Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(3/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(3/1/4)-(4/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/2/5)-(3/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/6/4)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(4/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(4/5/1)-(6/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(6/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/5/3)-(2/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(2/4/1)-(6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/8/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   10/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICOLE'S WILL Oct01 Aug11 Jul04 Jun07 Apr11 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
CHANNEL KING Oct01 Aug11 Jul23 Jun18 Nov01 (fennessy joh)AYALA J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
BUSTIN' BOULDERS         (gilmartin bre)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
BOSLEY Sep16 Aug26 Aug13 Jul27 Jul07 (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 4.50    
MR. IMPATIENT Oct08 Aug18 Aug06 Jul08 Jun25 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 125 3.50    
DUAL CITIZEN Oct06 Sep12 Aug25 Jul24 Jun11 (johnston rebecca)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50    
 
PID-2   10/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE SECRET Oct01 Sep16 Sep01 Aug15 Jul30 (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
MARKET ORDER Oct01 Sep22 Aug29 Aug15 Feb01 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
ON RESERVE Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 (cobb marga)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
COUNTRY MANOR Sep24 Sep09 Aug25 Aug12 Jul15 (lecesse micha)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AUNT JO Sep04 Sep01 Aug23 Aug04 Jul25 (smith lawrenc)DELGADO DAVID 123 12.00    
TOVIA Oct01 Sep16 Aug15 Jul30 Jul20 (herrington )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00    
SCR  AURORA'S MUSIC Sep30 Aug04 Jun29 May20 May04 (zook jef)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.50    
 
PID-3   10/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 Aug19 Jul28 (carr-rozantz cat)MARTINEZ W 123 3.50    
WILD DELIGHT Oct02 Sep10 Aug12 Jul22 Jun03 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 2.00 33% 2.10    
SARATOGA GAZE Sep22 Sep02 Aug13 Jul15 Jun02 (barron rory)AYALA J 123 6.00    
STARSHIP BELMONT Oct06 Sep09 Aug15 Aug04 Jul09 (davis sc)RODRIGUEZ O 123 1.60 35% 1.90    
TRES FRANCAIS Sep17 Sep05 Jul06 Mar15 Feb27 (herrington call)BAYS BROOKE 116 5.00 11% 8.00    
 
PID-4   10/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURAGEOUS ARI Sep30 Sep08 Aug25 Aug06 Jul23 (skawinski car)DELGADO DAVID 122 5.00    
HAZARD PAY Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 Jul03 Jun04 (hamm timothy)STOKES J 120 4.00    
VALIANT ENYA Oct08 Sep22 Sep01 Jul22 Jun25 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
JASMINES WORLD Sep01 Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 Jun24 (kleine l)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHOCK Sep16 Aug06 Jul15 Jun19 May24 (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
ANHINGA Sep22 Sep02 Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 (connelly)GALLARDO A 120 1.80 22% 3.50    
 
PID-5   10/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATHLYNS PHALANX Oct01 Sep01 Aug06 Jul21 Jun15 (carr-rozantz )MORALES PABLO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
LENA KAHLENA Sep16 Sep01 Jul02 Jun23 Jun02 (russell randall)ALLEN M 123 4.50    
SCR  CAYUGA Oct01 Sep24 Aug24 Jul31 Feb27 (smith lawrenc)DELGADO DAVID 120 15.00    
DOWN IN THE BAYOU Oct01 Aug15 Jul30 Jul08 Jun23 (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 123 1.60 45% 1.20    
SAWEETIE GIRL Sep16 Sep09 Sep01 Aug17 Apr27 (gotera j)RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
STRAWBERRY SKY Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul28 (antus lawre)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00    
DIPTIQUE Sep24 Sep10 Aug26     (khan s)ROJAS MARTINA 120 10.00    
 
PID-6   10/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE Jul04 Dec09 Oct27 Sep24 Mar04 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50    
GOTTS GOT IT Sep29 Jun16 Apr04 Mar21 Feb23 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 116 8.00    
FLUID SITUATION Sep29 Aug01 Jul03 Jun12 Mar15 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
TODDCHERO Sep19 Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 Jun04 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 3.50    
BUCARO Sep19 Jul30 Jan01 Nov29 Oct13 (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
DIAMOND DUST Sep11 Aug14 Jul28 Jul07 Jun11 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
PID-7   10/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THORN OF HEARTS Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 Jul22 (miller h)RODRIGUEZ O 123 6.00 7% 12.80    
TARSUS WARRIOR Sep29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul22 Jun25 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Sep29 Sep15 Aug11 Jul28 Jul02 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 4.50    
LITTLE LAMB CHOP Sep23 Sep01 Aug13 Jul21 Jul02 (rice adam)AYALA J 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
WOW WHATA PARTY Sep30 Sep08 Aug13 Jul18 Jul10 (lawrence l)MARTINEZ W 123 12.00    
INSURMOUNTABLE Sep19 Aug31 Jul04 Jun19 Jun08 (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00    
SCR  GOOSE HUNTER Oct08 Sep19 Sep01 Aug06 Jul23 (vargas a)MORALES PABLO 123 12.00    
 
PID-8   10/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MAN TO SEE Oct04 Sep10 Aug21 Aug01 Jul11 (dowling willi)ROJAS MARTINA 123 15.00    
SNOVEMBER Sep30 Sep10 Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 (schaber debb)AYALA J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Sep10 Jul11 Jun19 Aug21 Jul19 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 123 20.00    
GRAND MORNING (IRE) Sep24 Sep10 Jul29 Jul15 Jan25 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
FROZEN FOUR Sep30 Sep15 Sep03 Aug12 Jul29 (barron rory)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 6.00    
BREATH DEEPLY Sep30 Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 Jun24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 3.00 68% 0.50    
SCR  STRATEGYFORYOU Oct07 Sep15 Sep01 Aug20 Aug12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 4.00    
STEAL THE RHODE Oct02 Sep17 Sep01 Aug12 Jul08 (radosevich )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00    
NOBLE STAR Sep30 Sep02 Aug16 Aug02 Jun21 (reust megan)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.