Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 25, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/4/1/5)-(3/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/5)-(3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/5)-(3/4/8)-(8/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8/5)-(3/4/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/8)-(8/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(8/1/7)-(9/5/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/6/7)-(8/1/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/7)-(9/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7)-(9/5/7/3)-(2/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (9/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/7/3)-(9/5/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/5/7/3)-(9/5/7/3/6)-(9/5/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/5/7/3)-(2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7/3)-(2/8/1)-(1/10/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/1)-(1/10/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1)-(1/10/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/10/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/7/8)-(1/10/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/7/8)-(1/10/7/6/8)-(1/10/7/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/10/7/8)-(1/4/7/8)-(8/10/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/8)-(8/10/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/10/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/1/6)-(8/10/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/1/6)-(8/10/1/6/4)-(8/10/1/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/25/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPPOSITE THE CROWD Apr03 Mar14 Feb27 Feb18 Jan17 (simone v)HO WESLEY 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
TATOR MADE Mar28 Apr12 Mar02 Feb14 Jan18 (lo)DA FAUSTO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
LEPRECHAUNA Mar14 Oct19 Sep26 Sep13 Aug22 (avila juan )MARTINEZ CARLOS 111 2.00 56% 0.80    
BAND SWEETHEART Apr08 Mar11 Feb25 Jan30 Jan11 (cudworth )HERRERA R 118 12.00    
D' TIGER LILY Mar21 Feb12 Jan16 Dec26 Oct15 (wilson tony)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 3.50    
THELASTBULLETSMINE Apr01 Mar18 Mar01 Feb04 Jan03 (simone micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.40    
 
TAM-2   04/25/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAMPERO Apr12 Mar18 Dec12 Sep07   (alanis fra)ALONSO LUIS 118 10.00 14% 6.20    
R WINCHESTER Apr08 Feb22 Jun08 Nov09 Oct19 (cordero-lopez )MARIN SAMUEL 125 1.20 35% 1.90    
NADIR HAN Mar25 Dec13 Nov21 Sep26   (parra hernan)CENTENO E 125 6.00    
GHOSTWRITER         (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
DIVINING PROMISE         (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
ASTRIDSHADOWMOON Apr18 Apr03 Mar18     (drake ro)MARTINEZ A 118 15.00    
NEOSTAR Mar25 Mar13 Feb07 Jan17 Nov29 (davis rick)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 115 4.00    
FANTI Feb08         (alanis francisco)FERRER C 118 30.00    
 
TAM-3   04/25/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOHA DESERT Apr15 Mar27 Feb28 Feb11 Dec05 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
TIZTIMONIAL Apr11 Mar25 Mar08 Feb20 Jan25 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.00    
MICANOPY Mar20 Mar06 Oct18 Sep13 Aug30 (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 116 2.00 37% 1.70    
FORTUNATE RYDER Mar28 Feb28 Feb11 Jan07 Dec13 (braddy david)MARIN SAMUEL 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
SENOR MONEY Apr17 Apr03 Mar08 Feb22 Feb13 (harris k)RODRIGUEZ O 123 15.00    
ZIMBAWEE Mar25 Mar08 Feb22 Jan21 Dec17 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 125 30.00    
SO SO Apr11 Mar25 Feb28 Feb11 Jan21 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 123 3.50    
WISE WORDS Apr12 Mar15 Feb18 Jan23 Dec19 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   04/25/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUSSY GIRL Mar21 Mar06 Jan31 Jul06 Jun13 (simone micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00 15% 5.80    
GO GO STAR Apr04 Mar06 Feb18 Jan28 Jan11 (ashmore colee)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 20.00    
RULES FOR THREE Mar22 Mar01 Feb13 Jan24 Dec12 (agostini )MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 30.00    
FONTINA (ARG) Apr17 Apr04 Mar06 Jan16 Dec11 (torres pab)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 113 20.00    
TERRIE T Apr04 Mar27 Mar11 Feb18 Feb04 (lusk r)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.50    
KUKU Apr12 Mar28 Mar13 Feb20 Jan30 (rice kevi)HERRERA R 123 4.00    
HUMOR SENSE Apr04 Mar21 Feb18 Jan23 Dec19 (ochoa ger)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET HAZELY Apr04 Mar22 Feb06 May31 Mar09 (varga)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 1.00 60% 0.70    
 
TAM-5   04/25/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST BOTTLE Mar13 Feb06 Jan17 Sep14   (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 12.00    
EL CAPRICHOSO Apr03 Mar21       (lopez rober)HESS SARA 118 30.00    
MIDNIGHT APPROVAL Mar26 Mar06 Feb18 Jan02 Dec17 (bi)DA FAUSTO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
RESTLESS PASSION Apr12 Feb05       (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00    
SUN'S ARISING         (sacco gregory )GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00 23% 3.40    
COMMANDER'S COIN Apr15 Mar11 Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 (paterno )RODRIGUEZ O 125 6.00    
JUAN CAMANEY Apr15 Apr03 Jul26 Jun14   (gardea abraha)JIMENEZ MANNY 125 4.50 6% 15.30    
VIOLIN FINGERS Apr08         (rice kevin)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
SPEAKER'S LOBBY Apr03 Feb22 Jan21 Jan07 Oct25 (kintz matthe)MARIN SAMUEL 125 1.20 44% 1.20    
10  WORTH THE WAIT Apr03 Mar08 Feb13 Feb01 Nov02 (dye steven)LEON A 125 30.00    
SCR  GREAT HUNT Apr15 Mar28 Feb13 Jan25 Jan09 (ochoa gerard)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 3.00    
SCR  MR SKINNY Apr08         (lopez rober)HESS SARA 118 15.00    
 
