Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 21, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(5/2/6)-(9/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(9/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(9/6/5)-(3/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (9/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/5)-(9/10/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/5)-(9/10/6/4/5)-(9/10/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/6/5)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/6/5)-(3/1/2)-(8/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(8/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(8/6/5)-(4/6/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/5)-(8/6/5/14) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/5)-(8/6/5/14)-(8/6/5/14) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/5)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/8/5/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2/8)-(4/6/7/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/7/2)-(4/8/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/2)-(4/8/5/3/6)-(3/1/9/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/8/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/3/6)-(4/8/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/3/6)-(4/8/5/3/6)-(4/8/5/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/5/3/6)-(3/1/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/3/6)-(3/1/9/11)-(8/7/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/1/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/11)-(3/1/9/5/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/11)-(3/1/9/5/11)-(3/1/9/5/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/9/11)-(8/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4/9)-(8/7/1/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/21/2026 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRESCENT RISING Jan02 Nov06       (downing willi)MORALES PABLO 119 15.00    
MY LIL FLIRT Nov30 Nov07 Sep14     (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
KNOWLEDGE IS GOOD Jan02 Dec13 Nov28 Nov09 Sep25 (simone micha)BATISTA A 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
MODERN MISS Jan02 Dec12 Nov19 Oct01 Sep05 (ryan s)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
D ORBIE'S GIRL Jan02 Dec13 Nov29     (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRENACHE Jan02 Nov21 Oct24 Sep27 Aug30 (arnett jo)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 6.00    
SCR  R SKYLINE Dec06 Nov01       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
 
TAM-2   01/21/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABELIEFINTHISLIVIN Dec12 Oct13 Nov26 Aug26 Jul08 (smith ro)GIL CIPRIANO 120 8.00    
BEELINE Nov30 Oct22 Mar26 Feb07 Jun05 (mott riley)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
DREAMING OF KONA Dec26 Sep09 Aug12 Jun23 Jun04 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 6.00    
NAUGHTY RASCAL Mar08 Feb08 Jan11 Dec07 Nov02 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
UNCASHED Dec19 Nov28 Oct26 Sep18 Aug24 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
ROUKI Aug03 Jul06 Mar30 Feb22 Feb02 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 6.00 9% 9.70    
 
TAM-3   01/21/2026 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOMINATOR C. Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug24 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 122 30.00    
BLUE SKY'S SYL Jan07 Dec03 Aug16 Jul31 Jul16 (wasiluk pete)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 30.00    
SO SO Jan07 Dec03 Oct18 Jun28 Jun19 (gallegos a)CENTENO E 122 5.00    
EFFICACY Dec13 Nov27 Nov07 Oct19 Sep03 (guciardo john)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00    
SILVER PUNCH Jan07 Dec03 Oct07 Sep30 Sep13 (ramos ben)MORALES ANGEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
STONEYBROOK ROAD         (yates michael)FERRER C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
ZIMBAWEE Dec17 Apr05 Feb21 Jan17 Dec06 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 122 30.00    
KADAR INDY Jan09 Dec17 Apr25 Apr11 Mar16 (drake robert)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 30.00    
ALRASIKH Jan07 Dec03 Sep26 Aug16 Aug06 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 3.00 71% 0.40    
10  AND THATS MY STORY Dec13 Sep29 Aug18 Jul30 Jul14 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 122 5.00    
11  SPEAKER'S LOBBY Jan07 Oct25 Aug02     (kintz matthe)CASTANON L 122 4.00    
12  RED SKY MORNING Dec13 Apr23 Mar29 Mar09   (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
 
TAM-4   01/21/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO DE MO Jan03 Sep26 Sep20 Aug31 Aug02 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 18% 4.40    
GREYZER Dec19 Sep10 Jul24 Jun28 Jun11 (waltke e)HESS SARA 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
PEACE NOT WAR Dec17 Jun29 May29 Apr19 Mar28 (vargas an)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  ARROGANCY Jan07 Nov26 Aug23 Jun21 May29 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 118 5.00    
SCR  EMPIRE SKY Jan03 Dec10 Oct19 Sep16 Aug08 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 5.00    
PEACE CLOUD Jan04 Dec10 Oct07 Sep20 Aug30 (sacco gregory )GIL CIPRIANO 120 8.00    
CAPTURE THE TIME Dec26 Dec12 Sep20 Aug31 Jul30 (vanwinkle da)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 5.00    
C R INSTA GATOR Sep20 Aug31 Aug12 Jul31 Jul11 (arnett g)HO WESLEY 118 15.00    
 
