Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - September 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(4/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(6/2)-(3/6/5) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(3/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/5)-(1/7/3/6)-(7/1/5/8/4) 80 $2.00 $160 
MNR-7   WIN (1/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/3/6)-(7/1/5/8/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/1/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/8/4)-(7/1/5/8/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/8/4)-(7/1/5/8/4)-(7/1/5/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   09/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAPY LEGACY Aug20 Jul16       (johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SNAPY HALO out of STORMY MEMO by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CELESTIAL HARMONY Aug05 Apr11       (torres eric)PAGAN Y 112 8.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of HUMBLE STREET by STREET SENSE)
TIJUANA BUNNY Sep15 Aug17       (silva l)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by SMOKEM out of BUNNY YOGURT by SCAT DADDY)
ZENA CAT         (godsey m)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of TIZAVISION by TIZNOW)
LADY VIRAGO Sep06 Aug16 Jun07     (stephen anthony)PARKER L 119 1.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of KASBACH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ESTRELLA SILVER Aug17 Jul24 Jul04 Jun18 Apr25 (witherow willi)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SILVER LIGHT by MAXAMAX)
 
MNR-2   09/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY CHAMP Sep08 Aug18 Jul23 Jul14 Jul01 (scallan ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 3.50 12% 7.10    
DISTORTED LIMITS Sep08 Aug25 Jul30 Jun29 Jun10 (cox craig)WHITACRE B 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
JUST U AND ME KID Sep08 Aug19 Aug06 Jun23 Dec08 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00    
OBIWAN Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jun08 (clouston edward)PARKER L 126 2.00 60% 0.70    
CITY PLAN Sep08 Aug20 Aug06 Jul29 Jul21 (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 4.00    
RISK PROFILE Aug28 Jul28 Jul11 May24 Apr18 (skelton t)STOKES J 126 3.00    
 
MNR-3   09/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FONDRE Aug15 Jul30 Jul12 Jun10 May20 (jenkins wa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 8.00    
A KISS FOR KHOZAN Aug31 Dec28 Dec10 Nov19 Oct07 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  ROUBAIX Sep15 Aug31 Jul29 Jul05 Jun13 (silva jose )PAGAN Y 119 10.00    
BEAUTY N THE BOLT Sep14 Aug27 May26 Apr29 Feb19 (silva l)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.00    
SCR  PHOTO FINISH Sep23 Aug30 Aug18 Jul17 Jun22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
REDWHITEANDTACOS Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 Jun17 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
MNR-4   09/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FINE BY DESIGN Sep08 Aug06 Jul20 Jul07 Jun30 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.00    
THIRD TUESDAY Sep17 Sep03 Aug27 Aug04 Jul24 (silva l)NEGRON LUIS 126 2.50    
STRATOGALE Sep08 Aug17 Aug05 Jul20 May22 (silva jose )PAGAN Y 116 3.00 59% 0.70    
NEW WOMAN Sep08 Aug05 Jul28 Jun15 May01 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 5.00    
BITCOIN BABY Sep18 Sep04 Jul23 Jul12 Jun13 (reffner b)STOKES J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MYGIRLISABOMB Jul24 Jun20 Jun05 May22 Apr23 (clouston edward)PARKER L 123 8.00 5% 17.30    
MIDNIGHT PASS Sep04 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 (racanelli mark)GILBERT KYLE 123 8.00    
 
MNR-5   09/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE FORCE Sep08 May11 Mar19 Dec07 Aug24 (valdez moises)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.00 18% 4.70    
JUBA BOUND Sep13 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
S S TRACKSIDE FUN Jul23 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 Dec02 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
PAX A PUNCH Sep16 May23 May04 Mar15 Feb02 (silva jose )PAGAN Y 114 3.00 8% 12.10    
CITADINO Jul22 Nov17 Nov04 Oct01 Aug27 (clouston edward)PARKER L 123 2.50 55% 0.80    
TWINSPIREDJOEY Sep25 Sep04 Aug07 Jul12 Jun07 (welsh gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 20.00    
SCR  MARIACHI JUSTICE Sep10 Jun02 May18 Apr29 Mar25 (spiess m)WHITACRE B 123 15.00    
GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Sep10 Aug19 Jul29 Jul14 Jul01 (kocijan mar)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 4.50    
 
MNR-6   09/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR NOVEL Aug25 Aug12 Dec10 Nov18 Aug03 (clouston edward)STOKES J 126 8.00 19% 4.30    
SCAT SHACK Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul30 Jul09 (ramos francisco)TAPARA LUIS 126 4.00    
OPRY Sep15 Sep07 Aug19 Jul09 May26 (sipp burton)BARRIOS RICARDO 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
FOUNDER Aug20 Aug12 Jul14 Jun29 Jun04 (valdez mois)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 126 2.00 26% 2.80    
IT'S FATE Sep08 Aug25 Aug06 Jun29 Nov27 (sweazey scott)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOWN JAK Sep01 Aug12 Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 (cox craig)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 15.00    
ABSOLUTE COURAGE Aug20 Aug05 Jul20 May05 Apr20 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.50    
 
MNR-7   09/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDON'S SON Sep10 Aug19 Jul20 Jul13 Jul01 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 41% 1.50    
GOOD SUGAR Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 Jun18 Jun05 (spiess m)PARKER L 123 3.50    
MALIBU CLASSIC Aug20 Aug06 Jul28 Jul07 Apr30 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 12.00 12% 7.50    
TOMMY THE TORCH Sep08 Aug18 Jul30 Jun30 May26 (albright amy)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
LOCO Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul28 Jul07 (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00    
SNEADS Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 Jun10 (cox craig)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
BAZOO Sep16 Aug06 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
MNR-8   09/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Sep03 Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 Jun10 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 10% 8.80    
ACT OF VALOR Sep17 Sep02 Jul20 Jun30 Jun16 (murto)TABOADA LIMBER 123 12.00    
JOE PHILLIPS Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Aug06 Jul23 (silva l)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00    
SOUTHERN SENSE Sep09 Sep02 Aug10 Jul09 Jun29 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
BEYOND THE BEND Aug10 Jul09 Jul01 Jun09 May19 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 8% 11.90    
RAGING BEAR Aug15 Jul09 Jun13 May30 May16 (albright am)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00    
HIPPODROME Aug31 Aug17 Jul23 Jul14 Jul02 (cordero-lop)PAGAN Y 116 3.00 59% 0.70    
HOPPING HENRY Sep11 Aug16 Jul05 Jun21 May22 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CANAVALL Aug31 Aug13 Aug03 Jul13 Jun10 (clouston edward)PARKER L 123 4.50    
10  RED GUN Sep02 Aug06 Jun16 Jun01 May05 (bishop jos)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.