Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/8/1/6)-(7/4/8/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(5/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(5/6/8/2)-(6/8/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/2)-(6/8/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/2)-(6/8/3/7)-(1/10/9/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/3/7)-(1/10/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/7)-(1/10/9/4/8)-(6/2/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/10/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/9/4/8)-(1/10/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/9/4/8)-(1/10/9/4/8)-(1/10/9/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/10/9/4/8)-(6/2/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/10/9/4/8)-(6/2/9/1)-(5/2/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/2/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/9/1)-(6/2/9/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/9/1)-(6/2/9/1/8)-(6/2/9/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/9/1)-(5/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/9/1)-(5/2/4/6)-(5/1/3/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/6)-(5/1/3/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/6)-(5/1/3/7/2)-(3/9/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/1/3/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/7/2)-(5/1/3/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/7/2)-(5/1/3/7/2)-(5/1/3/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/3/7/2)-(3/9/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/7/2)-(3/9/8/6)-(3/9/1/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (3/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/6)-(3/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/6)-(3/9/8/6)-(3/9/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/8/6)-(3/9/1/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/9/1/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/1/10/5)-(3/9/1/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/1/10/5)-(3/9/1/10/5)-(3/9/1/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JENN SWEET JENN Dec10 Nov26 Sep15 Aug27 Jul07 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 122 2.00 ★    
2  PRINCESS HONOR Dec10 Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 Jul18 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 4.00    
3  QUEEN DIANA Nov22 Oct19 Sep13 Jul31 Jul12 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 122 15.00    
4  GO K J GO         (vanwinkle da)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 15.00 34% 1.90    
5  SUNNY MONDAY Dec10 Nov26 May03 Apr25 Mar30 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
6  GAMBI Oct06 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 (alessi james)HESS SARA 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  IT'S JUST A GAME Jul19 Jun21 May24 May01 Mar12 (cordero )RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
8  SPUN TO PURFECTION Nov29 Oct19 Sep19 Aug29 Aug09 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 122 2.50 ★    
9  AUNT JOSSY Nov26 Nov07 May23 May10 Oct18 (bacallao-veg)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 30.00    
 
TAM-2   12/27/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA KATZ Dec10 Nov29 Sep23 Sep01 Aug11 (gray christop)MORALES ANGEL 121 30.00    
2  BOURBON STATE Dec10 Nov26 Oct03 Sep14 Sep04 (mendieta )ARANGUREN JOHANIS 108 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Nov29 Oct09 Sep29 Aug26 Apr23 (paragallo )FERNANDEZ MARVIN 111 12.00    
4  KING FREUD Dec10 Nov26 Sep27 Sep22 Aug31 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.40    
5  STONE COLD FLEX Dec10 Nov01 Oct03 Aug23 Aug02 (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  VINO COURAGIO Nov26 Oct17 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 (campbell joel)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  PERFORMANCE PLUS Dec20 Dec10 Nov26 Oct11 Sep20 (carrascojr v)CASIQUE UBARDO 121 10.00    
8  CANDY STREET Dec20 Apr20 Mar23 Mar05 Feb05 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 5.00 12% 7.40    
 
TAM-3   12/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HABERDASHERY Dec12 Dec03 Nov19 Jul27 Jun28 (mckathan kevi)MORALES ANGEL 122 20.00    
2  STAR KANOO Dec13 Nov19 Dec28 Aug29 Jul28 (dominguez hu)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 10.00    
3  FLOAT ON Dec03 Oct21 Sep16 Jul30 Jul16 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  IKIGAI Dec13 Nov22 Oct16 Oct07 Aug15 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 112 20.00    
SCR  WORA Nov29 Oct08 Aug16 Jul16 Sep08 (richards )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 115 6.00    
6  OSPREY Dec13 Nov22 Jun25 Jun10 May19 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
7  MACHISMO Aug19 Jun26 Jun12 Feb09 Jan03 (poole a)FELICIANO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  AUGER Nov19 Oct03 Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 (cahill steven )MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
9  LEE ANN'S WARRIOR Dec13 Nov08 Sep20 Sep07 Aug09 (garcia jr)FERRER C 122 15.00    
 
