Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - April 16, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/3)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/3)-(4/2/1)-(6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(6/3)-(5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(5/2)-(6/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(6/2/1)-(2/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(2/1/5)-(4/2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-8   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/2/3/5)-(6/1/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-9   WIN (4/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/5)-(6/1/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-10   WIN (6/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   04/16/2026 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTER MAN Mar06 Feb17       (bedard alan)OCASIO M 120 3.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BILLY NO SABAY by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
KATISCHUO Apr03 Mar19 Feb20 Dec12 Nov05 (shea lydee)CORUJO WILFREDO 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DUSTY ROSE by SWING TILL DAWN)
CHILLHOUSE Mar01 Feb08 Jan04 Nov29   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.20    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of ANAZARA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  ST PETE'S PASSION Jul24 Jun12 May22 Apr04 Feb10 (martin w)TORRES JOMAR 124 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of PASSION POINT by POINT GIVEN)
BROTHER PAUL Apr08 Mar19 Feb20     (albright ge)INIRIO J 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of SACRIFICE by TEMPLE CITY)
 
PEN-2   04/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBERT'S MOON Mar20 Mar07 Feb20 Feb05 Dec27 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
BUZZ ADAMS Mar20 Dec19 Nov28 Nov06 Oct09 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SHOWTIME MATINEE Mar27 Feb27 Feb03 Dec11 Oct22 (beattie cod)CORUJO WILFREDO 120 8.00 22% 3.70    
ARTIST MARK Mar01 Feb12 Jan16 Dec21 Nov14 (beattie cody)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
PATERNO Apr03 Feb20 Nov12 Oct16 Oct01 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 3.00    
BEJUCO Mar20 Mar13 Mar04 Jan21 Jan10 (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00    
 
PEN-3   04/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS HOLIDAY Apr01 Mar18 Feb19 Feb01 Dec12 (albright am)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
I ONCE STOOD ALONE Mar18 Feb19 Dec05 Nov20 Jun20 (rathman el)QUINONES R 124 8.00 8% 11.80    
AARAJ Apr01 Dec30 Nov06 Sep20 Aug27 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
FOR SOME REASON Apr01 Mar06 Feb04 Dec31 Dec06 (zalalas mic)CORUJO WILFREDO 124 4.50    
CHAIN REACTION Feb27 Dec12 Nov26 Oct23 Sep25 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 3.50 57% 0.80    
HOMETOWN HERO Mar20 Nov23 Nov12 Oct12 Sep24 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50    
SUNDAY GILT Apr01 Mar05 Dec12 Nov28 Nov12 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
BANGKOK BOB Apr01 Dec18 Nov28 Oct29 Sep18 (geist w)FLORES E 124 15.00    
 
PEN-4   04/16/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIELAND CHILL Mar20 Mar06 Feb19 Feb03 Jan14 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
STONE'S THROW Mar20 Feb19 Jul02 May30 May19 (rojas murra)CORUJO WILFREDO 120 1.40 34% 2.00    
ROLLY Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Feb03 Dec19 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 1.80    
CHILL BOSS Nov19 Oct22 Sep30 Sep15 Sep01 (rojas mur)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
OLLIE BOY Mar25 Mar12 Feb20 Feb06 Jan14 (demario cha)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
 
PEN-5   04/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASK PATROL Mar26 Feb26 Dec04 Nov13 Oct22 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50    
GENGHIS Apr03 Mar05 Feb19 Jan10 Dec19 (kreiser c)CORA D 124 3.00    
GOING AT IT Mar26 Mar06 Nov28 Nov13 Oct29 (wolfe j)CORUJO WILFREDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR. RIPPLE Feb21 Feb06 Jan10 Nov08 Aug26 (kreiser timothy )CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.00    
SCR  COJELO PA TI Feb11 Jan06 Nov26 Oct27 Sep01 (penaloza migue)AGUILAR JEAN 120 10.00    
BYK Dec18 Oct22 Oct12 Sep19 Aug09 (murillo ric)RAMOS O 120 5.00 40% 1.50    
 
PEN-6   04/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COHESIVE Mar25 Feb27 Jul10 Jun12   (wolfe j)RAMOS O 124 8.00    
RECKLESS SPENDING         (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SMOKIN HOT WIFE Feb13 Jan15 Dec06 Oct30 Oct19 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 124 4.50    
SCR  RORIES PALACE         (sinnef)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50    
KELLY'S INTO LUCK         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  EXPLOSIVE RUN         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.00    
TINKER BULL Mar27 Dec11       (shea lydee)FLORES E 120 15.00    
 
PEN-7   04/16/2026 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY MINION Apr09 Mar26 Mar12 Feb27 Feb20 (bobadilla f)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAKABIM Mar18 Mar05 Dec18 Nov28 Nov13 (beattie cody)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
GUNS N' ROJAS Mar18 Feb20 Feb04 Jan07 Dec11 (albright am)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
WISH FOR PEACE Mar26 Feb26 Feb04 Nov28 Nov05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
TUBTIMSIAM Mar12 Feb26 Sep04 Jul26 Jul11 (kravets m)CORA D 122 4.50    
MR. HUSTLE Mar30 Mar12 Feb11 Dec21 Nov29 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
PEN-8   04/16/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S WALDO Mar20 Mar05 Feb20 Dec18 Dec04 (albright amy)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
WHAT DOES IT TAKE Mar18 Mar01 Feb14 Dec21 Nov13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.40 40% 1.50    
MORNING THOUGHTS Apr04 Mar22 Feb12 Nov01 Sep21 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.00    
SCR  BIG BEEMSTER Mar18 Jan17 Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 (young jessi)CORUJO WILFREDO 120 20.00    
IRA THE ICON Apr08 Mar24 Mar09 Mar02 Feb11 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 124 6.00 6% 17.10    
MARTINI MARTIN Mar18 Feb12 Jan17 Dec28 Nov08 (rodriguez jose )HERMAN NOEL 113 20.00    
 
PEN-9   04/16/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TICKET TO PARADISE Mar26 Mar12       (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.50    
VIGNERON Dec12 Nov19 Nov05     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
NILAMBAR Apr01 Mar19 Feb26 Feb02 Jan05 (kravet)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
MENCKE Mar26 Feb26       (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
DAVE'SBOLDTHUNDER Mar24 Feb17 Nov29 Oct14   (krebs steven)RODRIGUEZ YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOE G TWENTYTHREE Mar19 Aug01 Jun12     (deiter l)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.50    
THE PIRANHA Apr01 Feb27 Jan16 Dec12 Nov26 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00    
 
PEN-10   04/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT-10:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS Mar26 Mar06 Feb19 Dec18 Nov28 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
CONFISCATED Mar20 Feb20 Feb03 Nov13 Oct06 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SON OF THOR Feb27 Jul02 Jun02 Apr16 Apr01 (pino michael )OCASIO M 120 6.00    
SCR  SERGEANT CAPPS Mar01 Feb14 Feb05 Dec27 Nov12 (synnefi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
SCR  PILOTE COMETE Mar26 Dec10 Jun13 May01 Feb08 (perkins b)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
BERMUDA RUN Mar26 Mar06 Feb19 Jan21 Jan02 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 6.00 27% 2.80    
PET MAT Mar21 Feb14 Jan11 Dec27 Nov08 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 4.50    
WHISPER ROAR Mar12 Feb20       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 10.00 16% 5.20    
MR RANDY Mar26 Feb28 Dec27 Dec05 Oct13 (girten tim)CRUZ ANGEL 116 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.