Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   02/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMINAL RECORD         (asprino a)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.00    
LOTSA LENA Feb04 Jan07       (moore jo)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
LIL' MISS MISCHIEF Jan06         (simpson sh)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 12% 7.20    
ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Feb15         (mccartney j)SCRIVER L 124 3.50    
TAHOE BLUE Feb10 Jan26       (elston bren)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 6.00    
STORMY GALE         (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TUP-4   02/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING CHARLIE Jan24 Jan07       (jensen kent)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
COASTAL KING Feb07         (belvoir va)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
UNCLE MAGIC         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.20 27% 2.70    
GREENBRIER Feb01 Jan12       (crotts jim)CORBETT W 124 4.00    
INDIAN NIGHTS Jan24         (dennison d)RODRIGUEZ H 124 6.00    
SCR  WHATISAY         (sharp marc )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   02/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. PICKLES Jan31 Jan07       (buffalo marvin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 12.00    
RIDEO Jan31 Jan05       (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50    
FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM Feb15         (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
SCR  REAL GLITTER Jan25 Jan07       (sharp j)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
FIRE WHEN READY Jan31         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 59% 0.70    
WE'RE JUST SAYIN Feb16 Jan31 Jan11     (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 6% 14.40    
SCR  THORN HILL CAT Jan07         (asprino a)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 4.50    
 
TUP-6   02/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3 F PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALAS Feb14 Jan24 Jan12     (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50    
KEEP IT ROLLIN Feb10 Jan24 Jan03     (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 9% 10.50    
MAGIC START Feb14 Jan12       (brown r)CRUZ M 121 6.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  SAVAGE LOVE Feb11 Jan22 Jan01     (schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 2.00 55% 0.80    
SHEZA HOME HIT Jan31         (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 8.00    
SEENEVA THE CAT Feb09 Jan19       (mcdaniel w)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 12.00    
TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE Jan30 Jan16       (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 121 10.00    
 
TUP-7   02/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M G M'S LUCKY Feb07         (hudson je)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 12.00    
EZ RULER Feb07 Jan18       (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
SMOKIN ARROW Jan18         (wheeler tr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00    
MYBESTISYETTOCOME Feb01 Jan17       (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50    
TRUTH TO POWER Jan16 Jan07       (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
SUPER INTENSE Feb07         (o'brien )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00    
SCR  PLAYING FIELD         (hudson)FLETCHER D 124 8.00 10% 9.50    
DISTINGUISHED         (whitehouse w)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
TUP-8   02/24/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MONUMENTAL SEVEN Jan31         (campo )FLETCHER D 122 12.00    
SCR  OUR DANDY'S BOY Jan31         (oberholtzer ke)CIVACI SAHIN 122 20.00    
SCR  CZECHMIGHT Feb02 Jan03       (jimenez a)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
ROWDYROOSTER Jan12         (le)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00    
MO BOB (IRE) Jan25 Jan11       (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PLAYOFF BOUND Jan25 Jan07       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50 70% 0.40    
SCR  FINAL ROSE Feb10 Jan19       (mccartney j)SCRIVER L 122 8.00    
OPTIMISTIC VALOR Jan19         (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXETER Jan25 Jan10       (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
SCR  OSTINI Jan19         (weaver go)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.