Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fairmount Park
Tuesday - October 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FP-1   WIN (8/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/5)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(4/3/6)-(4/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/1/2)-(4/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(4/6/5)-(3/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-5   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3/7/1)-(7/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-6   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(7/6/4)-(4/9/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-7   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(4/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FP-8   WIN (4/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/3)-(4/9/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/3)-(4/9/1/6/3)-(4/9/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FP-1   10/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF GROSS Sep09         (childers s)SIMPSON M 120 15.00    
  (by SHOGOOD out of LAURAS FLYER by MARTE)
SCR  LIES N DECEPTION         (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 120 12.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of HOLY WOW by PUT IT BACK)
3  BIG SKOOKUM         (laux clay)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00 17% 4.80    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of BOODA LOU by COUNTRY BE GOLD)
4  BABY I'M HAMMERED Sep30         (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of HAMMERED by ROAD RULER)
5  HURRICANE LILY         (essenpreis ed)GONZALEZ ALEX 117 10.00 17% 4.80    
  (by FLAT OUT out of HURRICANE BERNIE by SEA OF SECRETS)
6  PREMOR Sep30 Sep09       (wainwright jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRIME by BADGE OF SILVER)
7  COASTAL APPEAL Sep09 Jul15       (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of TRY TO APPEAL by SKIP TRIAL)
8  GOOD AND NAUGHTY Sep27 Sep07 Aug12     (becker scott)FELIX E 117 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of OURNAUGHTYESCAPADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  GOOD NELLIE Sep09         (childers shane)ORTIZ ALVIN 117 4.50    
  (by SHOGOOD out of NOLA STAR by THREE WONDERS)
 
FP-2   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S BOY BLUE Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 May25 Oct26 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.00 11% 8.50    
2  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Oct04 Sep18 Aug30 Jul01 Jun12 (alonso fernan)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00    
3  SMILE LIKE KYLE Sep27 Sep13 Aug26 Jul22 Sep19 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 5.00    
4  STINGY Sep16 Aug30 Jul10 Jun08 May29 (schlenk jada)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
5  SOMNUS (GB) Sep25 Sep16 Aug21 Aug10 Jul06 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  FIVE STAR RUN Sep30 Sep16 Aug23 Jul22 Jun09 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 4.00    
 
FP-3   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW' EM NOLA Sep27 Aug28 Aug13 Jul03 May31 (cook wesle)SIMPSON M 120 6.00    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of SHOW'EM THE HEAT by HEATSEEKER)
2  RAZ ON FIRE Sep09 Aug10 Jul08 Jun21   (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 5.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of RAZAMAJAZIL by JAZIL)
3  LADY ELISE Oct29 Oct03       (cristel j)FELIX E 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by LORD NELSON out of EXQUISITE LADY by POSSE)
4  AERONYX Sep27 Jul22 Jun29 Jun05   (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by FIRST MONDAYS out of FLY GIRL by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
5  EPIC MOMENT Jul15 Jun28 Jun07 Mar29 Mar14 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 4.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FLASHY GAL by BOLD N' FLASHY)
6  ALTERNATIVE GRACE Sep17 Aug30 Jul05 Jun07 Nov02 (wells duane)WALES T 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INDY ANNA ANNA by JUMP START)
 
FP-4   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAYTON THE DAY Oct04 Aug19 Jul19 Jul01 May20 (plasters lori)FELIX E 124 2.00 16% 5.20    
2  MINNESOTA MOON Sep14 Sep02 Jul12 Jun17 Jun03 (quinonez m)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  PEPPERONIKID Aug20 Jul30 Jul13 Jul16 Apr26 (cook wesle)SIMPSON M 124 10.00    
4  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Sep30 Aug28 Jul19 Jun10 May24 (appleton josh)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  SANTINO'S FANTASY Sep09 Aug23 Aug01 Jun07 May24 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
6  BLURT Oct02 Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Jul10 (dizeo dino)TAVARES JAVIER 126 4.00    
 
FP-5   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRYSO ALOGO Sep13 Sep02 Aug17 Jul13 Jul05 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 126 2.00    
2  AMERICAN WARRIOR Sep30 Aug05 Jul19 Jul03 May31 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00    
3  BUREAU Sep30 Jun14 May17 Oct29 Oct01 (wilborn kevin)FELIX E 124 10.00    
4  MEGAN'S HONOR Sep30 Aug05 Jul19 Jun05 May17 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
5  LOOKIN FOR BALA Sep18 Jul01 Jun10 Apr26 Oct17 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  DANZA TAXI May04 Oct06 Aug27 Jul09 Jun08 (becker scott)WALES T 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
FP-6   10/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOME OF IT Sep23 Sep06 Aug23 Jul15 Jul05 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  WICKED SKY Sep16 Aug05 Jun14 May13 Apr29 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00 ★    
3  COCKTAIL CUTIE Sep13 Aug23 Jul22 May06 Apr22 (manley steve)WALES T 124 2.00 64% 0.60    
4  JERSEY GOLD Sep30 Sep02 Aug14 Jul27 Jul08 (nesbitt amy)TAVARES JAVIER 124 12.00    
5  LAST GASP (SAF) Sep06 Aug19 Jul26 Apr22 Mar30 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
6  CAT TALE BREEZE Sep30 Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 Jul12 (lear heidi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00    
7  AINAD TEMPLE Sep02 Jul12 Jun07 May10   (becker scott)FELIX E 118 4.00 13% 7.00    
 
FP-7   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. CHIVAS Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul01 May27 (manley steve)WALES T 126 5.00    
2  PONTUS Oct04 Sep16 Aug19 Aug09 Jul19 (plasters lori)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00    
3  CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Sep13 Jul12 Jun24 May20 Apr26 (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00 ★    
4  GOOD SCOUT Oct02 Sep13 Aug12 Jul31 Jun14 (bahena fernan)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  IDEA MAN Sep25 Sep13 Aug12 Jul12 Jun24 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00    
6  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE Sep27 Sep02 Aug23 Jul22 Jul05 (laux clay)TAVARES JAVIER 126 4.00 31% 2.20    
7  SMART JOKER Sep16 Aug23 Jul22 Jun28 Jun07 (watkins m)FELIX E 126 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
FP-8   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE LIGHTNING Sep30 Sep11 Jul19 Jun07 May17 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 126 8.00 15% 5.60    
2  JOYFUL GHOST Sep30 Sep16 Aug23 Jul05 Oct24 (wiese john)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 15.00    
3  SPIN THE BOULEVARD Sep30 Nov02 Oct17 Sep21 Sep03 (plasters lori)FELIX E 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWAGGY GEORGE Sep30 Aug19 Jul15 Jul01 Jun07 (durham mike)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  KANITHAPPEN Aug30 Oct15 Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 (mcdonnell )SIMPSON M 126 20.00    
6  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Sep30 Aug19 Aug05 Jul05 Jun07 (delong be)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 6.00 ★    
7  CALL ME DROSSEL Nov02 Oct15 Jun08 May14 Aug05 (watkins james)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 10.00    
8  SPANISH DOUBLOON Sep30 Sep06 Aug09 Jun14 Oct17 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 4.50    
9  VALIANTLY DISCREET Aug26 Aug09 Jul19 Jun24 Jun10 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 126 3.50 22% 3.60    
10  GALLANT BUCK Sep30 Aug09 Sep14 Jul09 Jun15 (pompell robert)WALES T 126 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.