Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - October 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/4/1)-(7/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(4/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(4/1/2)-(2/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(2/4/1)-(3/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(3/5/2)-(2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/5)-(5/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5/7/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/02/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLYMPIC WINGS Jun23 Apr28 Mar20 Mar03 Feb06 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  COMPUTE THIS Dec23 Dec04 Nov04 Sep03 Aug12 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 58% 0.70    
3  COMPLEXITY GIRL Sep01 Aug21 Jul02 Jun23 Jun07 (rivera r)RIVERA R 115 1.80    
4  PENNY'S TREASURE Sep08 Aug18 Jul08 Jun18 May28 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
5  COUNT ON ME Sep16 Jun27 Jun07 May14 Apr24 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROLLIN FREEDOM Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun07 Oct08 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00    
 
TDN-2   10/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANDALAY SKY         (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00 13% 6.40    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MANDALAY BEACH by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  STRIKING LADY Sep22 Aug25 Aug14 Aug06 Jul17 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 1.40    
  (by LORD CARLOS out of MUTTAK BAY by MUTAKDDIM)
3  SWEET KYLIE Sep22 Sep04       (orantes y)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 10.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of KYLES MARIGOLD by PURE PRIZE)
4  BOURBON N BLUSH Sep19         (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by BASIN out of POWDER N BLUSH by WAR CHANT)
5  KIDDIE COCKTAIL Aug06         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)
6  RYKA Aug25 Aug06       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 5.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
 
TDN-3   10/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Greg Veit Scarlet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET UNIQUE Sep04 Aug04 Jun09 May22 Oct26 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
2  LIONISTIC Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Jun09 May20 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 10.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of RACE LADY by BERNARDINI)
3  GENEROUS LOVER Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Jun29 Jun06 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 123 1.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
4  MY GIRL KEW Aug29 Aug14 Jul18 Jun21 May23 (maker j)MCKEE J 121 2.00 12% 7.20    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS KEW by CATIENUS)
5  LADY JASPER Jun26 Apr05 Mar10 Jan23 Jan07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 117 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
SCR  OFFICIALLY YOURS Sep04 Aug04 May12 Apr24 Mar18 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of OFFICIALLY by OFFICER)
7  CITY SCENE Sep04 Jul08 Jun09 May22 Apr30 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 121 3.50 53% 0.90    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
TDN-4   10/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSE OF LOVE Sep23 Aug27 Aug18 Jun11 May21 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAGIC PALACE Sep23 Aug20 Jul17 Jul02 Jun16 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIBERTY BELLE May20 Apr18 Mar27 Feb26 Feb04 (winters michelle)PARKER L 119 3.50    
4  SADIE THE GOAT Sep02 Aug20 Jul17 Jun24 May22 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 1.00 67% 0.50    
5  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Jul17 Jun24 May22 May03 Apr05 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00    
 
TDN-5   10/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINESTRESS Aug29 Jun26 Jun04 May12 Apr24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  KICHI KITSU Sep12 Aug07 Jun21 May07 Apr23 (skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  PRAISE N GLORY Sep19 Aug27 Aug07 Jul15 Jun27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 8.00    
4  SHE'S CRAFTY Sep12 Jun09 May23 May08 Apr07 (guciardo rober)DIAZ I 119 4.00 30% 2.30    
5  MIDNIGHT WONDER Sep12 Aug25 Jul14 Jun26 Jun06 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00    
6  BELLE BOTTOMS Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Apr28 Mar20 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 4.50    
 
TDN-6   10/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY ANDY Aug20 Jul09 Jun18 May29 May05 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
2  BROADWAY JONES Sep11 May26 Jan28 Nov19 Oct22 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Sep23 Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jun30 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 47% 1.10    
4  BAD LITTLE BEAST Aug18 Aug10 Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
5  MONTEREY PENINSULA Sep11 Aug13 Jul17 Jun12 May13 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
TDN-7   10/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WATERWORKS Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 Jul16 Jun18 (clouston edward)PARKER L 123 4.50    
2  ONE SMOKIN' RITA Sep10 Aug20 Aug04 Jun26 Jun11 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.60 43% 1.40    
3  AUSTRIAN NAVY Sep10 Aug20 Jul15 Jul01 Jun09 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
4  CLOUD STORAGE Sep15 Aug20 Jul15 Jun24 May22 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
5  TWILIGHT VISION Sep15 Aug20 Jul28 Jul01 Jun11 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   10/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHLOES ANGEL Sep16 Aug07 Jul01 Jun16 Mar10 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TWERK Sep18 Aug12 Jul09 Jun18 Jun02 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
3  ANGEL'S DESTINY Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (morales m)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
4  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Sep22 Aug29 Aug07 Jul01 Jun11 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
5  TWISTED JUSTICE Aug28 Jul16 Jun26 May19 May07 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
6  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Sep22 Aug20 Aug07 Jun07 May21 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00    
7  GOODNESS SAKES Sep08 Aug20 Aug12 Jul09 Jun23 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.