Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - September 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(6/2/4)-(4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(4/7/1)-(2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(2/8)-(6/10/1/5/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/8)-(6/10/1/5/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(6/10/1/5/3)-(1/6/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/10/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/1/5/3)-(6/10/1/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/1/5/3)-(6/10/1/5/3)-(6/10/1/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/1/5/3)-(1/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/10/1/5/3)-(1/6/4)-(1/3/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-6   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/8)-(1/7/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/8)-(1/7/3/8)-(1/7/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMISKEY PARK Aug10 Jun19 Jun10 May25 Aug15 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 1.60 ★    
2  LATIN CASINO Jun30 May25 Apr27 Mar02 Jul27 (childers )ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 4.50 75% 0.30    
3  CHARLIE LIGHTNING Jul19 Jun07 May17 Nov02 Oct17 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GABAGOOL Aug17 Aug03 Jul17 Jun19 May29 (campbell joe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00    
5  SAND MOUNTAIN Aug31 Aug10 Jul15 Jul05 May20 (schlenk ja)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 ★    
6  SAFE Jun17 Jun03 May20 Apr26 Nov02 (wilborn kevin)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
7  ALVIN Aug28 Aug07 Jul27 Jul17 Jul06 (spagnola )ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00    
 
HAW-2   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME BREAK Aug24 Jul08 Jun03 May06 Apr22 (lopez eli)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
2  LILY'S WOOFY Jul19 May24 Apr22 Aug25 Jul28 (randazzo ted)FELIX E 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
3  REBA ATTACK Aug31 Jul24 Jun28 May27 May10 (childers shane)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 5.00    
4  MAMBA OUT Sep04 Jul31 Jul13 Jul03 Jun08 (candelas blan)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Aug09 Jul22 Jun21 May24 Nov21 (wilborn kevin)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
6  DIXIE PENNY Aug02 Jul17 May18 May04 Apr13 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
7  FREEDOM ATTACK Jul22 Jun17 Jun01 Apr20 Dec16 (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
 
HAW-3   09/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULSANNE (IRE) Aug28 Jul13 Jun29 Jun12 May18 (horvath f)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIZMEONEMORETIME Sep04 Aug10 Aug03 Jul17 Jun29 (alonso fernan)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00    
3  REGAL MAJESTY Aug30 Jun18 Apr27 Mar28 Aug04 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 3.50    
4  WILDWOOD ADIOS Jul13 May27 Apr10 Dec04 Oct31 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
5  POLSKA SUE Aug14 Aug07 Jun26 Jun01 May15 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.00    
6  HARPER BRIANA Sep04 Aug10 Jul17 Jun29 Jun07 (alonso fernando)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 ★    
7  TRINITYTHREEINONE Aug31 Aug14 Jul20 Jun26 Jun05 (spagnola )ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CALLAS Jul31 Jun26 Jun01 May01 Mar27 (cook brian)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
 
HAW-4   09/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Jul31 Jul10 Jun15 May18 Apr27 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00    
2  STRONGER TOGETHER Jul31 Jul05 Jun19 Jun08 Apr20 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  ICE AXE Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 Jul03 Jun26 (villalobos heri)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
SCR  ARGYBARGY BUCK Aug09 Jul19 Jul01 May20 Nov02 (wilborn kevi)GILES EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
5  FLYING SAMURAI Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 Jul10 Jun26 (ryan a)FELIX E 122 4.50    
SCR  CONTRABANDISTA Aug28 Aug02 Jul02 Jun04 May09 (jansen kenny)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  U S HONOUR NAP Aug28 Aug14 Jul20 Jun29 Jun17 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
8  DANVILLE Aug28 Aug10 Jul20 Jun12 May25 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
HAW-5   09/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) Aug24 Aug07 Jul14 Mar14 Feb15 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
2  VITALE Aug03 Jul27 Jul10 Jun29 Jun14 (clay pat)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
3  NEW YEAR SURPRISE Aug28 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DIAMOND DAVE Aug24 Jul31 Jul20 Jun29 Aug20 (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
5  MAASAI WARRIOR Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 May03 Apr09 (leonard ii)FELIX E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BAKENEKO Aug24 Aug03 Jul10 Jun15 May29 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
7  HONEST TO GOODNESS Aug24 Aug03 May25 May08 Oct13 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00    
8  COMMISSIONER OSCAR Aug27 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May31 (berndt joel)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
9  MR. UNIVERSE Aug24 Aug14 Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
10  TEMPER TANTRUM Aug24 Aug03 Jun29 May15 May08 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
HAW-6   09/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Aug24 Jul31 Jul20 Jul10 May15 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
2  SON OF GRACE Aug28 Jul20 Jul03 Jun08 May29 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 122 30.00    
SCR  PAYNT BY LETTERS Aug02 Jun19 Nov20 Nov06 Oct19 (wilborn kevin)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
4  ICE SHARD Aug28 Jul24 Jun29 Jul18 Jul06 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GLOBAL EMPIRE Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jul06 (haran john)REYES FRANK 122 3.50    
6  GRAND ILLUSION Aug28 Jul01 May29 May01 Apr17 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  SLAVA UKRAINI Aug28 Aug10 Jul31 Jun08 May29 (rosas rig)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 10.00    
 
HAW-7   09/11/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAWYER FOX Jul13 Jun12 Sep04 Aug06 Dec10 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 68% 0.50    
2  SHAKE UP Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 Jun29 Jun01 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00    
3  BRODY Aug21 Aug03 Jul14 Jun27 Jun08 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SINE QUA NON Nov30 Oct31 Sep29 Dec03 Oct29 (divito p)MOJICA O 122 4.00    
5  MIDTERM Aug31 Aug10 Jul03 Aug29 Aug04 (miller patti )HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00    
SCR  BALADINE Aug21 Jul31 Jun26 Jun08 May22 (poulos dee)FELIX E 122 10.00    
7  RED RIZZLER Aug14 Jul31 Jul06 Jun05 May11 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00 ★    
8  PONCHO ATTACK Aug10 Jun12 Jun05 Mar07 Dec07 (childers shane)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOOD TO BE PRINCE Aug21 Jul22 Jul08 Jun08 May22 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.