Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(8/7/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(8/7/5/1)-(3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (8/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/1)-(3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/1)-(3/4/5)-(5/3/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(5/3/1/7)-(4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/7)-(4/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/7)-(4/6)-(7/2/8/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(7/2/8/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(7/2/8/1)-(7/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/1)-(7/2/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/1)-(7/2/8/1)-(7/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/1)-(7/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/1)-(7/4/6)-(8/3/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(8/3/10) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/10)-(8/3/10) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/10)-(8/3/10)-(8/3/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   09/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDGIE         (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
BOKEH Aug25 Aug06       (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 120 4.50    
HONEST SPIN Aug25 Aug11       (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
GREAT OWL Jul27         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
WORSHIP MY NAME Jul26         (delgado jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 120 3.50    
GLANCING MY WAY Sep01 Jul18       (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 1.80    
 
PID-2   09/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH HOLIDAY Sep03 Aug18 Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 (kleine bernar)DELGADO DAVID 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAD LITTLE BEAST Aug18 Aug10 Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 (winters )MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
HE'S ON THE FLY Sep02 Aug15 Jun16 May28 Oct07 (kleine l)GARCIA F 123 10.00    
BRENNAN'S WAR Sep03 Aug18 Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 (barron rory)ALLEN M 123 12.00    
FLORIDA GATOR Sep03 Aug10 Jul20 Jul01 Jun23 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50 16% 5.40    
DUEL FUEL Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 Jul14 Jun30 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 20.00    
TURNSANDCONDITIONS Sep01 Aug29 Aug04 Jul27 Jul16 (pappada micha)ROJAS MARTINA 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
FADETHENOISE Sep03 Jul20 Jun27 May26 Apr25 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 1.60 35% 1.90    
 
PID-3   09/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP RECRUIT Aug25 Jul29 Jun18 May19 Apr11 (arriagada jua)MORALES PABLO 123 2.00    
SNOWNAME Aug18 Aug06 Jul23 Jul07 Jun16 (rice kevin)AYALA J 123 8.00    
CASHIER CHECK Aug25 Aug13 Jul14 Jun24 May21 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
ENJOY THE MUSIC Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 Jul09 Jun16 (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 29% 2.40    
VALENTINE BUG Sep03 Aug03 Jul09 Jun16 Jan04 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  THALBERG Sep03 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 Jun30 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 123 3.50    
 
PID-4   09/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP MACYS Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul21 Jun25 (pappada mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
HIGHLAND HOLIDAY Sep02 Aug18 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 6.00    
RED ELEANOR Sep09 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jun17 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 3.50 7% 13.40    
SARATOGA GAZE Sep02 Aug13 Jul15 Jun02 May19 (barron r)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00    
LA PANDA Sep02 Oct09 Oct01 Sep16 Sep04 (rice ada)RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.00 57% 0.80    
VANILLA BEAN Sep15 Aug18 Jul15 May27 Oct16 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 123 4.50    
TRAUMARAMA Aug18 Aug06 Jul22 Jul14 May27 (morrell ju)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-5   09/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME EMPRESS Aug15 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 May28 (guciardo john)BAYS BROOKE 116 10.00    
SCR  VICOUNTESS Sep10 Aug11 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.50    
SCR  U AIN'T THAT LUCKY Aug15 Jul15 Jun07 Dec21 Nov29 (danner k)GALLARDO A 123 4.00    
MAIDSTONE Sep04         (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
DAKOTA SPRINGS Sep04 Jul25 Jul03 Jun06 May01 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 1.80    
SMOKED Jul15 Jun26 May22 Apr29 Apr03 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
 
PID-6   09/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOKEN VOW Sep08 Aug20 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PRICING by AUSTRALIA (GB))
POR VOCE Aug03 May28 Apr25 Mar08 Oct26 (delgado )GALLARDO A 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GOIABA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  CLEARLY INISH Sep14         (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 121 3.50    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of ROAN INISH by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
GOT A COMPLEX Aug15 Jul09       (rice ada)RODRIGUEZ O 121 6.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MAGICIAN'S VANITY by STREET MAGICIAN)
TWORLY BLUEBELL         (russell )MARTINEZ A 121 10.00    
  (by OXBOW out of IN THE WAY BLUES by MACHO UNO)
DONA LUNA Jul23 Jun27 May23     (rivera justin)MARTINEZ W 121 8.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of YING YUE by JUMP START)
LADY FROST Apr06 Mar22 Nov05     (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 4.50 30% 2.40    
  (by FROSTED out of TIM'S GIRL by BROKEN VOW)
NACHTHEXEN Jun06         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 125 10.00 14% 6.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of WISE STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
ZETA JONES         (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of KILLAY by AQLAAM)
 
PID-7   09/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANHINGA Sep02 Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 Jun17 (connelly)GALLARDO A 119 3.00    
VALIANT ENYA Sep01 Jul22 Jun25 Jun10 May26 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 12.00    
BLOODY COLORS WAVE Aug05 Jul07 Jun03 May19 Sep11 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 3.50    
FLEUR DELACOUR Sep01 Aug15 Jul21 Jun25 Oct24 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 123 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  MOMENTOUS MISS Sep01 Aug11 Jul23 Jun23 Jun02 (cobb marga)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 6.00    
CHRIS'S KITTY Sep09 Aug15 Jul14 Apr12 Mar08 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHEZ UNTAPPABLE Aug18 Jul21 Jun24 May26 Oct10 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
PID-8   09/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIGHTY HEARTLESS         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 12.00    
SCR  KUKU Sep01 Aug12 Dec15 Nov29 Nov07 (morrell justi)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00    
GOLDEN DOGECOIN Sep08 Jun11 May26 Jun17   (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  NUN GIMEL HAY PO Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 (potts g)AYALA J 125 2.50    
SCR  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS Sep17 Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 (winters michelle)GARCIA F 121 8.00    
SCR  SWEET CAROL JAMES Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 Jul07 Jun26 (bond bre)RODRIGUEZ O 125 15.00    
RIVERS RUN RED Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 May29 (pappada micha)ROJAS MARTINA 125 20.00    
MARKET ORDER Aug29 Aug15 Feb01 Aug27 Aug07 (connelly)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
PROBLEM KID Aug25 Jul28 Jul14 May14 Apr08 (schaber )MARTINEZ A 121 10.00    
10  NONA'S GIRL Jul18 Jul05 Jun08 Jun01   (guciardo john)BAYS BROOKE 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.