Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - September 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (5/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/1)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/1)-(2/3)-(3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/1/2)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(5/1/2/7)-(7/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/7)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/7)-(7/6/2)-(9/10/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/11/10/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/11/10/6/2)-(7/11/10/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(9/10/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(9/10/2/5)-(10/9/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-6   WIN (9/10/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/2/5)-(9/10/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/2/5)-(9/10/3/2/5)-(9/10/3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/2/5)-(10/9/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/10/2/5)-(10/9/3/7)-(8/6/1/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-7   WIN (10/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/3/7)-(10/9/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/3/7)-(10/9/6/3/7)-(10/9/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/9/3/7)-(8/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/9/3/7)-(8/6/1/7)-(1/4/5/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-8   WIN (8/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/7)-(1/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   09/21/2025 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGENT KELLY Sep14 Aug14 Aug01 Jul10 Jun08 (shankle joanne)TORREALBA JG 122 20.00 5% 17.70    
2  JUS TOO FLY Sep01 Aug09 Jul06 Jun14 May25 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 2.00    
3  SHEAR MAGIC Aug22 Jul18 Dec11 Nov24 Nov01 (kelly blake)KARAMANOS A 126 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  BLO BY'EM Jul10 Jun27 Jun08 May16 Apr25 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
5  ELON Sep01 Jun28 May24 Apr26 Dec08 (bentley f)BETANCOURT R 126 5.00 26% 2.90    
6  WAR HUMOR Sep01 Jul18 Jun14 May16 Apr25 (bailes robert)CENTENO E 122 4.50    
SCR  BUILT BY KHOZAN Aug30 Jul11 Jun08 May01 Apr19 (mcmaho)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
8  STRAIGHT TO WATER Jul26 Jun27 Jun07 May16 Apr12 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
9  TAKETHEFIFTH Aug08 Jul11 Jun08 May24 Mar01 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 126 8.00    
 
LRL-2   09/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUDGE BOY PALACE Sep07 Aug31 Aug22 May24 May04 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ A 123 4.00    
2  MORNING THOUGHTS Sep07 Aug31 Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Jul04 Jun06 Apr19 Mar30 Feb22 (barr donald)HAMILTON WESTON 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  LONELY RIDE Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 Jul12 Jun28 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 126 5.00    
5  STATES UNITED Aug29 Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 May22 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.00 ★    
6  ADMIT NOTHING Sep07 Aug21 Jul05 Jun25 Jun01 (mancilla carlo)TORREALBA JG 126 4.50    
 
LRL-3   09/21/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINALIA (GB) Aug08 Jun08 May18 Apr19 Mar15 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
  (by HAVANA GREY out of MESSALINA by IFFRAAJ)
2  AWESOME MCKINZIE Aug14 Jul17 Jun22 May10 Mar23 (keefe timo)SANCHEZ J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of AWESOME MARCHESA by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  PROTECTIVE CUSTODY Aug14 Jul09 May16 Apr06 Mar02 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
4  TELLUS MATER Jan05         (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TIERRA by DUBAWI)
5  DETERMINED ACHOTI Aug27 Jul11       (trombetta mich)TORREALBA JG 122 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of STYLE AND GRACE by CURLIN)
6  LANGLEYSWATERFALL Aug29 Aug06 Jul12 Jun01 Mar14 (cooney s)CENTENO E 122 30.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LIGHTSCAMERAACTION by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
7  TAP THE CHAMPAGNE Jun18 Jun01 Mar30 Feb24 Jan03 (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 126 2.00 ★    
  (by TAPIT out of CHAMPAGNE ROYALE by FRENCH DEPUTY)
 
LRL-4   09/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMANDO R Jul31 Jun21 May31 Jan26 Dec27 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
2  IT'S SIZZLING TIME Aug20 Aug01 Jun28 Jun21 May31 (smith valrie)DELGADO A 123 20.00 11% 8.30    
3  MAILMAN MONEY Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 (ward dan)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.50    
4  STORMING CHROME Sep04 Oct19 Sep21 Aug17 Jun22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00    
5  SELF TAUGHT Aug29 Jul24 Jun07 May11 Apr13 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  B DAWK Jul04 Jun13 Jan26 Mar18 Feb09 (mcmaho)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 5.00    
7  MASTER OF NONE Aug29 Aug13 Jul11 Jun05 May10 (pradenas serg)RODRIGUEZ YAN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HAY CHIEF Jun07 May16 Apr18 Dec15 Nov02 (mcmahon h)HERNANDEZ F 123 6.00    
 
