 (dille)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 12.00    
2  STELLAR WAY Feb22 Jan25 Jan12     (hudson jeff)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 ★    
3  LAURA BELLE Feb22         (dennison d)RODRIGUEZ H 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
4  PALACE STAR Mar10 Feb25 Jan27     (silva juan )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
5  CAMEO SHORES Mar09 Feb21 Feb11     (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00    
6  AVABELL Mar10 Feb16       (gutierrez q)MAWING A 122 10.00 ★    
7  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Mar01 Feb16 Jan27 Jan12   (rycroft ril)SCRIVER L 122 3.50 9% 9.60    
 
TUP-7   03/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATISAY         (sharp mar)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
2  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF         (hodgson barry)MAWING A 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
3  SILVERBULLITBADGER Mar01 Jan28 Jan13     (lewis kevin)CORBETT W 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
4  COASTAL KING Feb24 Feb07       (belvoir va)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  EVIL ROCKS         (allred jeff)SCRIVER L 124 8.00    
6  INCREDIBE MO         (whitehouse w)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
7  PLAYING FIELD         (hudson)FLETCHER D 124 6.00 ★    
8  ASSURANCE         (score r)CAMACHO JESUS 124 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   03/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Mar04 Feb17 Feb08 Jan13   (silva juan )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
2  SIR DEPUTY Mar09 Jan17       (wong jonath)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  FINAL ROSE Mar04 Feb10 Jan19     (mccartney)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00    
4  TIM'S BUDDY Jan21         (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Feb27 Jan24 Jan11     (mckinney d)LARSEN S 124 12.00    
6  OUT FOR JUSTICE Mar05 Feb26 Feb08 Jan26 Jan11 (gomez alejandro)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
7  JAZZ TOWN Feb11 Jan12       (finch sherry)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
8  LIMITED OFFER Feb02 Jan14       (garcia c)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  FREIBURG Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11   (bullene micha)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 5.00 28% 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.