Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Friday - October 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(9/4/1)-(5/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-4   WIN (9/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/1)-(9/4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/1)-(9/4/6/1)-(9/4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/4/1)-(5/3/1)-(3/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(3/7/6)-(1/3/10/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-6   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(1/3/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-7   WIN (1/3/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/10/8)-(1/3/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/10/8)-(1/3/10/8)-(1/3/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   10/03/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPREAD THE RISK Sep12 Aug22 Jun28 May30 Apr29 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEEKING QUALITY Sep21 Sep05 Aug16 Jul19 Dec03 (mitchell r)RAMOS B 124 6.00 58% 0.70    
3  SOLID TUNE Sep21 Sep06 Jun08 May24 Apr22 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 2.50    
4  SOUTHERN SPEIGHT Sep12 Aug24 Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 4.50 11% 7.90    
5  CANDIED JOULE Sep21 Sep07 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
SCR  WEATHER MAP Aug25 Jul09 Apr12 Feb27 Feb14 (kemper kerry)CARRENO J 124 8.00    
 
ARP-4   10/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS MUCHACHAS Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Aug09 Jul19 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Sep13 Aug24 Aug04 Jul17 Jun04 (vargas co)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50    
3  OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Jun29 May31 (villamar)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 2.50    
4  MISTY MOOD Aug20 Apr17 Mar28 Feb14 Feb02 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
5  POP CHART Sep07 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 Jul13 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 2.50    
6  LADY OF DEVON Sep07 Aug29 Jul26 Jun06 May30 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 ★    
7  LA. GRAND SLAM Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 Jun08 May02 (hibdon n)CARRENO J 120 5.00    
SCR  STEVIE WONDER GIRL Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Jul09 (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 124 6.00    
9  SARAH'S COURT Sep12 Jul12 Jul06 Jun06 May30 (rushton temple)DELORME L 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
ARP-5   10/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG JIMMY Aug03 Jul19       (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 8.00 7% 12.50    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of BROOKTON by TRUST N LUCK)
2  MR. BIZ Dec12         (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of BROWN EYES BLUE by BIG BROWN)
3  SWAMP POP Jun28 Jun13 May24 May08 Aug15 (hibdon n)CARRENO J 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WAMPUM GIRL by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  REAL SILK Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 117 3.50    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of UNION SILK by UNION RAGS)
5  ROBERTS REVENGE Sep16 Aug04 Jun23 Sep26 Sep16 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of CASTLE ZIP by CASTLE BERRY ROAD)
6  QUEEN COIN Oct18         (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.50    
  (by CO FERMENT out of QUEEN LILLY KAY by INDY KING)
 
ARP-6   10/03/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIANNO Sep10 Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 Jul02 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00    
3  MIDEVIL MAYHEM Sep21 Sep05 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 (tsosie terrill)CARRENO J 124 6.00 36% 1.80    
4  DRIVE TRAIN Aug23 Aug08 Jul12 Apr15 Apr01 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 2.00    
5  WEDDING GIFT Sep19 Sep02 Jul23 Jun29 Jun14 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00    
SCR  R BARRACUDA Sep05 Aug23 Jul18 Jun14 May18 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 10.00 15% 5.70    
7  EL SIETE LEGUAS Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 Jun08 May17 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 12.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  PRINCE OTTO Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-7   10/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON SHINE TIME Sep14 Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 May18 (long vaughn)CARRENO J 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
3  GRAN CHICO Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug17 Jul25 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  TRACK BOUND Sep06 May18 Apr11 Mar18 Feb29 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 6.00    
SCR  RIVERSPORT Sep12 Aug31 Aug22 Aug02 Jul26 (ibanez al)IRONEYES R 124 8.00    
6  FLEET OF HOOF Aug16 Jul31 Jul03 Jun02 May03 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 3.50    
7  AWESOME FAMILY Sep20 Aug15 Jul31 Jul13 Jun21 (stortzum cady)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
8  BRANNIGAN Sep06 Aug30 Aug09 Aug02 Jul20 (lavanway )MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  RIGHT TO SUE Sep07 Aug30 Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 (villamar)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 15.00    
10  EURO TRACKING Sep14 Sep06 Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 (scudder jr)RAMOS B 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  CHUCK NAZTY Sep14 Aug09 Jul13 Oct20 Sep14 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.