Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/6)-(3/4/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(3/4/2/5)-(10/5/9/6/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/5)-(10/5/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/5)-(10/5/9/6/7)-(7/6/5/1/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-3   WIN (10/5/9/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/9/6/7)-(10/5/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/9/6/7)-(10/5/9/6/7)-(10/5/9/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/9/6/7)-(7/6/5/1/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/5/9/6/7)-(7/6/5/1/2)-(5/1/2/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (7/6/5/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/1/2)-(7/6/5/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/1/2)-(7/6/5/1/2)-(7/6/5/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/5/1/2)-(5/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/1/2)-(5/1/2/8)-(11/9/4/3/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (5/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8/4)-(5/1/2/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/8)-(11/9/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/8)-(11/9/4/3/5)-(9/5/10/13/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (11/9/4/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/9/4/3/5)-(11/9/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/9/4/3/5)-(11/9/4/3/5)-(11/9/4/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/9/4/3/5)-(9/5/10/13/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/9/4/3/5)-(9/5/10/13/7)-(8/9/12/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (9/5/10/13/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/10/13/7)-(9/5/10/13/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/10/13/7)-(9/5/10/13/7)-(9/5/10/13/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/10/13/7)-(8/9/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/10/13/7)-(8/9/12/4)-(7/10/1/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/9/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/12/4)-(8/9/12/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/12/4)-(8/9/12/4/3)-(8/9/12/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/12/4)-(7/10/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/10/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/1/8)-(7/10/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/1/8)-(7/10/1/8)-(7/10/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   12/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE ANNIE         (amaya gus)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
RULES FOR THREE         (agostini arthur )FERRER C 119 12.00    
NORWEGIAN WOOD         (amaya )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 15.00    
MUCHO MACHO LADY Nov19 Oct24 Sep26 Aug30 Aug09 (alanis franci)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 12.00    
SCR  JUSTAMOMENTPLEASE Aug16         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 1.00    
MODERN MISS Nov19 Oct01 Sep05 Aug22   (ryan s)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00 16% 5.40    
REGAL RULES         (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  MARLAS DREAM Oct04 Aug31       (sacco gregory )GIL CIPRIANO 119 2.50    
 
TAM-2   12/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($55.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIZZLE Nov26 Nov09 Oct25 Sep12 Aug15 (bacallao-vega )MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
FIELDS OF GREEN Oct20 Sep30 Jul27 Jun27 Jun14 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 15.00 7% 13.30    
MY CAJUN LADY Nov26 Aug21 Aug03 Jun23 Jun04 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
DEFLECTION Nov22 Nov01 Oct04 Sep06 Jul12 (sano antonio)CENTENO E 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
MY LITTLE WILDCAT Nov22 Oct09 Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
LADY FROST Sep22 Apr06 Mar22 Nov05   (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 4.50    
SCR  PRINCESS BRITNI Nov08 Mar30 Mar02 Jan19 Dec29 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 120 3.00    
PRAYED FOR GIRL Nov22 Sep05 Aug16 May04 Apr19 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 120 10.00    
 
TAM-3   12/12/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STREET GLIDE Dec05 Sep22 Aug02 Jul11 Jun08 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
FEELTHEBEAT Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul04 (quinones raul)SERPA ANGEL 120 12.00    
SARGEANT BARGER Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 Jul04 Jun13 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
HABERDASHERY Dec03 Nov19 Jul27 Jun28 Jun15 (mckathan kevi)MORALES ANGEL 120 30.00    
LUCKY CURLIN Nov29 Sep22 Sep03 Aug17 Aug03 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
SPEEDY HANS Nov28 Nov12 Oct28 Oct13 Sep29 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
GREY CHARMER Nov19 Oct23 Sep29 Sep09 Aug19 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
POLITICAL RIOT Aug27 Jul23 Jul05 May24 Apr16 (vanwinkle dav)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00    
WHITING FIELD Sep15 Aug31 Aug12 Aug02 Jul13 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
10  SECRET TREASURE Nov22 Oct11 Sep20 Aug29 Aug13 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
TAM-4   12/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL TEMPTATION Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Mar04 (quinones r)MEJIAS A 110 15.00 6% 15.40    
EARLY DELIVERY Nov19 Oct31 Oct17 Sep19 Aug10 (lopez ra)SERPA ANGEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
QURBAAN D ORO Nov29 Oct23 Sep25 Sep10 Aug21 (padilla t)ARANGUREN JOHANIS 108 30.00    
HEAVENS EXPRESS Nov19 Oct04 Sep20 Aug10 Jul20 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 10.00    
SHE STOPPED SHORT Oct26 Oct12 Aug24 Aug03 May04 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 6% 14.60    
LONG GONE SALLY Nov22 Nov08 Oct11 Sep12 Aug22 (braddy david)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
HEAVENLY DANCER (BRZ) Dec05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun27 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  BELLA ROMANCE Jun06 Apr27 Apr21 Apr06 Mar23 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 120 15.00    
SCR  SADIE BABY Oct10 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 (mcburney patr)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00    
SCR  LOVIELEE Sep10 Jul17 May04 Apr12 Mar22 (gardea abrah)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
11  SHOOPTHEREITIS Nov19 Nov04 Oct21 Oct10 Oct01 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
12  PADRINO'S GOLD Nov12 Oct29 Oct18 Oct08 Sep14 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00    
 