TAM-4   12/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEET ME IN THE AIR Dec13 Nov14 Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 (cordero )RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
2  BELLA ROMANCE Jun06 Apr27 Apr21 Apr06 Mar23 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 120 30.00    
3  HEAVENS EXPRESS Dec12 Nov19 Oct04 Sep20 Aug10 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 110 12.00    
4  LIL TEMPTATION Dec12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 (quinones )MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  EARLY DELIVERY Dec12 Nov19 Oct31 Oct17 Sep19 (lopez ra)SERPA ANGEL 118 6.00    
6  SHOOPTHEREITIS Dec12 Nov19 Nov04 Oct21 Oct10 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
7  ONE SPECIAL ACT Nov19 Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug11 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 20.00    
8  SHE STOPPED SHORT Dec12 Oct26 Oct12 Aug24 Aug03 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  PADRINO'S GOLD Dec12 Nov12 Oct29 Oct18 Oct08 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 4.50 6% 14.70    
10  OOPS HAHA Nov19 Oct26 May04 Apr04 Mar22 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 120 3.00 7% 14.20    
 
TAM-5   12/27/2025 5280ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGALONG KAYLA Dec05 Sep06 Aug17 Aug08 Jul18 (wilson tony)HESS SARA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DYNAMIC ACTRESS Dec12 Sep13 Aug16 Jul05 May04 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 116 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  MOBAY PRINCESS Dec12 Nov02 Oct05 Sep05 Aug09 (mcgoey monica)MORALES ANGEL 116 10.00    
4  OMIKAMI Dec20 Nov26 Nov19 Oct23 Oct16 (dini mike)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00    
SCR  ICE QUEEN Oct03 Sep10 Jul03 Jun04 Apr02 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 115 30.00    
6  CRAFTY COLLECTOR Oct31 Sep20 Aug31 Jul26 Jun20 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.20 42% 1.40    
7  HIT SONG Dec10 Nov02 Oct05 Sep13 Aug30 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 111 30.00    
8  ITS SATISFACTUAL Dec13 Nov19 Aug29 Jul17 Jun29 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 117 15.00 ★    
9  ALCOHOL Dec05 Oct16 Sep23 Sep10 Aug19 (kintz matth)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 13% 6.70    
10  SHE'S GONE ROGUE Aug16 Aug02 May31 May04 Mar21 (yanez mo)RODRIGUEZ O 114 20.00    
11  THAT'S MY CAT Apr26 Mar21 Mar07 Feb07 Dec20 (hardesty lesliely)HESS SARA 114 20.00    
SCR  LALOBA FEROZ Dec13 Aug27 Aug15 Jul31 Jun26 (drake robert)COTTO L 113 20.00    
SCR  FAR ABOVE Aug23 Aug01 Jun21 May25 May04 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 112 30.00    
SCR  MIDWAY VOW Dec13 Nov11 Oct17 Sep23 Sep07 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 111 30.00    
 
TAM-6   12/27/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSION MIKE Dec05 Nov22 Oct02 Sep11 Aug18 (cahill f)CENTENO E 121 6.00    
2  JADES JAY Dec03 Sep20 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 1.80 13% 6.90    
3  EVERDOIT Dec19 Oct21 Sep15 Aug10 Jun27 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 121 15.00    
4  FORT CHARLES Oct28 Oct01 Sep15 Sep01 Aug04 (torres r)SERPA ANGEL 121 10.00 11% 7.80    
5  THE BEST DISTANCE Dec03 Nov22 Oct21 Oct07 Sep19 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 116 3.00 52% 0.90    
6  WHITING FIELD Dec12 Sep15 Aug31 Aug12 Aug02 (simone micha)GONZALEZ CESAR 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PASSIONED Dec05 Nov08 Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.50    
8  INDIE FREEDOM Oct19 Sep17 Jul26 Jul03 May31 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00    
 
