Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/4/1/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/8/10)-(5/4/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/8/10)-(5/4/1/8/10)-(5/4/1/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/1/8/10)-(8/1/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/8/10)-(8/1/3/6)-(4/7/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/6)-(4/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/6)-(4/7/6/3)-(5/2/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/3)-(5/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/3)-(5/2/7/8)-(4/10/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/8)-(4/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/8)-(4/10/5)-(4/7/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/10/5)-(4/3/10/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/10/5)-(4/3/10/5)-(4/3/10/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/10/5)-(4/7/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/10/5)-(4/7/8/9)-(7/3/2/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/9)-(4/7/8/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/9)-(4/7/8/9/1)-(4/7/8/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/8/9)-(7/3/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/9)-(7/3/2/6/1)-(14/8/10/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/3/2/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/6/1)-(7/3/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/6/1)-(7/3/2/6/1)-(7/3/2/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/2/6/1)-(14/8/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/6/1)-(14/8/10/9)-(6/5/9/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (14/8/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (14/8/10/9)-(14/8/10/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (14/8/10/9)-(14/8/10/4/9)-(14/8/10/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (14/8/10/9)-(6/5/9/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/5/9/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/7/1)-(6/5/9/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/7/1)-(6/5/9/7/1)-(6/5/9/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCHO         (amaya gustav)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 9% 10.30    
2  FIFTEEN HUNDRED R Nov26 Sep28       (vazquez eduardo )FERRER C 119 15.00    
3  GRAY BEAST Nov14 Aug30 Jul06     (soler edisley)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.00    
4  EL OREJON Nov26 Oct11 Sep03 Aug14 Jun29 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 19% 4.10    
5  MORAL POWER Dec06 Oct16 Sep27     (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  ILLUSTRATION Dec06 Sep28 Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00    
7  TUSCAN THUNDER Nov21 Oct09 Sep28     (wasiluk peter)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 15.00    
8  ASHRYVER Sep07 Aug16 Aug01     (birdwell te)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  STAR PRINCE Nov26 Nov09 Oct19 Sep26 Sep07 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
10  POLIZON Dec06 Nov26 Oct25 Sep26 Sep07 (sano antonio)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   12/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN ATLAS Nov19 Oct14 Oct02 Sep14 Jun21 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 18% 4.60    
2  CHILLING FACTOR Nov07 Oct17 Sep27 Sep05 Aug24 (ramos ben)MORALES ANGEL 121 20.00    
3  ROCIO Nov29 Oct05 Sep21 Sep10 Aug29 (munoz cindy)HO WESLEY 118 4.50 11% 8.30    
SCR  CHEERFUL TROUT Dec05 Nov28 Oct23 Oct14 Sep17 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
5  MISHKA Nov28 Sep06 Aug01 Jul17 Jun26 (seale chr)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 6.00    
6  SPECIAL AFFAIR Nov29 Oct04 Sep19 Aug17 Jul26 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  HUMOR SENSE Nov29 Oct17 Sep12 Aug22 Jul17 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00    
8  LIZZIE BABY Nov29 Nov19 Oct21 Oct14 Sep29 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
TAM-3   12/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  READY SET ADIOS Oct07 Aug30 Aug15 Jul24 Jun19 (wittek karyn)HESS SARA 122 10.00    
2  SYLLABUS Dec05 Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 Aug20 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 122 30.00    
3  BAND SWEETHEART Dec05 Aug30 Aug01 Jun20 May02 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  OLGA Nov14 Oct12 Sep12 Aug07 Jul10 (narvaez carlos)LEON SONNY 122 1.20 54% 0.80    
5  VIOLENT VIXEN Nov18 Sep22 Aug13 Jul13 Jun25 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 3.50    
6  KIKILOVE Nov30 Oct18 Oct11 Sep27 Aug10 (russo vi)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 6% 16.30    
7  LADY IN HEELS Dec05 Oct05 Apr09 Mar12 Jul25 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 122 5.00 17% 4.70    
8  GOOD BRIGHT FLAMES Dec05 Oct15 Aug22 Jun26 Jun13 (gallegos jos)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 10.00    
 
