Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - April 29, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (8/4/7/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/1/5)-(8/4/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/1/5)-(8/4/7/1/5)-(8/4/7/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/7/1/5)-(6/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7/1/5)-(6/4/5)-(4/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/5)-(1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(1/5/6)-(2/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(4/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(4/2/5)-(7/6/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(7/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(7/6/3/1)-(1/3/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (7/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/1)-(1/3/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   04/29/2026 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL PEPPED UP Mar02 Feb17 Sep22     (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 13% 7.00    
SECRET CALLER Apr06 Mar17 Feb17 Feb03 Oct09 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
BLUE TAIL FLY Jul18 Jul03       (cowans willia)MACHADO DYLAN 115 8.00    
JASPER MAXIMUS Apr01         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 24% 3.10    
GRAY PERFECTION Nov10 Oct25 Sep18 Aug06   (rone mike)ROSENDO J 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
TIER ONES LEGACY Mar17 Mar02       (fletcher je)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 121 30.00    
NAVA'S GOLD Oct25 Sep04 Aug14 Jul03   (jackson r)RIVERA R 115 4.00 14% 6.00    
CAST YOUR SPELL Mar19 Oct25 Sep12     (maker michael)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 25% 3.00    
VESPER MARTINI Mar17 Feb17 Feb02 Jan13 Jan02 (fadlovich meg)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
10  SINGER Jul14 May29       (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00    
11  MSHAWISH'GIRL Mar02 Feb20 Jan21 Dec22 Nov04 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 5.00    
 
TDN-2   04/29/2026 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORFU FIGHTING Jul18 Jul01 May22     (fadlovich me)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50    
PARTY BOY Apr02 Mar18 Mar06 Feb21 Feb04 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 117 10.00    
TRIANGULO ROJO Apr02 Mar17 Feb24 Feb09 Dec23 (juarez-mend)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 119 4.00    
VALIANT STRIKE Dec18 Nov07 Oct04     (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.50 8% 11.00    
RASCAL FLASH Apr02 Mar18 Feb24 Feb09 Dec08 (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHELTOWEES ROCKET Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 Jan14 Dec23 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 115 1.60 63% 0.60    
 
TDN-3   04/29/2026 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOIN MISCHIEF Apr06 Feb16 Feb01 Aug26 Aug05 (flores)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DOINWHATSHELIKES by INCLUDE)
PURE GRINDING Mar19 Nov06       (fadlovic)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
  (by MODERNIST out of BROOK'S ON FIRE by FRIESAN FIRE)
LEFTITFORYOU Apr06 Mar19 Feb26 Feb01 Dec24 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.00    
  (by ENTICED out of POCO UNO by E DUBAI)
LOWELLS GIFT         (fletcher jeff)PARKER L 119 1.80 70% 0.40    
  (by CARACARO out of FACTRESS by THE FACTOR)
DREAM POLICE Oct23 Sep26 Sep12     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILDCAT HEIR out of POWERFUL PACKAGE by STAR DE NASKRA)
ROLLIN IN SPIDERS Feb26         (radosevich j)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
 
TDN-4   04/29/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONIRICO Apr09 Mar04 Dec16     (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 123 1.20 43% 1.30    
KNOCK WOOD Mar10 Feb19 Feb04 Dec16 Nov13 (tumblin kris)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
THIS TIME Feb19 Jan22 Jan01 Oct15 Aug27 (maker j)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
JUDY'S COMET Mar25 Mar10 Feb04 Jan22 Jan05 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 121 8.00    
TROUBLE IN MOTOWN Jun23 Apr23 Nov12 Oct26 Sep05 (radosevich j)HALDAR J 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
REIGNING DREAM Jun23 May12 Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   04/29/2026 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST TALKIN MAN Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Mar21 Feb21 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
CARNIVAL ROCK Mar16 Feb09 Oct13 Sep19 Aug26 (calderon ivan)BRACHO A 115 1.60 30% 2.30    
ADMIRAL NELSON Mar26 Dec20 Nov03 Oct07 Sep15 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
WE NEED A FAVOR Apr03 Feb21 Feb07 Dec28 Dec12 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
BIG PRANKSTER Apr01 Mar09 Dec20 Oct07 Sep15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
PICARO Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 Oct07 Sep26 (juarez-men)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 6% 14.80    
 
TDN-6   04/29/2026 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING SPEED Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 Jul03   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50    
  (by TWO PUNCH out of FIVE STAR NIGHT by STAR DE NASKRA)
TAP THE CARD JACK         (waltz brian)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of GREAT DAY by ACTION THIS DAY)
OVERTHROWD'HAREM Apr06         (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHACK'S HAREM by SHACKLEFORD)
QUICK SHIP         (radosevich j)HALDAR J 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LELA by WILLIAMSTOWN)
BUKELE Nov06 Oct23       (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MYOSITIS MYSTIQUE by HAYNESFIELD)
HAPPYCASTLE Apr06 Mar19 Mar03 Mar30   (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of REACHFORTHECASTLE by CASTLE GANDOLFO)
CANTCATCHLILFLETCH Apr06 Mar19 Mar03     (fletcher je)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 12.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of FACTRESS by THE FACTOR)
 
TDN-7   04/29/2026 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIPMAN Apr02 Mar18 Mar02 Feb08 Jan18 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUST A ROCKSTAR Apr02 Mar18 Nov21 Oct07   (tumblin kristina)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
SOUND CITY Dec18 Oct25 Sep19 Aug25 Aug06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 15% 5.50    
DUO Apr10 Apr02 Mar03 Feb05 Dec20 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
EL MEXICANO Mar18 Mar03 Feb16 Feb05 Jan12 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
SAMMY'S HALO Dec18 Dec08 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 17% 4.90    
BOSABROTHER Mar18 Feb16 Jan14 Dec18 Oct01 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
TDN-8   04/29/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORNER OFFICE Mar30 Mar09 Dec24 Dec03 Sep30 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 32% 2.10    
PARTY POOPER Mar23 Mar04 Feb09 Jan06 Dec10 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
INTO GOLD Apr03 Mar04 Feb05 Jan15 Dec20 (mahan p)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 21% 3.80    
QUIET AMIGO Apr20 Apr10 Mar09 Jan21 Dec10 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 119 30.00    
MAN'S CHOICE Apr02 Mar10 Feb17 Feb05 Jan05 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  FAST AND FRIENDLY Mar27 Feb12 May17 Apr30   (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 2.50    
GRAY DAY Sep30 Sep04 Aug12 Jun23 May26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
SCR  SPECIALIZED Nov13 Sep04 Jul09 Jun16 May17 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
IRONCLAD ALIBI Apr10 Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Feb01 (eder justine)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
10  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Mar23 Mar04 Feb05 Dec04 Nov07 (ibarra mar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.