Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/1)-(4/8/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/1)-(4/8/1/3)-(3/4/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/3)-(3/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/3)-(3/4/6/2)-(8/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-3   WIN (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/2)-(8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/2)-(8/4/5)-(3/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-4   WIN (8/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/5)-(8/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/5)-(8/4/5)-(8/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/5)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5)-(3/2/6)-(1/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(1/6/4)-(3/9/6/1/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/9/6/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(3/9/6/1/2)-(1/5/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/9/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/1/2)-(3/9/6/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/1/2)-(3/9/6/1/2)-(3/9/6/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/6/1/2)-(1/5/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6/1/2)-(1/5/2/7)-(3/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-8   WIN (1/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/7)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULLY AUTHORIZED Aug02 Jul11 Jun14 Jun01 Apr27 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HE'S GOT SWAGGER Aug23 Aug02 Jun15 May22 Apr04 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
3  KUNOOZ Aug13 Jul30 Jun21 Jun14 May11 (magee kieron)MOYA F 117 5.00    
4  EARL OF DASSEL Aug15 Jul14 Apr25 Mar29 Mar07 (soto- martine)OCASIO M 121 6.00    
5  BEAN MACHINE Aug15 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 Jun01 (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00    
6  SPECIALAGENTJONSON Jun21 Apr19 Mar26 Mar02 Feb02 (downing willia)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50    
7  MICRO BREWSKY Aug15 Jun08 May18 May03 Mar26 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
8  QUISTMER Aug03 Jul04 Jun21 Apr27 Jan17 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 121 4.00 7% 13.90    
 
MTH-2   08/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEEMASEMPTYPOCKETS         (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 12.00 5% 17.50    
  (by GALAWI out of WALKING PRIMROSE by RAVEN'S PASS)
2  GRANDMASGOTAGUN Aug16         (ramirez l)COTTO L 117 8.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of BRAZILIAN SYMPHONY by FAIRBANKS)
3  QUEEN VALENTINE         (cruz jaime)BEATO INOEL 117 12.00 5% 17.50    
  (by NATIVE FACTOR out of MAGAZINE QUEEN by MT. MAGAZINE)
4  PATTY'S GIRL         (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by SILVER STATE out of CURLUCK by CURLIN)
5  LEGAL LIGHTNING         (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PROCURADORA by BODEMEISTER)
6  SWEET RUBY         (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 117 6.00    
  (by RUBIANO out of SUITE by GRAUSTARK)
SCR  SPECTACULAR JOKE         (delgado alexi)IORIO MELISSA 117 4.00    
  (by SPECTACULAR BID out of GOOD SHABBOS by MUNNINGS)
8  NECK OF CAIRO         (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 117 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of NECK OF THE MOON by MORE THAN READY)
 
MTH-3   08/30/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS M M Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 (crowell susan)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00    
2  PERMED Aug08 Jul04 Jun18 May28 Mar28 (pimental i)LEON SONNY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ON THE PAYROLL Jul24 Jun20 Feb22 Jan17 Nov24 (margotta )TORRES A 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  BEDTIME STORY (IRE) Aug01 Jul11 Jun05 Apr11 Mar15 (johnston rob)JARA FERNANDO 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
5  BAND SWEETHEART Aug01 Jun20 May02 Mar23 Feb14 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 121 20.00    
6  PHOTO FINISH Aug18 Jul17 Jun22 Jun13 May13 (ness jamie)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 15% 5.80    
7  PAGEANT PRINCESS Aug16 Aug01 Sep23 Jun26 Nov02 (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00    
8  THE FURMANATOR Aug01 Jul04 Oct18 Sep08 Jul28 (vega richard)RIVERA KENDRY 114 5.00    
 
MTH-4   08/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHOZAN         (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 117 3.50    
  (by KHOZAN out of SOLDALL by SOLDAT)
2  LANDING FORCE Aug08         (wilson tony)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of RED ROBE by NATHANIEL)
SCR  TITANIO         (cruz jaime)BEATO INOEL 117 6.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of EXOTIC STORM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  JEREMIAHTWENTYNINE Aug08         (harris )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of VANNA BELLE by MUNNINGS)
5  TOOGOODTOSELL         (ramirez l)COTTO L 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ABUELA'S HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  WISE WORDS Jul12 Jun22       (delgado jose )IORIO MELISSA 117 4.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of GLAMOUR LADY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  IT'S THE MUSCLEMAN Aug15         (ramirez l)MOYA F 117 15.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PLUMAGE by BROKEN VOW)
8  BALL OF FIRE         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of URSULA by TAPIT)
 
