Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - February 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   02/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIFORNIA TENGA Jan26         (mitchell chr)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
2  HANDSOME ACCOUNT Feb02 Jan08       (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
3  REDDISH Feb02 Jan17       (simpson sh)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50 9% 10.60    
4  LT. BULLITT Jan19         (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 124 20.00    
5  IZEISMAGA Feb04 Jan17       (wong jon)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 124 4.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  TRACK BOUND Jan26 Jan05       (alvarez ser)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
7  AUTISM CAN DO Jan26 Jan14       (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
8  NOT NECESSARILY Feb04         (esquibel )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-2   02/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($11.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANCHER Jan24 Jan12       (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50    
2  WHISPERING FLAME Jan10         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 10% 8.80    
3  DEPUTY KNIGHT Jan24         (o'brien )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00 7% 13.40    
4  SHARP'S FLASH Jan10         (sharp marc )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00    
5  ATLATL Feb01 Jan12       (rennie rich)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Jan10         (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
7  CASTLE DONOVAN LAD Jan17         (whitehouse)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
8  SQUALLSGHOSTMOVER Feb06 Jan22       (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-3   02/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL DANIELLE Feb04 Jan27       (dillenbeck)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00 ★    
SCR  DADDYS LITTLE GIRL Jan25         (koler steve)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00    
3  ABRAA JABRAA Jan17         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 63% 0.60    
4  BODE'S BEST Jan27         (person a)ZUNINO L 124 20.00    
5  BARBELLO (NZ) Jan20         (stader suzanne)DEONAUTH P 124 3.50    
6  MORNING BLURS Jan14         (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 ★    
7  REDHAWK Jan07         (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00    
8  SWEET HONOR Feb02 Jan17       (villamar )VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 5% 17.80    
SCR  MONARCHOS PRAYER Feb03         (gomez aleja)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 6.00 10% 8.90    
10  SWEET RYAN Jan21 Jan05       (george cynthia)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
 
TUP-4   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($35.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE CARVER         (rycroft tim)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 46% 1.20    
2  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jan29 Jan19 Jan10     (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  RAIL HUGGER         (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 122 10.00    
4  THIEF IN THE NIGHT Jan25         (scott jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 ★    
5  LEADING SCORE         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 ★    
6  RAMBLIN' MAN Jan10         (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 2.50 11% 8.50    
7  DARNQUICK Jan19         (rogers d)CIVACI SAHIN 122 12.00    
 
TUP-5   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUARE ROOT Feb02         (gale bryce)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
2  COLONEL MIKE Feb02         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
3  THOUGHTS OF GOLD Jan04         (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
4  A GEM IS A GEM Jan24 Jan04       (homer jason)MAWING A 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
5  DON WITH THE WIND Jan04         (dennison h)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  CIRCLE WEST Jan24 Jan10       (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
7  OXBOW PARK Feb04 Jan17 Jan03     (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 10% 9.40    
8  FIGHT ME Feb04 Jan03       (figueroa )VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
SCR  CROWN AND PICKLES         (rollins sco)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   02/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZORICH Jan26 Jan06       (valerio raymond)GILPIN SEAN 122 10.00 ★    
2  TOP OF THE GAME Feb02 Jan19       (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 2.50 71% 0.40    
3  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Jan26 Jan18       (johnston ki)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00    
4  SOUTH FRESNO Jan25 Jan06       (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 5% 18.60    
5  SPARKLING LUTE Feb03 Jan04       (christian billy)MAWING A 122 5.00 ★    
6  LINEMANS CHECK Jan24 Jan04       (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00    
7  CONQUEST COBRA Feb01 Jan17       (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 ★    
8  THE PUBLIC HALO Jan26 Jan04       (kenney dan)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
9  WESTERN SMOKE Jan26 Jan18 Jan03     (ru)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 12.00    
10  MO GEE Jan13         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   02/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEMERARA Jan24         (pierce mic)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 48% 1.10    
2  BULLET TIMES Feb02 Jan21 Jan11     (blea j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
SCR  AL RHYTHM Feb08 Jan21 Jan11     (crystal dust)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  CRACK A COLD ONE Jan31 Jan18       (woolley ben)SCRIVER L 124 6.00    
5  WICKED FORTITUDE Jan25         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 ★    
6  TRES CHIFLADOS Jan25 Jan02       (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 3.00 ★    
7  ROYAL SEEKER Jan26 Jan11       (fu)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
8  UPPER ROOM Jan31         (ferguson c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
9  MARDEN Jan31 Jan14       (gomez aleja)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
10  BLANK IT Feb01 Jan13 Jan04     (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3 F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K P KRYPTON Jan22         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  OUTLAW DAISY Jan28 Jan03       (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
3  MUCHO EXPRESS         (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 10.00 ★    
4  MALIBUENA Jan31 Jan07       (metz jeffrey)LINDSAY CHAD 121 5.00    
5  MAGIC START Jan12         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00    
6  BALAS Jan24 Jan12       (silva rodri)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 9% 9.90    
7  MIDNIGHT DARE Jan24         (mitchell chr)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  FACE OF GRACE Jan24 Jan07       (scott larry )SERRANO KEIVAN 121 20.00    
9  MIST OONA B Jan19         (toye joe)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 20.00    
10  PARTY POLICE Jan31 Jan12       (villamar c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.