Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - October 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(7/4/6)-(7/3/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(7/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(7/3/1/2)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/2)-(4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/2)-(4/1/6)-(4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(4/6/3)-(2/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-5   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/4/1)-(6/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-6   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/2/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(6/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(8/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-8   WIN (6/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/1)-(8/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-9   WIN (8/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   10/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT QUEST Jul16 Jun18 Apr25 Aug28   (lynch cathal)CENTENO E 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
IRISH LOVE SONG Sep17 Aug21 Aug06     (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SADIE'S GRACE Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 Jul09 Jun18 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 119 4.00    
CAPRICE Sep18 Jun18 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
LADY AHAVA Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 Jul09 Jul10 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 12.00    
DOUBLE AIRO Sep19 Aug14 Jul08 May20 May07 (bailes)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 3.00    
 
PEN-2   10/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMUSING MISCHIEF Oct16 Sep28 Aug30 Oct24 Oct02 (wagner karin)CRUZ ANGEL 125 2.50    
GENGHIS Oct16 Sep25 Aug30 Aug14 Jul10 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 12.00    
SCR  NEON SIGN Sep18 Aug30 Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 (kreiser c)CORA D 121 3.00    
COMMINGLING Sep04 Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 May07 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50 9% 10.00    
SCR  STORMQUIST Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 Mar28 Mar20 (kreiser c)FLORES E 121 6.00    
SPOTTED BULL Sep20 Sep10 Aug30 Aug21 Jun27 (badillo jonat)TUNON JORDANO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Sep27 Aug14 Jul30 Jun27 May31 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 63% 0.60    
 
PEN-3   10/30/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MAN TO SEE Oct15 Oct04 Sep10 Aug21 Aug01 (dowling willi)ROJAS MARTINA 123 12.00 19% 4.40    
KUZ IT'S CHILLY Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Aug13 Jul09 (wagner karin)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET NIGHT Sep23 Aug26 Jul13 May15 Apr04 (padilla hugo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  BRADY Sep30 Sep01 Aug12 Jun25 Jun16 (antus lawrenc)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 30.00    
DONNELLY'S HOLLOW Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May03 Apr16 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00    
NAUGHTY SQUIDWARD Sep17 Sep03 Jul31 May15 Mar20 (montford leslie)FLORES E 123 20.00    
BIRRAVINO BLVD Oct18 Sep27 Jul24 May23 Apr26 (sanchez-salomon)CENTENO E 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
DANGEROUS DRIVER Oct10 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jun26 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 123 5.00    
SCR  PURE REALIZATION Oct18 Sep27 Sep14 Aug30 Aug23 (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 30.00    
10  ANNIHILATE 'EM Sep27 Sep11 Aug22 Aug06 Jul18 (fields kevin)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00    
 
PEN-4   10/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPRESSO BAY Oct13 Sep09 Aug13     (beattie tod)CORUJO LEONARDO 116 3.00 27% 2.70    
COLOMA Sep25 Aug30 Aug01 Jul21   (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50    
GUITAR MONEY Oct11 Sep18       (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 4.00    
RED ZONE RUNNER Sep19         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
FOLLOW THE FELLOW Sep28 Aug15 Aug08 Jul13   (spina charl)SALGADO ANTHONY 116 6.00    
RUDIOBUS Oct18 Sep14 Aug29     (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   10/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET LAURA Sep20 Aug19 Jul22 Jul09 May31 (aristone philip)RUIZ ELISEO 121 8.00    
TARA'S TALENT Sep03 Jul23 Apr16 Feb24 Feb04 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 6.00    
FIRSTLADY ROSALYNN Aug24 Jul17 May23 Apr12 Mar13 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
THREE POLKS Aug29 Jun26 May29 May02 Feb27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  LEFTOVER SUSHI Oct21 Sep29 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00    
BACK FORTY Aug29 Jul18 Jun26 May29 Mar14 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 31% 2.30    
 
PEN-6   10/30/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAT ALERT Oct20 Aug18 Aug02 Jul14 Jun17 (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
D'ORO LEMON Oct09 Sep17 Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 (cheeks katy)BEATO INOEL 123 3.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  MORTAL SIN Sep26 Aug20 Aug06 Jul04 Jun21 (hodsdon d)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
RUNNINGFORJOY Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 (cheeks katy)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
MAX'S GLORY Oct02 Aug24 Jul18 Jul06 Jun08 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50    
NOTTURNO Oct01 Sep11 Aug13 Jul19 Jun06 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00    
WHERE'S MY CHEW Oct09 Sep11 Aug15 Jul17 Jul02 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 119 4.00    
 
PEN-7   10/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASTCHANCE ROMANCE Oct18 Oct02 Sep04 Aug08 Jul03 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 125 6.00 9% 9.70    
NORMANDY LIFE Jun18 Jun05 May17 May02 Mar14 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00    
DAKOTA SPRINGS Sep22 Sep04 Jul25 Jul03 Jun06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50    
SCR  CARDINAL WAR CRY Sep04 Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 May21 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00    
TUDOX DAHLIA Aug29 Jul25 May21 Apr25 Dec30 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 119 3.50 17% 4.70    
MISSY SIXTYSIX Oct14 Sep20 Sep03 Aug10 Jul08 (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
PEN-8   10/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO Sep11 Aug22 Jul31 Jul16 Jul09 (beattie san)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
EMIRATES HONOR Aug01 Jul11 Jun21 Jun07 May25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
MANHATTAN CHARLIE Sep11 Jul16 Jun12 May29   (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 123 15.00    
SOO HANDSOME Oct16 Oct01 Sep10 Aug23 Aug06 (strauss bever)VARGAS E 116 6.00    
LEMON BREEZE Sep24 Aug22 Jul31 Jul12   (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 20.00    
MAGIC PATH Sep11 Jun12 May15 Apr18 Mar20 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.50 42% 1.40    
KAZ ICE CHANGER Oct17 Sep21       (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
ANALYST Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 Jul14 (fields kevin)CORA D 123 3.00 8% 10.80    
 
PEN-9   10/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. MOX Oct01 Sep04 Aug22 Jul25 Jul19 (maldona)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 12.00    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Sep17 Sep04 Aug14 Aug01 Jun27 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 123 4.50    
SPINNING MUSICIAN Sep18 Aug22 Jul10 Jun19 May15 (beattie cod)RAMOS O 123 3.00 12% 7.10    
BANDERO Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Aug21 Jul24 (agostini a)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 15.00    
SCR  DEBATE Sep17 Jul11 Jun26 Jun06 May16 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 123 15.00    
RAPPER ZAPPER Sep29 Sep13 Aug14 Jul09 Jun14 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD AMBITION Oct11 Sep20 Sep10 Aug20 Jul23 (kravets m)CORA D 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
TACTICAL HUMOR Sep01 Jul18 Jun20 Jun11 May23 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 28% 2.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.