Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(7/3/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SWF-2   WIN (7/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/8)-(7/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/8)-(7/3/4/8)-(7/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SWF-4   WIN (7/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/5)-(7/9/2/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/5)-(7/9/2/1/5)-(7/9/2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-1   09/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDISUR Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul26 Jul13 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 128 6.00    
TOP OF THE ROCK Aug17 Aug09 Jul12 Jul05 Jun13 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 128 1.40 40% 1.50    
MONARCHOS DREAM Aug09 Aug02 Jul20 May17 May03 (van tassell )BETHKE A 128 3.50 33% 2.10    
SUNDAY FUNDAY Aug23 Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 Jun20 (gibbs tyler)CARILLO DANIEL 128 5.00    
BRANNIGAN Aug30 Aug09 Aug02 Jul20 Jul06 (lavanway dayson)COATES R 128 4.00    
EURO TRACKING Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Nov29 (scudder j)VIRGEN JESUS 128 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SWF-2   09/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.5K) 35 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRES TENADORES Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Sep01 Aug18 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of DELIGHTFUL EVENT by DEL MAR SHOW)
RIVER AFFAIR Aug29 Aug10 Jun29 Jun16   (buenrostro ignac)LUSK TYSON 123 8.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of SWISS AFFAIR by SWISS YODELER)
LULAS LUCKY CHIP Aug29 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 (giles chad)ARANA MINOR 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by CHIPS ALL IN out of MAMA LULA by FIT TO FIGHT)
ZIP IT KAREN Jul27 Jul06 Jun06 May17 Sep28 (greene casey)VIRGEN JESUS 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
  (by FIVE SEASONS out of ASTORMISLAUNCHED by STORM CREEK)
WYOMING JEWEL Aug30 Jul13 Jun14 Jun06 May26 (buenrostro i)BETHKE A 123 6.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of PEARL'S FROM ABOVE by FLASHY BULL)
SUNRISE MAGIC Aug10 Jun14 Jun06 Sep21 Aug04 (mitchell r)MARTINEZ R 123 8.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of TAIMA THUNDER by COLONEL JOHN)
LADY CYCLONE Aug30 Aug10 Jul13 Jul05 Jun22 (ortega joe)COATES R 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
MISS HOTROD Aug30 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun14 (ortega joe)LARSEN S 121 8.00 13% 7.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of CONSENT by PULPIT)
 
SWF-3   09/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRE WHEN READY Aug02 Jul13 Jun15 Sep22 Sep06 (bunn shawn)BETHKE A 128 4.50    
PEDRO PEREZ Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul13 Jun29 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 128 3.50    
MONTANA Aug16 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13 May16 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 6.00 5% 19.00    
PARTY FOUL Aug17 Aug02 Jun01 Apr26 Apr05 (kemper kerr)CANALES J 128 3.00    
PEACEFUL WATERS Aug09 Jun29 Apr30 Apr10 Feb27 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 6.00 17% 5.00    
BRAYBRAY Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 Apr26 Mar29 (martinez a)COATES R 128 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
SWF-4   09/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST John Schiffer Memorial Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KONA SKYE Aug22 Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 Oct12 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by U S RANGER out of SQUEEZE ME TIGHT by GOLDEN MISSILE)
SILVERBULLITBADGER Aug02 Jul12 Apr24 Mar24 Feb13 (hadley tori)ARANA MINOR 128 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SUDDENLY SINGLE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  MY SUMMER DREAM Aug10 Jun22 Jun08 May02 Mar23 (hall dru)CANALES J 128 10.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ELUSIVE FLOWER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
COLLUSIONIST Aug10 Jul27 Jan06 Nov15 Oct27 (martinez a)ZAVALA JULIAN 128 3.50    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
TAG ME Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 Jun21 (scudder jr)COATES R 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of CELTIC TIGRESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BUCK OWENS Aug09 Jul13 Jun22 Jun14 May31 (story shaun)VIRGEN JESUS 128 10.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
SUNRISE MISCHIEF Aug16 Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 Jun21 (story shaun)BETHKE A 128 4.00 64% 0.60    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of PLEASING SUNRISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
LOVELY LOLA Aug16 Aug10 Jul26 Jun15 May31 (ort)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 125 12.00    
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
DRIVEHAPPY Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 May31 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 128 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ENTRUSTMENT by FORESTRY)
10  SCRATCHY APACHE Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 Jul12 Jun20 (lavanway )RIVAS CARLOS 128 5.00    
  (by JERANIMO out of BARROOM TO BEDROOM by QUASIMODO)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.