TAM-6   04/25/2026 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI AMORE Apr03 Feb20 Feb05 Jan18 Sep20 (escobar m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
LONG GONE SALLY Apr04 Mar11 Feb07 Jan18 Dec26 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00 64% 0.60    
AWESOME PIC Apr04 Feb25 Feb04 Jan18 Dec26 (hernandez enriqu)FERRER C 122 2.50    
ASK THE MONARCH Apr04 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Jan24 (escobar mart)CASIQUE UBARDO 120 20.00    
SOUNDTRACK Apr04 Mar06 Feb11 Jan24 Dec03 (goodwin g)HESS SARA 118 15.00    
CLASSIC BALLAD Apr18 Mar25 Feb22 Feb12 Jan23 (smith robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
ARIANA VALENTINA Apr12 Mar20 Mar04 Feb18 Feb08 (collins john)GIL CIPRIANO 118 10.00    
EASY COME EASY GO Mar11 Mar01 Jan16 Jan07 Dec03 (richards)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.50 8% 11.30    
 
TAM-7   04/25/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALRASIKH Apr08 Mar13 Feb22 Feb06 Jan21 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
COUSIN ED Mar28 Mar13 Feb13 Jan25 Dec10 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
RAMESSES Apr08 Mar13 Feb13 Jan24 Jan09 (kintz matt)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 20.00    
RAGMAN Apr08 Mar13 Feb11 Jan24 Jan07 (collins john)GIL CIPRIANO 119 12.00    
SCR  MACH TWO BLUE Sep01 Jul30 Jun05 May22 Apr26 (raven ker)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 20.00    
MR. FUNTASTICO Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb22 Feb05 (aguayo ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50    
SKI BUM Mar01 Feb06 Jan15 Dec12 Nov15 (gallegos jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50 15% 5.90    
SKY MASTERSON Mar13 Feb28 Feb11 Dec31 Nov28 (dini mike)FERRER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ACQUISITIVE Apr08 Feb22 Dec19 Dec05 Aug17 (ubide max)TORRES R 119 20.00    
10  REDEMPTION SPEIGHT Mar25 Feb28 Oct26 Sep26 Aug13 (pompay t)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
11  INTOLERABLE Apr04 Mar13 Feb11 Jan16 Dec24 (ramos ben)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
SCR  POWER AND GLORY Aug31 Aug01 Jul10 Jun08 May24 (thompson r)HESS SARA 114 15.00    
SCR  EL BAILADOR Apr08 May03 Sep06 Aug03 May12 (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 30.00    
SCR  ASYMBOLUS Jun27 May02       (torres r)TORRES R 119 30.00    
 
TAM-8   04/25/2026 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLANDO Apr05 Feb21 Feb07 Nov24 Oct18 (gutierrez fa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
TWELVE TREASURES Mar20 Feb21 Feb05 Jan16 Dec24 (richards)RODRIGUEZ O 115 15.00    
INNATELY GOOD Feb22 Jan31 Dec05 Nov14 Sep28 (goodwin g)FERRER C 116 30.00    
CHROME GHOST Mar29 Mar06 Feb07 Dec26 Nov14 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 4.50 8% 11.70    
PAYNTED WARRIOR Apr10 Mar11 Feb18 Jan23 Jan03 (vargas j)MARTINEZ A 117 10.00    
SCR  FLOOD ZONE Mar29 Feb28 Aug09 Jun29 Mar01 (cox h)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00    
ROOKIE CARD Mar01 Oct04 Aug30 Jul19 Jun07 (garga)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 8% 11.90    
KHOZEIRESS Mar06 Feb15 Dec26 Nov28 Sep21 (pompay terri)GIL CIPRIANO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   04/25/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART STRIKER Apr04 Mar06 Feb18 Feb07 Jan17 (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 123 4.00 10% 9.00    
EHSAAN Mar04 Feb06 Jul26 Apr26 Mar07 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 12.00    
THE HONEYMAN Apr16 Feb04 Jan14 Nov15 Oct04 (levy tam)RODRIGUEZ O 119 20.00    
ARJAY Apr04 Oct15 Sep14 Aug06 Jul12 (raven ker)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 10.00    
SCR  SON OF A SLEW Mar28 Mar04 Feb13 Jan16 Dec05 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 20.00    
LORD KNOWS Apr04 Mar06 Jul04 Jun01 May03 (padilla tim)FERRER C 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
MR CROWLEY Apr04 Mar06 Jan04 Dec05 Aug16 (harney heather)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
FLY THE W Feb15 Jan04 Dec13 Nov15 Oct25 (sanchez amador)GIL CIPRIANO 119 2.50 56% 0.80    
JIBILIAN Mar28 Mar04 Feb11 Jan24 Dec31 (bowersock mar)ROJAS MARTINA 123 12.00    
10  SPANISH NOBLE Apr04 Mar06 Feb07 Nov19 Sep20 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.00 13% 6.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.