Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - September 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(4/3/5)-(1/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(1/5/4)-(4/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(4/5/6)-(2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/6/4)-(5/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(5/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOHAKU Sep11 Aug28 Jul31 Jul12 Jun05 (alessi jam)HERNANDEZ N 123 3.00    
2  I JUST DON'T NO Sep11 Aug22 Jul31 Jul05 Jun26 (hall j)PAULY SUMMER 118 1.40 45% 1.20    
3  PRINSIPITO Sep08 Aug27 Aug13 Jul18 Jun01 (quinones )BERMUDEZ E 121 1.80 15% 5.80    
4  WEGOTJACKSBACK Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 (townley s)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 10.00    
5  VINDICATED TIGER Sep10 Aug21 Aug13 Jul25 Jun07 (nunez mauri)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
 
BTP-2   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF KENTUCKY Sep10 Aug28 Jul10 Jun04 May17 (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  RANSOMWARE Aug27 Aug09 Aug01 Jun19 Mar27 (salas marceli)SOSA LAUREANO 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
3  HUNTERTOWN Sep06 Aug14 Jul30 Jul17 Jun13 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 125 1.80 28% 2.50    
4  FOR MAMA Aug22 Jun19 May20 Apr30 Jul31 (fontenot dawn)PARKER L 123 2.00    
5  OUTKISSED Aug13 Jun16 Jun04 Mar01 Jan28 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 123 3.00    
 
BTP-3   09/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THISPOINTINTIME Sep11 Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 May23 (melancon pa)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 10.00    
SCR  MIDNITESTATEOFMIND Sep19 Jul17 Jun27 Apr29 Apr02 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 123 2.00    
3  ORBI ONE Sep11 Aug07 Jun26 Jun12 May27 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 125 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  COACH PETRO Sep06 Aug23 Aug13 Jul25 Jun28 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.50 48% 1.10    
5  DEVILS GOTTA GO Sep13 Aug28 Jul15 May20 May05 (nance jonathan)MCKEE J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SARGEANT BARGER Sep12 Aug29 Jul04 Jun13 May21 (alessi jam)HERNANDEZ N 123 4.50    
 
BTP-4   09/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY KISS Sep10 Oct04 Aug30 Aug14   (cline c)OUZTS W 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by KLIMT out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  CLINTSBUCKEYE Aug28 Jul26       (manning john )LEBRON VICTOR 125 6.00    
  (by ASTERN out of ZARINE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
3  SKIPTHEGUILTTRIP Aug28 Jul26 Jul16 Jun13 May31 (overholt p)HERNANDEZ N 125 4.00    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of MY HOPE AMERICA by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  DYNAMIC VICTORY Sep10 Aug22 Jul26 Jun20 May31 (gonzalez agusti)BOCACHICA O 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VICTORY GALLOP out of DYNACO by DYNAFORMER)
5  LORDBETWENTOTHORNS Sep10 Aug28 Jul16 Jul02   (conto kevin)MURGIA A 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by LORD NELSON out of FAMOUS ROSE by FOREST DANGER)
6  HE'S MY BOY Sep10 Aug28 Aug16 May17   (chain pearl)PAULY SUMMER 116 4.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SHES MY GIRL by KING OF THE ROXY)
 
BTP-5   09/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WORTHIER Aug15 Jul16 Feb01     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.00    
2  POINT OF REFUGE Sep06 Aug15 Jul17 Jun27 Jun05 (quinones raul)PAULY SUMMER 114 20.00    
3  STERLING CLASS Sep12 Jul30 Jul04 Jan23   (baker james)SHEEHY DANNY 119 4.00    
4  SERENE WATERS Sep02 Aug21 Jul17 Jun27 May22 (hester haley)BOCACHICA O 123 3.00 55% 0.80    
5  RYE SMILE Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul08 Jun12 (orantes jo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  STORMY CUT Sep06 Aug17 Aug07 Jul12 Jun12 (brown h)MEZA JJ 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  RABBLE Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 Jul17 May24 (caramori ca)FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 10.00    
SCR  GROSSE ILE Sep16 Aug24 Aug15 Jul23 Jun29 (brooks ger)HERNANDEZ N 123 5.00    
 
BTP-6   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 2 F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERS ANGEL Sep02 Aug16 Jul17     (corriveau john)PAULY SUMMER 117 3.00 ★    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANGELSMADISONGRACE by GRAEME HALL)
2  KERKYRA Sep19 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by CORFU out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
3  SILVER BROOK Sep12         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MONTBROOK out of LIPSTICK STAIN by ARROMANCHES)
SCR  HOLIDAY BETTY Aug16 Jul24       (anderson s)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 6.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  MISS LORA ANN Sep10 Aug16       (orantes yo)HERNANDEZ N 122 4.50    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
6  SWEET VIVIAN Aug16         (cline c)MCKEE J 122 3.50    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
 
BTP-7   09/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIDI N SEEK Sep17 Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 Jun04 (donjuan se)HERNANDEZ N 125 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
2  LUKEYKNOWSBEST Sep10 Aug22 Aug02     (johnston rebec)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00    
  (by FACTUM out of APHRODISIAC by ARCH)
3  PAULDING FLASH Sep10 Aug28 Aug11 Jul29 Jul09 (pease harry)PARKER L 125 2.00    
  (by MADDY BIRD out of HOW MUCH DOWN by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  TRANSCENDENCE Sep18 Aug29 Aug22 Jul01   (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARCANO (IRE) out of ONE LOVELY STORM by GET STORMY)
SCR  CORBEL Aug29         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 4.50    
  (by CAMBRE out of SPINNING TOP by DATA LINK)
6  DADDYS' SASY GIRLS         (nocero car)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 8.00 29% 2.40    
  (by INDY WIND out of HENNICHU by HENNY HUGHES)
7  CATCHING MY WIND Sep10 Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 Jul02 (adams l)SOSA LAUREANO 125 2.50    
  (by INDY WIND out of CHEERING FOR AL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
BTP-8   09/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN CECIL Sep05 Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 Jul22 (newton troy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.00    
2  BAMBY BOOM Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jun24 (cambray an)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAN MARCO CITY Aug23 Jul01 Jun20 Mar20 Mar08 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 12.00    
4  PERMIT TO CARRY Sep06 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jul01 (quinones raul)PAULY SUMMER 114 4.00    
5  RED SHAHEEN Sep06 Aug13 Jul11 Jun28 Apr21 (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
6  CHENTI Aug23 Aug13 Jun28 Jun05 Feb23 (nunez mauri)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 3.50    
7  LOBO SALVAJE Sep17 Feb12 Jan24 Dec14 Nov17 (salas marceli)SOSA LAUREANO 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  OVERHAUL Aug23 Jul10 Jun19 Apr09 Mar28 (alessi jam)HERNANDEZ N 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.