Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Arapahoe Park
Friday - November 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-6   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(6/2/4)-(7/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-7   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-8   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(1/5/3)-(2/1/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-9   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(2/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-10   WIN (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ARP-6   11/14/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTUCKY Nov02 Oct17 Sep28 Sep20 Aug30 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 124 10.00    
COLONEL PUNCH Oct05 Aug30 Aug22 Aug09 Aug02 (lavanway dayson)ARANA MINOR 124 6.00 13% 6.40    
PALACE ATTAINED Oct05 May02 Apr04 Mar22 Mar08 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
JAKE ON DAKAN Jul26 Jul05 May17 Apr26 Nov01 (long vaughn)DELORME L 121 3.00    
GUTFIELD Nov07 Oct10 Sep07 Nov17 Oct18 (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 121 8.00    
AUX ARCS Nov02 Oct17 Sep26 Sep14 Aug24 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  JIMMY Oct10 Aug24 Aug01 Jul06 Jun20 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-7   11/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLEET OF HOOF Nov08 Oct25 Oct17 Oct03 Aug16 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 3.50    
CHUCK NAZTY Oct17 Sep14 Aug09 Jul13 Oct20 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 121 4.50 18% 4.50    
BRANNIGAN Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Sep06 Aug30 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00    
SHUT UP MAN Nov08 Oct25 Sep13 Aug09 Jul10 (arceo antoni)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHEELER DEALER Nov07 Oct18 Sep27 Aug25 Aug08 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00    
HOLDEN THE LUTE Oct18 Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 Aug02 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
ARP-8   11/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAYING LASSIE Oct19 Sep27 Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 (quezada z)IRONEYES R 124 10.00    
PALMILLA'S BET Nov07 Oct18 Oct04 Sep17 Sep03 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
SCR  KAUFYS REWARD Oct24 Oct10 Oct17     (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 12.00    
GOLDEN BEAUTY Oct25 Oct04 Sep20 Jul26 Jul13 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCREAMING VIRGINIA Nov02 Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 124 6.00 8% 12.00    
MARIELITA Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 Sep19 Jul26 (chavez veron)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 8.00    
GLITTERS ANDIE Oct24 Oct10 Sep28 Sep19 Sep02 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
ARP-9   11/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.72K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE CUP MARTINI Nov07 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Oct25 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
HOT AND NASTY Nov09 Nov01 Oct18 Sep08 Aug23 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50    
I'M A TRUMPER Oct25 Oct04 Sep27 Sep13 Nov02 (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FLY FREE Oct25 Oct04 Sep20 Nov15 Nov02 (vargas jose )CARILLO DANIEL 124 12.00    
STOLEN FUNDS Oct25 Oct18 Oct04 Sep13 Nov17 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
ARP-10   11/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.44K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAHARA SUE Nov02 Oct25 Oct11 Sep06 Jul27 (gray kirk)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
UNKNOWN CALLER Nov09 Nov02 Oct17 Oct04 Sep19 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
O'NEILL'S LEGACY Nov02 Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 Aug30 (quezada zacha)COUTON JULIEN 124 6.00    
COLLIER Nov02 Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 Aug16 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.00    
RANCH REBEL Nov02 Oct19 Sep15 Aug11 Aug03 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  LOTTA PRADA Oct17 Sep14 Nov17 Oct25 Oct04 (kemper kerry)DELORME L 121 2.50    
BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Nov07 Oct10 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 (lavanway dayson)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  PRINCESS VANELLOPE Nov02 Oct17 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
ANCHORS AND SPURS Nov09 Oct17 Oct05 Sep14 Sep01 (arceo lui)IRONEYES R 124 3.50    
SCR  DESTINED TO DANCE Oct24 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.