Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Arapahoe Park
Friday - September 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
ARP-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/3)-(6/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-5   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ARP-6   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ARP-2   09/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIX MOR DITTOS Sep01 Aug23 Aug17 Jul27   (mckinney )IRONEYES R 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MAGNA DITTOS by MAGNA GRADUATE)
AUNT DEE         (esquibel mar)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 121 4.50 42% 1.40    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of ULTIMATE BEAUTY by FRIENDS LAKE)
RECTIFY Sep03 Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 May11 (rushton temple)DELORME L 120 2.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AVERYMERRYMOMENT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
GLITTERS ANDIE Sep02 May10 Apr17 Apr06 Mar21 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of GLITTER EFFORT by ELDON'S EFFORT)
 
ARP-3   09/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP OF THE ROCK Sep06 Aug17 Aug09 Jul12 Jul05 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00    
BRAYBRAY Sep06 Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 Apr26 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 6.00 10% 8.80    
MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Aug03 Jul26 Apr25 Apr12 Mar06 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50    
UNFATHOMED Sep01 Aug12 Jul26 Jul18 Jun15 (ramaekers eric)CRUZ M 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
ZULTAN Sep03 Aug03 Jul25 Jul13 Jun29 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 21% 3.90    
 
ARP-4   09/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYES ON GLADIATOR Nov17 Oct25 Oct13     (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 10.00    
ROBIN RED Aug13 Jul11 May11     (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG MARY Aug02 Nov15 Sep28 Aug03   (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 3.50    
NEON WRANGLER Aug30 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 Apr24 (kemper kasey)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
BAILEY'S MIRACLE         (martinez a)CARRENO J 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
MARIELITA Jul26 Jul13 Jul05 Jun14 Jun06 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50    
SCR  CARO'S GLADIATOR         (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00    
 
ARP-5   09/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEDDING GIFT Sep02 Jul23 Jun29 Jun14 May22 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00    
OLD FASHION TIME Nov01 Oct18 Sep21 Dec18 Nov07 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50    
UKRAINE STRONG Sep07 Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 (lavanway )MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
CHERRY RIVER Aug22 Jul27 Jul20 Jun28 Jun13 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.00 62% 0.60    
 
ARP-6   09/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Aug30 Jul19 Jun15 Jun08 May30 (lavanway )MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
HAYNESPUN Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 Jun15 (warren kayla)DELORME L 124 5.00    
PRINCESS JAYLEEN Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 Jun15 May26 (mckinney )IRONEYES R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS VANELLOPE Aug30 Aug10 Jul11 Jul05 May31 (rushton temple)CRUZ M 124 2.50    
AMY D Sep14 Aug22 Jul27 Jun08 May24 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
UNKNOWN CALLER Sep02 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 Jun29 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 39% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.