Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - September 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-5   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SWF-7   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SWF-8   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/2/6/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7)-(8/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
SWF-9   WIN (8/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-5   09/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTED VESSEL Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 (van tassell )BETHKE A 126 3.50 19% 4.10    
J'S LITTLE MAN Sep07 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul25 (ibanez alberto)MARTINEZ R 126 6.00    
COLLINS AVE Sep06 Sep01 Aug15 Jul20 Jun29 (evans kash)WOOD DAKOTA 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
M K BIRTHDAY Aug22 Aug10 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 (simpson lynn)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.50    
SUNDAY FUNDAY Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 (gibbs tyler)CARILLO DANIEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
LEAP DAY Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 May25 (tsosie terrill)ARANA MINOR 126 3.00    
DOS VICIOS Apr28 Mar18 Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 (whitehouse wilto)COATES R 126 8.00 19% 4.20    
 
SWF-6   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PADDYS FOUR ROSES Sep12 Aug22 Jul27 Jul06 Sep28 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
I AM AMADEO Sep12 Aug29 Aug17 Jul26 Jul06 (eaton terri)BETHKE A 128 3.00    
PARADISE POKER Aug30 Jul26 Jul20 Jul13 Jun15 (gibbs tyler)WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SEEKING QUALITY Sep05 Aug16 Jul19 Dec03 Nov13 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00    
NON TOXIC Aug30 Aug15 Aug09 Jul26 Oct27 (mitchell r)COATES R 128 3.50    
VERN'S SHOWSTOPPER Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun29 May31 (hall dru)ARANA MINOR 126 2.50 51% 0.90    
MIDEVIL MAYHEM Sep05 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jun20 (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 12.00    
 
SWF-7   09/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH PRANCER Sep06 Aug30 Aug16 Aug09 Aug02 (dunford just)BETHKE A 128 4.00    
GETAWAY DAY Aug29 Jul06 May30 May18 Apr23 (buenrostro i)CARILLO DANIEL 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S SO FANCY Aug29 Jun22 May17 Apr11 Mar30 (ibanez alberto)COATES R 128 3.50    
YATAHEY Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Mar05 Nov03 (guadarrama omar)ARANA MINOR 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
GINGER IN CHARGE Sep01 Aug17 Jul19 Dec26 Nov17 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 126 5.00    
HEAR ME ROAR Aug30 Aug09 Jun29 May11 Mar20 (goo)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 5.00 27% 2.70    
PRINCESS AMANDA Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 Aug30 (tsosie te)RIVAS CARLOS 128 6.00    
SKY SAILING Sep05 Aug22 Jul27 Jun28 Jun08 (teeter clay)VIRGEN JESUS 128 6.00    
 
SWF-8   09/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWGIRL CAROL Sep05 Aug31 Jul06 Sep13 Aug03 (green d)VIRGEN JESUS 125 6.00    
SWEET JO Sep05 Aug22       (goo)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 123 6.00    
GOING WITH HER Sep05 Sep01 Jul26 Apr26 Mar14 (evans kash)WOOD DAKOTA 123 6.00    
AT THE CROSS Aug29 Jul27 Jul05 Sep22   (eaton terri)CARILLO DANIEL 126 4.50    
WARSHARK Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 Sep01 (scudder jr)COATES R 128 4.00    
SUN PHOENIX Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (gibbs tyler)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 5.00    
RANDYS RACER Aug17 Aug02 Jul19     (christoffersen )ARANA MINOR 126 3.50 62% 0.60    
TALLDARKNTHIRSTY Sep07 Aug10 Aug03 Sep15 Sep06 (bunn shaw)RIVAS CARLOS 128 8.00    
 
SWF-9   09/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 35 M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LULAS LUCKY CHIP Sep06 Aug29 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 (giles chad)ARANA MINOR 126 3.50 20% 4.10    
BANDERSNATCH Sep12 Apr05       (dillenbec)RIVAS CARLOS 124 10.00    
CUT N CURL Sep12 Aug30 Jul26 Jul05 Jun07 (eaton terri)CARILLO DANIEL 124 4.00    
RIVER AFFAIR Sep06 Aug29 Aug10 Jun29 Jun16 (buenrostro ignac)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
GO CAMI OH Sep05 Aug29 Aug16 Jul19 Jul13 (mitchell chr)BETHKE A 124 3.00    
LADY CYCLONE Sep06 Aug30 Aug10 Jul13 Jul05 (ortega joe)COATES R 124 6.00    
CANDY HAPPY Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 Sep21   (por)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 126 5.00 20% 4.00    
RAINBOWS ON ICE Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Oct12 (johnson bruce)VIRGEN JESUS 126 8.00 20% 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.