TAM-4   12/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAYDAR CONTROL Feb07 Jan15 Dec24     (ward dennis)FERRER C 118 6.00    
2  DANZING MINER Dec02 Nov11 Sep20 Sep13 Aug24 (garrett )GALLARDO A 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
3  TRANSACTIONAL GUY Nov14 Aug23 Jul11 Jun08   (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
4  DOUBLE ECHO Nov26 Nov08 Oct02 Sep20 Sep13 (escobar mar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
5  KING MENDELSSOHN Oct16 Sep30 Aug19 Jul30 Jul11 (davis sc)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  GO YOSHIDA Dec05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep01 Aug15 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50    
7  ACQUISITIVE Dec05 Aug17 Jul26 Jun27 May03 (ubide max)TORRES R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TAKE THE GOLD Dec10 Oct04 Sep05 Aug10 Jul09 (mendieta )ARANGUREN JOHANIS 110 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  COLLECTED DREAMS Nov22 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 Sep04 (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 117 30.00    
 
TAM-5   12/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENS DIPLOMAT Nov29 Oct05 Sep14 Apr25 Apr05 (gardea ab)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 30.00    
SCR  PRINCESS HONOR Dec10 Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 Jul18 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00    
3  KHOZANALL Dec03 Nov26 Sep27 Sep06 Aug08 (yanez reynaldo)FERRER C 122 3.50 ★    
4  LA VECCHIA SIGNORA Apr18 Mar29       (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.80 72% 0.40    
5  LOVE THAT GAL Dec03 Nov22 Sep05     (gardea abraha)MORALES ANGEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DARK WIND Nov29 Sep10 Aug13 Jul17   (lusk r)LARA VICTOR 112 30.00    
SCR  BALITEA Dec10 Oct12 Sep13 Aug15   (cascallares nestor)TORRES R 120 30.00    
8  MACA ABARRIO Nov26 Jun06 Mar23 Mar01 Jan24 (ochoa gerard)LEON SONNY 122 8.00    
SCR  ADJUST MY HALO May30 May03 Apr12     (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 122 15.00    
10  GOPHERS AXE Nov29 Oct30 Oct05 Aug31 Aug07 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MYSTIC SHADOW Oct22 Sep27 Aug10 Jul13 Jun14 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 6.00    
12  MY LADY BAE Nov26 Aug09 Jul30 Jul05 Jun21 (wasiluk peter)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 30.00    
 
TAM-6   12/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 2 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUNDALAY Nov19 Oct18       (cascallare)URDANETA J 119 10.00 ★    
2  KISS ME FOR LUCK Nov13         (cascallares nestor)TORRES R 119 20.00    
3  HOLY SPICY Nov30 Nov07 Oct18 Aug15 Jun28 (garcia pedro)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
4  PRECIOUS CAT Nov29 Nov19 Oct17     (dini mike)GIL CIPRIANO 119 1.40 57% 0.80    
5  RUNTOWN Nov29         (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 12.00    
6  SHESA MISCHIEFLADY Oct24         (bennett gera)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 4.50    
7  BABY GUN         (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 119 15.00 8% 12.00    
8  CRITICAL MAGIC Dec06 Aug03 Jul11 Jun01   (delgado h)FERRER C 119 2.50 8% 12.00    
9  BLACK FLY         (lusk r)HO WESLEY 119 15.00 7% 14.20    
 