TAM-5   12/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIALAGENTJONSON Oct01 Aug30 Jun21 Apr19 Mar26 (downing willia)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
FERAL'S JOY Nov29 Oct10 Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 (wilson tony)HESS SARA 121 15.00 8% 11.10    
JOE FROM KIEV Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun07 Apr26 (curto beverly)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 30.00    
BLUFF Jul26 Jun29 Jun07 Apr27 Dec13 (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00    
NOBLE FACTOR Apr19 Apr04 Mar02 Feb08 Jan18 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
OUTTAWATERBURY Oct22 Sep12 Aug21 Jul30 Jul20 (wasiluk j)CENTENO E 121 5.00    
JUAN COLORADO Aug17 Aug02 Jul04 May16 Apr04 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
TORO FORWARD Aug02 Jul02 Jun01 Apr30 Mar28 (vanwinkle da)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
LATIN FORCE Sep18 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jun29 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00    
10  DIAL HIM UP Oct02 Sep06 Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 114 30.00    
SCR  MY PAL MAX Dec03 Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 (ryan s)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
 
TAM-6   12/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROFITABILITY Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 8.00    
SCR  FIT TO FIRE Nov19 Apr30 Apr09 Dec18 Oct20 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
BREATH DEEPLY Oct15 Sep30 Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
PAXTON Nov22 Sep12 Aug02 Jun27 Jun07 (miller c)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  HARPER'S AFLEET Nov19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul21   (arnett j)RODRIGUEZ O 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOBBY BOB Dec03 Nov15 Nov07 Oct03 Sep19 (sano antonio)CENTENO E 118 12.00    
ZEE FIRE Nov02 Aug17 Jul26 Jun24 Jun07 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00    
PARTY HARDY Nov19 Jun25 Jan08 Dec13 Sep15 (tsirigotis jame)LEON A 118 30.00    
HOMER JONES Sep03 Aug06 Jul10 Jun21 Jun06 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  BLUE MARBLE Nov19 Sep27 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 120 30.00    
11  NICE AND GOOD Sep13 Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 Jul05 (cahill f)HO WESLEY 120 4.50 45% 1.20    
12  CENTERFOLD GUY Dec03 Sep06 Jul12 Jun20 May29 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 20.00    
13  PRINSIPITO Dec03 Oct29 Oct09 Sep27 Sep08 (quinones r)MEJIAS A 108 30.00    
SCR  FLAT CAP Dec03 Jul11 Jun01 May09 Apr12 (bacallao-vega)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00    
 
