Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Tuesday - August 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(7/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(7/4/5/2)-(3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-2   WIN (7/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/2)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/2)-(3/2/4)-(1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/7/5)-(3/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(3/4/1)-(4/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-5   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(4/2/3)-(7/3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-6   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(7/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(7/3/6/1)-(5/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-7   WIN (7/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/1)-(5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/1)-(5/3/7)-(7/2/9/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FP-8   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(7/2/9/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FP-9   WIN (7/2/9/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/9/3/1)-(7/2/9/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/9/3/1)-(7/2/9/3/1)-(7/2/9/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   08/26/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHEATER Jul04         (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 4.00    
  (by CHARMING KITTEN out of ANNAFROMINDIANA by HONOUR AND GLORY)
INSTASTAR Aug03 Jul15 Jul04     (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 2.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of TIJORI by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
I'M THISTY KID Jul13         (lynch e)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DURANGO KID out of RUN AWAY GAL by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
ELMORE Aug03         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FASOLA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
MIKE'S LAST CALL Jul15         (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 10.00    
  (by SWEEP AWAY out of DANGEROUS GAL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
NAUGHTON         (wells duan)SIMPSON M 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
 
FP-2   08/26/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE Aug09 Jul15 Jul01 Jun14 May31 (durham mike)WALES T 126 6.00    
KARAYEL Aug19 Jun10 Apr26 Nov02 Sep14 (randazzo ted)LOPEZ A 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Aug09 Jun29 Jun14 May20 Nov02 (sandrowski ge)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 2.50    
MY BARILEY Apr16 Mar23 Mar06 Feb13 Jan24 (leonard ge)SIMPSON M 126 5.00 17% 4.90    
ONE WAY HOME Jul19 Jul01 Jun17 May31 May20 (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 3.50 6% 15.90    
VALIANTLY DISCREET Aug09 Jul19 Jun24 Jun10 May25 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 126 4.50    
TROY OUNCE May24 Sep28 Sep10 Aug17 Jul30 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 126 8.00 47% 1.10    
 
FP-3   08/26/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST MAN SPEECH Jul15 Jun28 Jun07 May13 Apr26 (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 126 3.00    
SEVERANCE Aug14 Jul26 Apr13 Mar22 Feb05 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
ELECTRIC CHARGE May29 May15 Apr17 Oct26 Sep19 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
SMILE LIKE KYLE Jul22 Sep19 Aug31 Aug20 Jul09 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 6.00 6% 15.20    
STOLICH Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May20 Jan24 (straub marvel)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 5.00    
CAT TALE BREEZE Aug12 Jul12 Jun28 Jun10 Oct26 (lear heidi )ARRIETA REYNIER 119 10.00    
 
FP-4   08/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZWOW Jul26 Jun28 Jun03 May25 Nov02 (martinez a)WALES T 126 2.50 44% 1.30    
MERLOTTI Jul12 Jun21 Jun04 May17 Apr29 (wainwright john)FELIX E 124 4.50    
OSCAR NOMINEE Jun07 May24 May13 Oct24 Aug24 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
SCR  EL PELIGRO Aug12 Jun03 May05 Apr15 Dec11 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.50    
SKYLANE Jul26 Jul08 Jun10 May24 May10 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
COOLTHING Jul26 Jul12 Jul01 Jun21 Jun03 (lynch e)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 5.00    
SOLOMON VANDY Aug09 Jul15 Jun03 May17 Nov02 (straub marvel)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
FP-5   08/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST CROSS TRAFFIC Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Aug10 (plasters lori)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00 7% 13.20    
AWESOME DREW Aug09 Jul22 Jun10 May13 Apr26 (becker scott)FELIX E 120 2.00    
MIDNITE ALEX Jul19 Jul01 Jun10 May27 May13 (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
GOOD APPLE Jun08 Oct13 Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 (childers shane)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
GRAYHOP Jul19 Jun28 May27 May13 Oct29 (plasters lori)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 5.00    
SPAN Jul19 Jul01 Jun21 May27 May13 (blea t)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 6.00    
 
FP-6   08/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALLY'S SUPRISE Aug07 Jun26 May27 Apr24 Apr16 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 3.00    
COMMISSIONER GULCH Aug14 Jun26 May27 Apr22 Sep29 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 4.00 26% 2.80    
GO MADI GO May27 Oct29 Oct19 Sep29 Sep10 (plasters lori)FELIX E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
GHAALEB'S CITY Jun14 Apr22 Oct31 Oct19 Oct05 (becker scott)WALES T 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
MYSWEETANNALYZE Jul15 Jul16 Jun08 Apr30 Oct24 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00    
BLAME TERI Jul19 May31 May10 Aug24 Aug06 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 5.00    
 
FP-7   08/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOYCE'S BANDITA Aug05 Jul12 Jun16 Jun01 May05 (mcewen billy )SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
HALO HONEY Aug05 Jun24 Jun07 May24 Apr29 (essenpreis edwa)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 4.50    
WIN WITH COLOR Jul01 May24 Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 (becker sco)HERRERA C 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
THE LAST THRILL Aug05 Jul06 Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 (lopez elia)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
TRY Aug05 Jul12 Jun24 Apr29 Oct29 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 118 6.00    
KISSES FOR WEEJ Jul26 Jul08 May15 Apr24 Oct14 (mcewen bil)SIMPSON M 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT GHAALEB Jul12 Jun21 Jun03     (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
FP-8   08/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAN OF QUALITY Aug16 Jul22 Jul15 Jun17 Oct23 (martin daw)SIMPSON M 120 10.00    
SOUTH OF BIRMINHAM Aug12 Jul21 May31 May17 Mar14 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 126 8.00    
DURANGO CHROME Aug02 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 May24 (plasters lor)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
CROWN ROYAL KID Aug02 Jul08 Jun21 May24 May13 (martinez ralp)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.50    
GOLDEN BUCK Aug12 Jul10 Jun21 Jun03 May17 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
CENZONTLE Aug09 Jul24 Jun28 May24   (lynch har)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
BRAHMS JR. Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 May24 Nov02 (retana)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRUIST Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 Jun10 May13 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 4.50    
 
FP-9   08/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD BLOCK Aug03 Jul24 Jul05 Jun19 Jul21 (alonso fer)SIMPSON M 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUNTRACER out of ROMAFLAME by BURNING ROMA)
SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN Jul26 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 May24 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of MAGIC CHAPEL by CHAPEL ROYAL)
HARLEY'SRUNAWAYKID Jun24 Jun07 May24 Apr26 Oct31 (lynch e)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DURANGO KID out of RUN AWAY GAL by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
YORKTON WHEAT Aug03         (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
  (by YORKTON out of LIL REDHEAD GIRL by ALGORITHMS)
LAST RETURN Aug05 Jul24 Jul05 May17   (blea t)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 10.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of REVOLVE by HARD SPUN)
K J 'S RANSOM Aug05         (rednour jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 15.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
DON'TTAPTHETILL Aug05         (becker scott)FELIX E 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BLUE BABY by TOUCH GOLD)
PLAYGROUND WARRIOR Aug05 Jul12 Jun07 May24 May10 (plasters lor)GILES EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by DRILL SERGEANT out of LEGACY TYPE by WILDCAT HEIR)
DISTILLED FOCUS         (appleton jo)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 10.00 6% 16.70    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of IN FOCUS by TIZWAY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.