MTH-5   08/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sapling Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANNEL THE MUSIC Jul18 Jun22       (duarte j)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of EMPRESS ELEANOR by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  JUST ASAP Aug04         (casse mar)TORRES A 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by MAXFIELD out of MOVIE MOMENT by PAYNTER)
3  ONE MORE FREUD Aug01         (maker michael )CAMACHO SAMY 116 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by TONALIST out of FREUDIAN FINISH by HAYNESFIELD)
SCR  AYE EYE Aug08         (orseno f)NO RIDER 118 3.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of DIVINE QUEEN by DIVINE PARK)
SCR  AVIGLIANO Jul25         (duarte jr)NO RIDER 116 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WINY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
6  KNICK THE QUICK Aug05         (davis christop)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 9% 9.90    
  (by KNICKS GO out of TIZABELLA by TIZNOW)
7  SPHERIFICATION         (delgado alexis)MATOS PRANDY 116 15.00    
  (by AGUJERO out of PRETTY VENEZUELA by BIRDSTONE)
 
MTH-6   08/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOWYTE May15 Apr11 Nov01 Oct05 Sep01 (gargan danny)LEON SONNY 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SNOW FALL by WAR FRONT)
2  PUTONAHAPPYFACE Aug02 Feb21       (dutrow richar)JARA FERNANDO 119 5.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of ACTING HAPPY by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  ESTEFANIA LIGHT Aug09         (avila jua)VARGAS A 119 8.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of NO SHOW ROSE by GRAYDAR)
4  ALWAYS AUTHENTIC Jul19         (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of WEAR RED by HENNY HUGHES)
5  TRANGO TOWER Jul05 Aug11       (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
  (by CURLIN out of LEWIS BAY by BERNARDINI)
6  HIGH NOTE Jun20 May15 Apr06 Feb22   (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by CURLIN out of ENCHANTED ROCK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MTH-7   08/30/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES MY LADY LINO Aug24 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 (ramirez si)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  IMELDA'S SAVER Aug15 Jul04 May23 Sep22   (ramirez l)COTTO L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  WHIRLWIND Aug23 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 Apr18 (hendriks )VARGAS A 117 3.50 45% 1.20    
4  RED HAIRED GAL Aug15 Aug01 Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 (flores-coba f)IORIO MELISSA 121 8.00    
5  FOOTNOTE Aug15 Jul13 Jun20 Feb16 Jan20 (sanchez loz)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
6  APPLE SHAKE SHAKE Aug14 Jul30 Jun14 Dec28 Oct21 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 8.00 14% 6.30    
7  QUEEN CATALINA Aug15 Aug01 Jun27 Jun15 Mar11 (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 121 6.00    
8  C C GIRL Aug10 Jul05 May24 Apr24 Apr05 (hills timothy)JARA FERNANDO 117 6.00    
9  SUNDAY TIFF Aug15 Jul13 Jun04 Mar09 Feb16 (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  WONDERFULVENEZUELA Jul19 Jun19 Apr26 Apr12 Mar28 (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 121 15.00    
SCR  SECURITYLIGHTNING Jul27 Jun14 May17 Apr19 Mar16 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 117 8.00    
12  D'ORO ROAD Aug16 Aug02 Jul08 May27 Mar15 (bedard alan)BOWMAN ADAM 115 20.00    
SCR  POWER AND GLORY Aug01 Jul10 Jun08 May24 May02 (thompson r)LEON SONNY 121 8.00    
SCR  STAY OPPORTUNISTIC Aug16 Jul08 May20 May05 Apr09 (brown r)MOYA F 119 20.00    
 
MTH-8   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY HONEYBUNCH Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jul05 Jun22 (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 121 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  LADY COLLECTED Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 May18 (gonzalez claudio)LEON SONNY 115 5.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  CHARLUCHE Aug16 Aug02 Jul04 May29 Apr19 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 109 15.00    
4  CARA BLANCA Aug10 Jun15 May17 Sep14 Aug25 (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50    
5  HALA BLUE (IRE) Jul05 Jun15 Apr20 Apr03 Feb09 (wilson tony)JARA FERNANDO 117 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  GIANT'S AUDIBLE Jul13 Jun28 May24 May18 Apr21 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
7  RACHEL CAROLINE Aug02 Jul18 Jun15 May18 Oct18 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LOOP OF HENLE Aug02 Jul18 Jun22 May18 Apr25 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
 
MTH-9   08/30/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Violet Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAJESTIC VENEZUELA May31 Mar29 Nov01 Sep21 Aug03 (yanez rey)TORRES A 118 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DOWNTOWN DIVA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  HOLA GATA Aug08 May03 Sep07 Aug17 Jul07 (synnefias)VARGAS A 118 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MORAKAMI by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  BREATH AWAY (GB) Aug07 Apr26 Mar29 Feb01 Dec21 (clement miguel)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by BATED BREATH out of DARLING GRACE by NAYEF)
4  VICTORIA'S DANCER Aug21 Jun05 Apr12 Mar08 Feb08 (avila juan)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ARTISANAL by MORE THAN READY)
5  DREAMING OF ABBA Aug21 May25 Apr19 Mar30 Mar08 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of STELLAR STRENGTH by GONE WEST)
6  RIBALTAGAIA Dec21         (motion graha)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 23% 3.40    
  (by BLAME out of SILK ASSASSIN by BERNARDINI)
7  TUCK CHECK Aug02 May24 Apr26 Feb28 Oct24 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 118 8.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SHE'S PROUD by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.