TAM-7   12/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBAY PRINCESS Nov02 Oct05 Sep05 Aug09 Jul11 (bacallao-vega ju)FERRER C 121 12.00    
SCR  UTOPIA ROSE Dec05 Oct04 Sep28 Sep13 Aug08 (moysey chelsey )CENTENO E 121 30.00    
SCR  KATIES A LADY Nov19 Nov09 Apr18 Mar21 Feb16 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 10.00    
DOROTEA DREAM Nov28 Nov22 Oct23 Oct06 Sep16 (baez ralp)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
TELL ME SOME LIES Nov15 Sep20 Sep06 Jul26 Jun07 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 21% 3.80    
PACHOLLI (URU) Jan03 Nov17 Sep21     (parra hernan)HESS SARA 121 15.00    
MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Oct26 Aug28 Jul26 Jun19 Apr16 (downing willia)CASTANON L 121 8.00 6% 15.70    
ROSE VIEW Sep20 Aug21 Jul30 Jul04 May26 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00    
DYNAMIC ACTRESS Sep13 Aug16 Jul05 May04 Feb28 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 38% 1.70    
10  TIMELESS ROSE Nov06 Aug28 Jul08 May08 Apr16 (granitz antho)MORALES PABLO 121 6.00 6% 14.70    
11  DANCING RAQUEL Sep13 Aug30 Jul22 Jun14 May31 (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
SCR  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Oct10 Sep20 Aug01 May11 Apr26 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 121 12.00    
13  SHE FLED THE SCENE Oct11 Sep20 Sep05 Mar22 Mar08 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 15.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  LALOBA FEROZ Aug27 Aug15 Jul31 Jun26 Mar01 (drake robert)COTTO L 121 30.00    
 
TAM-8   12/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NESHUME Nov22 Oct26 Sep28 Aug29 Aug03 (cazares laura)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
SCR  RUSTY PISTOL Nov26 Sep19 Aug30 Jul20 Jun22 (jones douglas)LARA VICTOR 110 30.00    
FLUID SITUATION Nov22 Oct15 Sep29 Aug01 Jul03 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50    
SECRET EMPIRE Nov19 Oct26 Aug29 Aug16 Jul27 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LORD BERRIER Nov28 Oct26 Sep20 Jul19 Jun21 (preudhomme lenno)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
ROCKET DRAGON Nov22 Sep19 Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 10.00    
CAPTURE THE TIME Sep20 Aug31 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (vanwinkle da)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
TODDCHERO Oct15 Sep19 Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
SKYLOFT Oct26 Oct04 Mar05 Feb07 Jan18 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SAINT TAPIT Oct18 Feb15 Jan12 Dec15 Aug04 (sweezey kent)CENTENO E 120 20.00    
11  ABELIEFINTHISLIVIN Oct13 Nov26 Aug26 Jul08 Jun03 (smith ro)GIL CIPRIANO 120 10.00    
12  IMPACTO Nov19 Sep30 Sep09 Jul22 Jun26 (arnett g)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 12.00 12% 7.50    
13  MI DINERO Nov09 Oct08 Sep21 Aug29 Aug08 (munoz carlos)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
 
TAM-9   12/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D REMBRANDT         (dobber w)LEON SONNY 119 30.00 5% 17.60    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of TAP TAP TAPAROO by TAPIT)
SCR  CORK (FR)         (lerman s)MORALES PABLO 119 12.00    
  (by KENMARE (FR) out of DUBLIN GIRL by DUBLIN)
PAMPERO Sep07         (davis rick)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of RAGTIME SUZY by UNION RAGS)
SCR  PROTECT AND DEFEND         (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
SCR  TROUBLEONTHEGREEN Nov13 Oct01 Sep16     (granitz ant)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SI SI MON AMIE by EL CORREDOR)
CHINGU Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 Aug23   (rountree cat)BATISTA A 119 10.00    
  (by LEINSTER out of SWEET STORY by MASS MEDIA)
BROOKLYN STYLES Oct16 Oct07 Aug29 Aug01   (clement miguel)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 57% 0.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RESPONSIBLEFORLOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
MR MO'S MAGIC Sep20 Aug20       (rarick lynn)FERRER C 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE CHUCK out of MAGICAL FLAIR by DEFRERE)
TITANIO COCO Nov02 Oct11 Aug23 Jun26   (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COIN THE PHRASE by GOLDENCENTS)
10  LESOTHO PROMISE (IRE) Nov09         (motion graham)CENTENO E 119 4.50 13% 6.60    
  (by DUBAWI out of DIAMOND FIELDS by FASTNET ROCK)
11  CHANCE ON ME Oct25 Oct12 Aug23 Aug08   (bacallao-veg)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 30.00    
  (by CHANCE IT out of TIZ ALTA by HIGH COTTON)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.