TAM-7   12/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIKI JAK Nov26 Oct05       (sano antonio)CENTENO E 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WISE WORDS Aug30 Jul12 Jun22     (delgado )GALLARDO A 119 4.50 16% 5.10    
3  MAGIC MIKEY Aug27 Aug15 Jul03     (seale chris)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
4  MAGNUS GOLD Nov26         (narvaez carl)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
5  COASTAL APPEAL Dec06 Oct14 Sep09 Jul15   (becker sc)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 30.00    
6  REAGAN'S RENEGADE Oct05 Sep07 Jul20 Jun07   (miller c)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GIULIO CESARE Nov26 Oct12       (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 119 0.60 42% 1.40    
8  MONEY MAGIC Nov26 Oct04 Sep04 Aug13   (mendieta alej)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 30.00    
9  RAGEVILLE Dec06 Oct05       (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
10  GIMME ME BIT Oct25 Aug02       (bagwandeen p)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 30.00    
SCR  VINO SOLO         (lopez mario )CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  ETERVIDOS         (amaya gustav)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
SCR  ROSCOMMON Oct09         (ryan s)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.00    
SCR  GIDEON         (ward a)MORALES PABLO 119 2.00    
 
TAM-8   12/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART STRIKER Dec05 Nov19 Oct12 Oct04 Aug30 (david ca)GALLARDO A 121 3.50    
SCR  JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Sep20 Aug30 Aug07 Jul12 Jun05 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
3  LINO'S KID Oct07 Jul03 Jun17 May29 May14 (bacallao-vega)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 30.00    
4  MEGAN'S HONOR Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Aug05 Jul19 (becker scott)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 ★    
5  CURLIN GUNNER Nov22 Sep14 Aug16 Jul03 Jun07 (villanueva ser)GIL CIPRIANO 121 12.00    
6  TEST PILOT Nov19 Sep28 Sep10 Aug23 Aug02 (padilla tim)FERRER C 121 6.00    
7  CIRCLE BACK JACK Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 Jul31 Jul18 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 121 10.00    
8  CROOKED DREAMS Dec10 Oct23 Sep24 Sep15 Aug20 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 6.00 13% 6.40    
9  GREYZER Sep10 Jul24 Jun28 Jun11 May22 (waltke e)HESS SARA 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  AMERICAN UNITY Nov29 Nov01 Oct09 Sep20 Sep04 (lopez ma)RODRIGUEZ O 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
11  EVERDOIT Oct21 Sep15 Aug10 Jun27 May21 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 121 20.00    
12  VERRAZANOINTHESKY Nov02 Oct16 Sep28 Sep04 Aug21 (martinez jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 30.00    
SCR  KEIGS Nov13 Oct28 Sep30 Sep08 Aug20 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 8.00    
14  DUNDIE Dec03 Oct09 Jul30 Mar23 Feb09 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
TAM-9   12/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMEY MONDAY Feb21 Feb09       (hardesty lesliely)HESS SARA 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  ELECTRIC RUNNER Dec10 Aug24 May04 Mar21 Mar05 (manchan bertr)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 30.00    
SCR  JERSEY JOYCE Sep27 Sep13 Jul20 Jul04 Aug18 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50    
4  FLAMING SPIRIT Nov09 Oct11 Sep03 Aug06   (lawrence)GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
5  FORGET TOMORROW Dec10 Oct16 Oct01 Sep13 Aug24 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
6  CARAVAGGIO'S SONG Oct18 Sep13 Jul13 Jun08 May21 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
7  BIG LOUS MESSENGER Feb06 Dec19       (heming)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CINDY'S PRINCESS Oct31 Sep13       (lusk r)HO WESLEY 121 30.00    
9  SEXPECTATIONS Oct11 Sep13 Jul13 May17   (pompay terri)GIL CIPRIANO 121 6.00 11% 8.40    
10  PROMAJA Aug28 Aug15 Jun10 Apr25 Apr06 (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 124 12.00    
SCR  BUDGET EXCEEDED         (castillo)MARTINEZ A 121 15.00    
SCR  WEATHER LADY Apr18 Mar30 Dec20 Oct05 Sep20 (torres pablo)GONZALEZ CESAR 114 30.00    
SCR  SUNNY MONDAY Dec10 Nov26 May03 Apr25 Mar30 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 30.00    
SCR  KUKU Dec03 Sep30 Sep01 Aug12 Dec15 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.