TAM-5   01/21/2026 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULANITA Nov19 Aug29 Aug09     (laurato mic)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of FOR ALL YOU KNOW by YES IT'S TRUE)
TIZ THE LADY Nov02 Oct16       (mcgaughey claude)LEON SONNY 119 12.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MEDIA MADNESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
CONSIDER ME FIRST Oct16         (mott i)CENTENO E 119 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of NOT UNUSUAL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  RESPONSIBLY Dec31         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of GIN MARTINI by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FRENCH TIP         (proctor thoma)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ASTRAY by BERNARDINI)
LA RODADA Dec11 Oct25 Oct03 Aug31 Jul19 (minguet ramo)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 23% 3.40    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of LAUGHING LASS by PRACTICAL JOKE)
KAFFEINATE (GB) Oct16         (clement miguel)GIL CIPRIANO 119 8.00    
  (by MEHMAS out of SURCINGLE by EMPIRE MAKER)
PAIUTE (IRE)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by DUBAWI out of HOMERIQUE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  DUNLOE         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 20.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of MAKEALITLEMISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  DEFERENCE         (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
  (by FIRST DEFENCE out of IN ACCORD by WITH APPROVAL)
SCR  CHATELOT Dec20 Nov08 Oct10     (raven ker)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 6.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MISS CHATELAINE by PULPIT)
SCR  NECEA         (walden william)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PYTHAGOREAN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  INKLING (AUS) Nov06 Oct03       (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 4.00    
  (by DUPORTH out of TARCOOLA DIAMOND by LAST TYCOON (IRE))
14  BLUE HEN CHICK         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 15.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of FLOWING by EL GRAN SENOR)
 
TAM-6   01/21/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHING CHING Aug17 Aug03 Jul06     (dobber w)LARA VICTOR 109 30.00    
NIGHT RAVEN Jan11 Jan04 Dec06 Nov26 Nov09 (sano antonio)BATISTA A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
STAR PRINCE Jan11 Jan02 Dec19 Nov26 Nov09 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 8.00    
I'M MISCHIEVOUS Jan02 Dec10 Nov26     (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
POLIZON Jan14 Jan04 Dec19 Dec06 Nov26 (sano ant)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
ASHRYVER Jan04 Dec19 Sep07 Aug16 Aug01 (birdwell tena)GIL CIPRIANO 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
LIGHTING ARROW Sep13         (garcia ped)URDANETA J 119 6.00 12% 7.50    
REAGAN'S RENEGADE Dec19 Oct05 Sep07 Jul20 Jun07 (miller rory )MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
GIMME ME BIT Jan02 Dec19 Oct25 Aug02   (bagwandeen)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
10  RED FERN Dec11 Nov14 Oct17     (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
 
TAM-7   01/21/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S GONE ROGUE Dec27 Aug16 Aug02 May31 May04 (yanez r)FERRER C 119 8.00    
TINKATWO Jan04 Nov19 Oct18 Sep05 Aug22 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 15.00    
MY LITTLE WILDCAT Jan02 Dec12 Nov22 Oct09 Sep21 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 6.00 8% 11.50    
ATTENDING Jan03 Nov19 Oct25 Oct04 Sep14 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
BELLS OF BRAM Apr25 Apr05 Mar26 Mar12 Mar05 (gardea abraha)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00 9% 10.40    
I HEARD SOMETHINGS Dec13 Nov07 Oct17 Sep26 Sep11 (ferraro anth)GIL CIPRIANO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
HIT SONG Jan04 Dec27 Dec10 Nov02 Oct05 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 121 6.00    
MY GAL Jan03 Dec13 Nov19 Oct16 Oct01 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 8.00 9% 10.30    
SLIVER OF SUNSHINE Jan03 Nov19 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 119 5.00    
10  BACKSEAT ROMANCE Jan09 Jul05 Jun20 Jun08 May24 (mcburney patri)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
SCR  APPLE SHAKE SHAKE Jan10 Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 Sep20 (lopez ma)RODRIGUEZ O 119 4.00    
SCR  KUKU Jan10 Dec24 Dec03 Sep30 Sep01 (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 10.00    
SCR  FAR ABOVE Jan04 Aug23 Aug01 Jun21 May25 (dobber w)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
SCR  MICHAELA Oct17 Sep20 Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 (pompay t)MARTINEZ A 119 20.00    
 
