Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - October 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/5)-(5/4/2)-(1/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/3/4)-(7/5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(7/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(7/5/4/6)-(6/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/6)-(6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/6)-(6/4/2)-(5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(5/1/2)-(1/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/2/7)-(3/1/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO LONG Sep01 Jun29 Aug31     (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 120 6.00    
CHAPIN ELEVEN Sep20 Aug16 Jul23 Jul11 Jun07 (deiter kell)VILLASMIL EDGAR 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
CAJUNCHITO         (sandoval mic)BELISARIO JUAN 117 10.00 30% 2.40    
THE COMMISH Oct05 Jul23 Jun28 Jul31   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 0.60 32% 2.10    
CEDAR'S ESTATE Sep27 Sep04 Jul24 Jun26 Jun13 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
GALLANT CREEK Sep20 Sep04 Aug06 Jul17 Jul04 (deiter kelly)LEWIS M 124 4.00    
JANES JENSEN Sep27 Apr19 Jan24 Jan04 Nov29 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 20.00    
 
CT-2   10/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S ALOHA Sep26 Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 Jul10 (knoblauch-)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 4.50    
FUNKLE Sep20 Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Aug01 (robbins w)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
ROARK Sep20 Aug22 Aug01 Jul17 Feb22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00    
DENIZETTI Sep26 Dec12 Nov21 Nov09 Oct24 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 28% 2.60    
CANDY MAN CAN Oct01 Sep20 Aug22 Jul25 Apr05 (jackson an)BATISTA X 122 0.80 30% 2.40    
TAP THE ARCHES Oct01 Sep13 May10 Apr19 Oct26 (gur battulga)BELISARIO JUAN 115 5.00    
 
CT-3   10/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHION VICTIM Sep20 Aug07 Oct31 Sep27   (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 0.80 49% 1.00    
  (by TAPIT out of LASKARINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CAJUN PRIME Oct09 Sep26 Sep18 Sep05 Feb05 (pyke joseph)LARA VICTOR 108 20.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of MISS PRIMETIME by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
DOUBLE SPIRIT Sep26 Sep05 Jul18 Jun27 May01 (spangl)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 4.50 19% 4.40    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DOUBLE THAT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SUZIES PRIDE Oct04 Sep13 Sep04 Aug01 Jul19 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of CAPULETTA by MUNNINGS)
INNOCENT NYGHT Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun15 May30 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 124 2.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
FIFTH OF JUNE Oct01 Aug06 Jul23 Jul04   (deiter kell)VILLASMIL EDGAR 118 15.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of AFLEET FAIRY by AFLEET EXPRESS)
 
CT-4   10/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORGOTTEN GIFT Sep20 Aug30 Aug23 May04 Apr18 (frock a)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Oct09 May22 May02 Apr05 Mar21 (smith osborne)LARA VICTOR 112 30.00    
CHEROKEE CASTLE Oct09 Sep27 Jul30 Jul18 Jun21 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50    
PEGGY'S WAY Sep27 Aug02 Jul11 Jun21 Mar29 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 4.00 11% 8.00    
LEMORIAN Oct09 Sep01 Jul11 Apr18 Mar11 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
RAINBOWSNSUNSHINE Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May09 Apr19 (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LADY SERENITY Oct01 Aug17 Jul12 Jun27 Jun07 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 115 1.80 42% 1.40    
 
CT-5   10/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN PLUNGE Sep25 Sep06 Mar06 Jan17 Dec12 (atkins mic)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
VERDI'S SURPRISE Sep27         (barahona isa)BATISTA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of MIDWAY MAGIC by CORMORANT)
EYESONTHECANDY Sep25 Sep12 Aug23 Jul25 Jun27 (jackson an)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 3.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of EAGLET by GHOSTZAPPER)
FANCY CONCHITA Sep27 Sep06       (cromer leslie)LARROSA G 124 2.50 6% 15.90    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of SHES PRETTY FANCY by MY BOY ADAM)
RUNAWAY GOLD Sep06 Aug09 Jul25 Jul10 Jun07 (stehr p)CHILO MAXIMO 118 4.50    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of LIL CHAMP by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
STOLEN SECRETS Sep27         (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 111 2.00 63% 0.60    
  (by BULLSBAY out of RESISTANCE by EVEN THE SCORE)
KAYLEE'S FIREBALL Sep27 Sep13 Aug09 Mar14 Feb27 (clatterbuck fre)LARA VICTOR 108 15.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
 
CT-6   10/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONDE TAILS Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of CAT O' NINE TAILS by PRIZED)
BREADMAN'SHONEYBUN         (jackson an)BATISTA X 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAPTAIN MOLLY by LOST SOLDIER)
SCR  KEEP ON PRAYING Oct03 Sep13       (boykins kevin)MAWING A 118 20.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
I'D RATHER NOT Oct03         (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
  (by PARTNER'S HERO out of CLASS SHADOW by ROCK POINT)
CUDDLER Sep27 Aug30 Aug01     (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 0.60 59% 0.70    
  (by ALDRIN out of PARHAM ROAD by STREET BOSS)
HEY NIGH TEEN Jun20         (bourne j)CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of WITH CLASS by WITH DISTINCTION)
PEPPA'S PRIDE Sep13         (collins tim)HO WESLEY 118 20.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of FUNNY PEPPER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CT-7   10/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMY SONDE Aug22 Aug02 May31 May17 Feb19 (runco c)CULLUM W 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  MISS MENETES Oct09 Sep25 Feb26 Feb01 Jan10 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY Oct01 Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 (atkins mic)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Sep26 Aug15 Jul24 Jun13 May01 (gillespie ry)BELISARIO JUAN 113 5.00    
RAN THE RED Oct01 Sep13 Aug01 Jun21 Apr30 (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 118 6.00    
CARIBBEAN COMEDY Sep25 Aug15 Jul03 Apr03 Feb26 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.40    
AMALFI SUNSET Oct01 Aug22 May20 May01 Apr05 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 10.00 10% 8.80    
 
CT-8   10/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN I GET AWITNESS Sep27 Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 Jun27 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 113 4.00 26% 2.80    
TESORO ROSSA Oct09 Sep12 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50    
MELANCIA Oct05 Aug30 Aug15 Jul26 Jun28 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
TINA TINA TINA Sep27 Aug09 Jun28 Jun06 Oct25 (collyer jami)LEWIS M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
FROSTY MAYA Sep14 Aug23 Jul17 May15 Apr10 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 122 10.00    
CENTIMORGAN Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 May10 Apr19 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
SCR  QUEEN JELLY BEAN Sep27 Sep06 Jul31 Jul11 Oct31 (reynolds j)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00    
CHASE BY THE MOON Sep26 Aug22 Jul23 Jun08 Apr26 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 6% 14.60    
LET'S GO MO Sep11 Aug29 Aug15 Jul24 Jul03 (carpio erin)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.