Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Elko County Fair
Sunday - August 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELK-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
ELK-6   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELK-1   08/31/2025 2310ft DIRT RC11 FAST Thoroughbred Futurity Purse ($6K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTED AND CLASSY Aug17 Jul13 Apr10     (doming)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 117 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by FROSTED out of FLOSS DANCER by SHAKIN IT UP)
SCR  HECKUVA GAL Aug17 Jul26 Jul12     (mitchell )JENSEN P 117 3.50    
  (by RUMPUS CAT out of SUNNY OAK by GIANT OAK)
SCR  SKYEXPRESS Aug15 Jul26 Jul12     (domin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 117 2.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of QUANDARY by THE FACTOR)
SCR  CHERISH TREASURE Aug17         (mitchell r)ALAYA ERIC 117 6.00    
  (by VICTORY CUP out of EMMA TREASURE by FORT LARNED)
5  WHY DOROTHY WHY Aug17 Jul12       (mitchell )IRONEYES R 117 4.00 13% 6.50    
  (by MO FORZA out of DOROTHY VAUGHAN by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  FOREVER N LOVE Aug30         (dominguez jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 117 8.00    
  (by OM out of SEA ROYALTY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
ELK-6   08/31/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTIM Aug16 Aug02 Sep01 Aug17 Aug10 (mcnee)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 10.00 16% 5.20    
2  AIN'T NO SISSY Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 6.00    
3  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Aug23 Aug16 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
4  RIDIN SOLO Aug23 Aug15 Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 (mitchell ch)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 4.00    
5  GONZAGA BAY Aug23 Aug17 Aug10 Jul26 Jul06 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
 
ELK-7   08/31/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ely Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAD BOD Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 Apr22 (dominguez)IRONEYES R 124 8.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of CAPAZ by BERNARDINI)
2  DEFENSE WINS Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 6.00 13% 7.00    
  (by FLATTER out of DEB'S CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
SCR  SHARP WARNING Aug17 Jul27 Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 (warren kayla)GAMEZ M 124 1.60    
  (by ELUSIVE WARNING out of SWISS PLEASE by SWISS YODELER)
SCR  BRUTAL BUSINESS Aug29 Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 (scudder m)JENSEN P 124 4.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of ORBITAL by FIRST DEFENCE)
5  ROYAL JOKER Aug17 Aug09 Jul27 Jul20 Jul06 (dominguez jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 10.00 6% 14.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MY REDBYRD by ROYAL ACADEMY)
6  BET ON DAD Aug17 Sep01 Aug30 Aug17 Sep02 (carter rona)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 3.50 53% 0.90    
  (by DADS CAPS out of HANSELINA by HANSEL)
7  NOOGE Aug23 Aug17 Aug02 Jun20 Oct11 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of MY STORMY ELAINE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.