TAM-7   12/27/2025 5280ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELDEST SON Dec05 Nov19 Sep06 Jul25 May24 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.80 24% 3.10    
2  CUPID'S DUDE Dec17 Nov28 Oct08 Sep01 Aug21 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  OLD FLAG (IRE) Nov01 Oct08 Sep20 Sep13 Aug27 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 117 10.00 5% 17.20    
4  PERUVIAN LUCKY Nov29 Sep25 Aug21 Aug07 May29 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ O 117 6.00    
5  ROYAL LUCK (CHI) Nov29 Oct14 Sep19 Sep02 Jul23 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
6  AIR INVASION Dec03 Sep03 Aug13 Jun12 Apr24 (paramo martin)MORALES PABLO 114 15.00    
7  EDDIE THE GREAT Dec13 Nov19 Jul05 Apr19 Mar29 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Nov29 Nov19 Oct20 Oct08 Sep23 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 115 30.00    
9  SOULMATE Nov28 Nov07 Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 15.00    
10  QUISTMER Nov29 Sep26 Aug30 Aug03 Jul04 (pompay terri)LANDEROS CHRIS 117 12.00    
SCR  INITFORTHELOVE Oct04 Sep12 Jul27 Jun21 May03 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 114 30.00    
SCR  JOE FROM KIEV Dec12 Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun07 (curto jea)HO WESLEY 113 30.00    
SCR  OVERHAUL Aug23 Jul10 Jun19 Apr09 Mar28 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 110 30.00    
 
TAM-8   12/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOWOKEGOBROKE Aug22 Jul10 Jun02 Apr23 Apr04 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 120 15.00    
SCR  PAYNTED WARRIOR Nov29 Mar29 Feb22 Jan26 Jan11 (felician)RODRIGUEZ O 120 10.00    
3  MOR SPRING SPIRIT Oct01 Aug25 Aug11 Jul29 Jun30 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
4  BUSTIN AWAY Oct27 Oct08 Sep19 Sep01 Aug16 (ferraro anth)GIL CIPRIANO 120 15.00    
SCR  UNDALAY Nov29 Oct09 Sep20 Jun28 Jun12 (richards )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 113 12.00    
6  MORNING CUP Nov13 Oct29 Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IN SKY WE TRUST Oct29 Oct09 Sep03 Aug13 Jul21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
8  JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Sep20 Aug30 Aug07 Jul12 Jun05 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 14% 6.00    
9  MR. PENNY PINCHER Dec17 Nov29 Oct10 Sep11 Aug26 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
10  SECRET EMPIRE Dec12 Nov19 Oct26 Aug29 Aug16 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 2.50    
 
TAM-9   12/27/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARY LOIS (IRE)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 18% 4.70    
  (by SKIMMING out of TRUMPING by QUIET AMERICAN)
2  BAND ON THE RUN Nov22 Oct12       (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UPPER BRASS by HARD SPUN)
3  PERM (IRE) Oct05         (brown ch)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by FRANKEL out of BLOWOUT by DANSILI)
4  I CHOOSE JOY Oct13         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LIQUORICE MARILYN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  LUCKY WIN COCO Oct18 Sep12 Aug29     (morales )FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of LUCKYSTRIKEDELCOCO by PLEASANT STRIKE)
SCR  ENDLESS GLORY Dec06 Oct10 Sep17     (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
7  ATI GIRL Dec06 Aug28 Aug08     (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 119 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HEAVENLY SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
8  DUCHESSA Dec06 Oct10       (delacour arn)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of PRINCESS GIBRALTAR by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR)
9  BLESS HER Nov22         (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of IRISH MISSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  GIRVANA Dec06 Oct09       (rose orlando)LEON SONNY 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of E B RYDER by BLUEGRASS CAT)
11  ABIGAIL Oct05         (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
  (by QUIET AMERICAN out of AUNTJENN by UNCLE MO)
12  REJUVENATOR         (motion gr)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
  (by DELINEATOR out of PACIFIC PATTI by PIASTER)
SCR  LOWENSTEIN (IRE) Nov14         (walsh br)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of FAMILY STAR by SEA THE STARS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.