Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Friday - August 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SWF-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
SWF-3   WIN (4/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/5)-(4/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/5)-(4/6/8/5)-(4/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/8/5)-(3/5/6/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-4   WIN (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-1   08/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMY D Jul27 Jun08 May24 May09 May03 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 126 6.00 7% 12.50    
2  DREAM TRAP Aug03 Jul19 Jun29 Jun08 May17 (johnson r)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00    
3  SKY SAILING Jul27 Jun28 Jun08 May24 Mar26 (teeter clay)LARSEN S 126 5.00    
4  ROCKIN MARIE Aug09 Jul27 Jun29 May24 May17 (long vaughn)BETHKE A 126 2.50 20% 4.10    
5  ZIPPIN PIPPIN Jul26 Jul05 Sep29 Sep08 Jul14 (hadley tori)TEETER NAKIA 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
6  VELLA Aug03 Jun08 May26 Mar18 Feb25 (whitehouse wilto)COATES R 126 3.50    
 
SWF-2   08/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P TWENTYTWO Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 May31 Mar30 (story shaun)BETHKE A 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  CHERRY RIVER Jul27 Jul20 Jun28 Jun13 Nov01 (vicchrilli russe)RAMEY CASH 126 3.50    
3  VALIANT KNIGHT Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun14 Aug17 (dominguez calli )COATES R 126 5.00    
4  KONA SKYE Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 Oct12 Sep29 (hadley tori)TEETER NAKIA 126 5.00 ★    
5  FERRARI RED Jul27 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 Sep06 (martinez a)LUSK TYSON 126 4.00    
6  HOLDEN THE LUTE Aug02 Feb13 Dec02 Nov13 Jul17 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
SWF-3   08/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERSPORT Aug02 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 (ibanez albert)CARDOSO DAVID 126 10.00    
2  SPREAD THE RISK Jun28 May30 Apr29 Apr06 Feb16 (kemper kerry)TEETER NAKIA 121 3.00    
3  COLONEL PUNCH Aug09 Aug02 Jul05 Jun13 Jun01 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 126 2.50    
4  M K BIRTHDAY Aug10 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Nov29 (mitchell chr)BETHKE A 126 5.00 59% 0.70    
5  PADDYS FOUR ROSES Jul27 Jul06 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 (cornia andee)LUSK TYSON 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ARIZONA STEPHEN Jul27 Jul13 Jul05 Jun22 Jun14 (greer randy)RAMEY CASH 126 4.50 7% 12.40    
7  MIDEVIL MAYHEM Aug02 Jul13 Jun20 May04 Apr20 (tsosie te)RIVAS CARLOS 126 8.00    
8  EL GEMAR Jul13 Jun29 Sep23 Sep02 Jul31 (warr scott)CARILLO DANIEL 126 10.00 7% 13.10    
 
SWF-4   08/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.5K) 35 ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERN DANGER Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 May26 Apr26 (palma jesus)TEETER NAKIA 119 8.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of LOOKINFORADANGER by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
2  R N S STRATAGEM Aug03 Jul05 Jun22 Jun06 May16 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 119 12.00    
  (by WAR BOND out of STRATAGEM by AIR COMMANDER)
3  SWEET JO         (goodrich scott)VIRGEN JESUS 119 3.50 60% 0.70    
  (by FIVE SEASONS out of ICE N SWEET by SING BABY SING)
4  CHIEF HARLAN Aug03 Jun15 May17 May03 Apr12 (tsosie te)RIVAS CARLOS 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of QUEEN OF RACES by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
5  LADY QUICKSAND Aug02 Jun13 Apr22     (mitchell chr)BETHKE A 121 1.80 12% 7.30    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of LADY ATARAH by COURAGEOUS CAT)
6  RAINBOWS ON ICE Aug02 Jul13 Oct12 Sep28 Jul27 (johnson bruce)RAMEY CASH 121 4.50 6% 16.60    
  (by KEEN ICE out of TAPIT TEN by TAPIT)
7  UNION COWBOY Jul13         (green d)LUSK TYSON 126 5.00    
  (by LETSGOIDAHO out of UNION GIRL by ONE UNION)
8  GRAVASTAR Aug03 Jul26 Jul19     (ibanez albert)CARDOSO DAVID 126 12.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of GRAVATA by MONSUN (GER))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.