LRL-5   09/21/2025 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOLA BOSS Aug20 Jul17 Mar15 Feb16 Jan24 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.50    
2  TRANSACTIONAL (GB) Sep11 Aug24 Aug19 May26 May02 (smith lawr)ROWLAND MADELINE 126 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  FEAR NOTHING Aug24 Aug01 Jul10 Jun27 Jun08 (smith hamilto)RODRIGUEZ YAN 115 30.00    
4  FREESTANDING Sep10 Jun22 May03 Oct27 Oct06 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 12.00    
SCR  TOJO'S MOJO Aug24 Jul09 Jun14 Apr25 Mar30 (salzman e)TORREALBA JG 122 5.00    
6  ZAPATA (IRE) Sep05 Aug21 Jul21 Jul05 Jun10 (beecher mark)KARAMANOS A 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  NIGHT PREACHER Sep01 Aug08 Jul16 Jun20 Jun08 (salzman e)TORREALBA JG 122 15.00 45% 1.20    
8  TOUGH WORKOUT Aug01 Jul17 Jun06 May25 May03 (white )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00    
9  JUST FOR THE MONEY Sep11 Aug14 Jul26 Jul16 Jun27 (nambo cesar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00    
10  MOON FACTOR Aug16 Jul30 Jul18 Mar22 Feb06 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 ★    
11  TOOLPUSHER Aug03 Jul23 May16 Apr25 Nov03 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 126 4.50 ★    
12  RENNIE Sep11 Aug21 Jul23 Jun25 Jun12 (badillo jonathan)CRUZ ANGEL 126 10.00    
 
LRL-6   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RADICAL RIGHT Aug16 Jul16 Jun29 Jun06 May17 (allen ferris)TORREALBA JG 123 4.50    
2  KHOZEIRESS Aug13 Jul30 Jul04 Apr19 Mar12 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TWISTED RIDE Aug19 Aug09 Jul15 Jun15 Oct19 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 5.00 ★    
4  S S SINATRA Sep10 Aug16 Jul30 Jun21 Jun01 (hohlbein kerr)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
5  KARAN'S NOTION Aug20 Aug07 Jul11 Jun29 May30 (heil b)CEDENO CAROL 126 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  HEARD ON THESTREET Aug30 Aug09 Jul18 Jun28 May30 (geralis ema)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
7  ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Aug16 Jun29 Nov02 Oct12 Sep07 (mcclure dia)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 30.00    
8  SIR WELLINGTON Jul30 Jul16 Jun14 Mar21 Feb14 (robertson)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00    
9  ROMINSKI Jul10 May30 Apr15 Mar23 Mar02 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.00 58% 0.70    
10  TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Aug19 Jul11 Dec03 Nov04 Oct15 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 123 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
LRL-7   09/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE GEM Sep16 Jul29 Jul17 Jun24 Oct16 (morris neil)HAMILTON WESTON 122 5.00    
SCR  ALL FRUITS RIPE Sep05 Aug23 Aug06 Jun28 Jun20 (smith valrie)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 6.00    
3  DOUG'S TRIUMPH Aug31         (leaf robert)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 30.00 9% 10.70    
4  ROYAL FLUSH HEARTS Sep05 Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 Apr27 (peacock m)KARAMANOS A 118 30.00    
5  STEELER NATION Sep06         (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 122 12.00    
6  ROYAL RENEGADE Sep04 Jul24 May26 Apr26   (merryman eliza)CHUAN MARTIN 122 4.50 ★    
7  UNION THUNDER Sep06 Jul30 Jul11 Aug17   (machad)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EDELWEISS Aug29 Aug08 Jul30 Jun28 Jun08 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 5.00    
9  D HOPPER Sep01 Jul11 Jun07 May11 Apr26 (sanchez-salomo)TORREALBA JG 122 10.00 24% 3.30    
10  BODYBUILDER         (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
11  BLACKTHORNE BRUSCA Sep06 Aug16 Jul30 Jul11 Jun28 (cooney sus)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00    
 
LRL-8   09/21/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCH OUT WORLD Aug21 Jul25 Jun08 May16 Apr26 (hohlbein ke)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SMITTEN ENOUGH Sep07 Aug31 May10 Oct24 Oct13 (elamri hassan)CHAVEZ ANDRES 123 30.00    
3  JOLLY BOSS Aug16 Jul31 Jun27 May31 Mar22 (dilodovico dam)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
4  UPSIDEDOWN MAN Aug22 Jul16 Jun27 Jun06 May26 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00    
5  VIRGINIA FITZ Aug30 Aug08 Jun14 Oct20 Oct04 (cooney s)CENTENO E 122 4.50    
6  NOAH CHANCE Aug16 Jul09 Jun27 May10 Apr19 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 3.50 18% 4.70    
7  CLAUDEE BOY Sep07 Aug31 Aug16 Jun27 May16 (elamri hass)BELTRAN M 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  CACTUS Aug29 Jul16 Jun22 May10 Apr26 (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.00 51% 1.00    
 
LRL-9   09/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIT WITNESS Aug18 Aug06       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 1.50 51% 1.00    
2  TASTY TIME Aug01         (bentley fennek)CEDENO CAROL 122 12.00    
3  IRISH B GOODE Sep10 Aug15 Jul31 Jul18 Jun08 (mcclure dia)BURNHAM MATILDA 119 3.00    
4  MARGARET P Jun22 Dec27 Nov17 Oct18 Sep28 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  WHISKEY BREW Sep07 Aug20 Aug02 Jun22 May09 (salazar marco)RODRIGUEZ YAN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SASSY MAXINE Aug15 Jul17 Jun22     (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 6.00    
7  FEEL THE BOLT Sep07 Aug22 Jul31 Jul25 Jun27 (mohan r)MEEKS MICAH 108 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.