Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - September 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(4/2/3)-(5/3/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/3/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/3/9/2)-(5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/3/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/9/2)-(5/3/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/9/2)-(5/3/9/2)-(5/3/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/9/2)-(5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/3/9/2)-(5)-(1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5)-(1/6)-(5/6/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(5/6/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(5/6/1/7)-(1/3/6/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/7)-(1/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   09/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP AND A HUG         (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of GIVE ME A HUG by UNCLE MO)
SCR  IRISH LOVE SONG Aug21 Aug06       (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 2.50    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SINGMEALOVESONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
MAIDSTONE         (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 123 4.50    
  (by APTITUDE out of STARSHIP AWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
AIR FORCE SUE         (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MY SISTER SUE by BROKEN VOW)
SHE'S SPICY NOW Aug06         (salvaggio v)CORA D 123 1.80 68% 0.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PRINCESS NICOLE by DISCREETLY MINE)
SECRET JOURNEY Aug06 May23       (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLYING CONTINENTAL out of TARA'S SECRET by SECRETO)
 
PEN-2   09/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERIDOT PENDANT Aug15 Aug06 Jul24 Jul03 Mar07 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 121 4.50    
HOUSE OF MAGIC Aug28 Aug05 Jun24 May20 Dec13 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 125 2.50 26% 2.90    
LASTCHANCE ROMANCE Aug08 Jul03 May29 Apr25 Mar28 (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
CARDINAL WAR CRY Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 May21 May01 (salvaggio m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
DAKOTA SPRINGS Jul25 Jul03 Jun06 May01 Mar27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.50    
 
PEN-3   09/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRUISING GAL Aug20 Aug08 Jun15 May27 May07 (catalano l)AGUILAR JEAN 121 15.00    
MARGO'S MARGARITA Aug08 Jul25 Jun18 Jun05 May15 (fields kevin)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUERY Aug07 Jul09 Dec19 Nov27 Nov14 (mcclellan e)RAMOS O 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
AUNT JO Sep01 Aug23 Aug04 Jul25 Feb06 (smith lawre)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 30.00    
HONEY FUN Aug07 Jun12 May23 Apr25 Mar21 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 123 4.50 36% 1.80    
REGAL MISS LILY Aug08 Jun26 Jun06 May09 Apr11 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 3.00    
MISS WILDWOOD Aug08 Apr25       (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 5.00    
MS. LAOBANNIANG Aug07 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 Jan02 (kravets m)CORA D 123 3.50    
WUDHOOH Aug16 Jul24 Jun25 Jun06 Apr19 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 11% 8.30    
 
PEN-4   09/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) Aug26 Jul23 May16 Apr25 Mar17 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00    
SCR  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Aug29 Aug08 Jun27 Jun05 May08 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 121 3.50    
TUBTIMSIAM Jul26 Jul11 Jun05 May17 May02 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.00    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Aug14 Aug01 Jun27 Jun05 May08 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 121 2.50    
SPINNING HEART Aug01 Jul03 May17 Apr25 Apr07 (o'callahan carl)CORA D 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-5   09/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESI'S REWARD Jul05 May15 May01 Mar14 Feb28 (beattie cod)RAMOS O 125 3.00 48% 1.10    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Aug20 Aug01 Jul19 Jun19 May01 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 125 3.50    
SCR  TIZ RACE DAY Jul15 Jun17 May17 Apr16 Apr01 (pattershall m)RIVERA KENDRY 118 1.80    
WARRIOR BERNICE Aug20 Feb27 Feb19 Dec20 Oct23 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50    
SCR  EARLY FROST Aug20 Jul18 Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 12.00    
ELEVENMONTHSLATER Jun11 May09 Mar07 Feb19 Dec20 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   09/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE BRAKE ALLEY Aug14 Jun30 Jun02 May05 Apr14 (kirby t)RUIZ ELISEO 121 6.00 16% 5.10    
CONFISCATED Aug01 Jun27 Aug15 Jun21 Apr30 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00    
BACKSIDE BUZZ Aug14 Jul16 Feb12 Jan19 Nov15 (catalano l)AGUILAR JEAN 121 6.00    
SCR  TRY HARDER Aug14 Jun15 May26 Apr29 Apr14 (vega ric)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
BROTHER RICE Jul10 Jun25 May07 Mar07 Jun13 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
PALM ISLAND Aug14 May07 Apr14 Mar14 Jan24 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
KISS THEM DEADLY Aug08 Jul16 Dec18 Nov27 Nov06 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
COMMINGLING Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 May07 Apr29 (beattie cod)INIRIO J 125 6.00    
 
PEN-7   09/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIELAND CHILL Aug07         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
FASTIDIOUS Jun18 May20 May13 Apr28 Apr14 (santaella-cald)CORREA JULIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
AND ANOTHER THING         (perez flore)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 118 6.00 31% 2.20    
CANDY'S MAJESTY Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 May23   (martinez a)AGUILAR M 123 6.00    
FERATOVIC Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 (fields kevin)BEATO INOEL 125 3.00    
MOBOT Aug20 Aug06 Jun20 Jun07 Mar28 (ippolito ma)RAMOS O 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
GALLANT CREEK Aug06 Jul17 Jul04 Oct25 Sep18 (deiter lynn)HESS SARA 125 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.