TAM-8   01/21/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Jan03 Dec17 Oct29 Sep26 Sep15 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
HOLIDAY FANTASY Jan03 Dec17 Nov22 Oct30 Oct09 (padilla ti)MEJIAS A 116 15.00    
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jan03 Dec13 Jun09 May27 Mar05 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
COX CANYON Jan03 Dec17 Nov28 Sep16 Sep02 (wasiluk pete)GONZALEZ CESAR 116 15.00    
HARI Jan07 Dec24 Jul03 Jun11 May27 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 6.00    
BOLD LOOKER Dec24 Dec07 Oct04 Sep07 Aug16 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 123 20.00    
POLITICAL RIOT Jan03 Dec12 Aug27 Jul23 Jul05 (vanwinkle dav)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 5.00    
BELTS 'N BROOKS Jan03 Dec13 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 (bagwandeen)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 30.00    
STREET GLIDE Jan03 Dec05 Sep22 Aug02 Jul11 (arnett g)GIL CIPRIANO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  HABERDASHERY Dec27 Dec12 Dec03 Nov19 Jul27 (mckathan kevi)MORALES ANGEL 123 30.00    
11  INITFORTHELOVE Jan04 Oct04 Sep12 Jul27 Jun21 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  CHICO CHARLIE Jan02 Oct21 Oct08 Sep19 Aug27 (vargas jo)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 116 6.00    
SCR  THE HONEYMAN Jan14 Nov15 Oct04 Oct05 Sep13 (levy tamara )MENESES MARCOS 123 15.00    
 
TAM-9   01/21/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUDDHIST PRODIGY Jan09 Dec05 Mar12 Feb13 Jan17 (narvaez carl)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00 7% 13.90    
HONORABLE CHILL Nov28 Oct19 Oct05 Sep10 Aug09 (lawrence l)LEON SONNY 119 8.00    
MISCHIEVOUS TRICK Jan03 Nov02 Oct17 Sep27 Sep11 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 121 6.00    
NICKY JOLENE Dec26 Dec05 Nov28 Oct18 Oct01 (aguayo ramon)GIL CIPRIANO 119 12.00 6% 16.00    
LET'S GO PHILLY Jan09 Dec05 Oct25 Jan12 Dec08 (lopez olmeda )MORALES ANGEL 119 30.00    
SEA SHANTY Jan09 Nov08 Oct01 Sep13 Aug28 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
NELIDA Dec26 Nov28 Oct20 Oct01 Sep15 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 8.00 27% 2.70    
CLASSICALS FINALE Dec26 Nov28 Nov19 Oct18 Oct01 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
MORGS WORLD Jan09 Nov15 Sep28 Aug16 Aug01 (goodwin nik)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50    
10  DAS IST ALLES ALLY Dec26 Apr18 Mar21 Mar09 Feb05 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  CHILLING FACTOR Dec19 Nov07 Oct17 Sep27 Sep05 (ramos ben)HO WESLEY 119 30.00    
SCR  BRAVO KITTEN Dec19 Nov29 Aug31 Jul06 Jun05 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ O 119 5.00    
SCR  SHAKREVENGE Jan09 Dec26 Sep19 Sep06 Aug17 (avila c)BATISTA A 119 12.00    
SCR  FLUFFY Nov27 Nov16 Oct26 Sep05 Aug15 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.